2019 MLB Predictions: ALCS, NLCS, World Series
Whoa, Nellie!
The MLB season starts in earnest tomorrow and our final preview post relates to AL and NL champion futures. We will also take a stab at the World Series market.
These selections will not be a surprise to those that have read our divisional previews.
As always……..SHOP AROUND and get the best number. That’s extremely critical when playing the futures markets given that your capital is tied up for a long time.
Here are the odds from five large and reputable books;
Data as of MARCH 27
Win the American League
Yankees +280 +251 +275 +285 +300
Astros +280 +271 +350 +285 +375
Red Sox +290 +302 +300 +295 +350
Indians +700 +653 +600 +600 +600
Rays +1700 +2009 +1400 +2350 +2775
Twins +2500 +1814 +2500 +2250 +2000
What are we betting?
We decided to take a shot with what we feel is the best team in baseball (Houston) and a small taste of two bombs.
Allocation of one unit:
Astros +375 (80%) (play no lower than +300)
Rays +2775 (10%) (play no lower than +2000)
Twins +2500 (10%) (play no lower than +2000)
Win the National League
Dodgers +350 +409 +450 +365 +385
Phillies +500 +463 +450 +450 +500
Brewers +700 +823 +900 +750 +875
Cardinals +750 +740 +700 +725 +700
Nationals +900 +736 +800 +800 +800
Braves +750 +1105 +1000 +1250 +1100
What are we betting?
We haven’t used this strategy in a while BUT the stars might be aligning (?).
We bagged three of our top four top-rated teams at jooooocy prices. The Dodgers are a threat but the rotation (while deep) is a CONTINENT-SIZED HEALTH RISK. We have ZERO interest in the Cubs and view the Brewers as outsiders as we go to press.
It’s not a sexy use of a unit BUT we feel this is a solid way to go.
Allocation of one unit:
Nationals +900 (40%)
Cardinals +750 (30%)
Phillies +500 (30%)
MEGA, what about the World Series?
We like the Astros (+590 to +653 at the books noted above) and the Nationals (+1492 to +2000 at the books noted above)
Allocation of one unit:
Astros +653 (70%) (play no lower than +600)
Nationals +2000 (30%) (play no lower than +1600)
Best of luck and enjoy the season!