2019 MLB Predictions: ALCS, NLCS, World Series

2019 MLB Predictions: ALCS, NLCS, World Series

Whoa, Nellie!

The MLB season starts in earnest tomorrow and our final preview post relates to AL and NL champion futures. We will also take a stab at the World Series market.

These selections will not be a surprise to those that have read our divisional previews.

As always……..SHOP AROUND and get the best number. That’s extremely critical when playing the futures markets given that your capital is tied up for a long time.

Here are the odds from five large and reputable books;

Data as of MARCH 27

Win the American League

Yankees                        +280               +251            +275            +285              +300

Astros                            +280               +271            +350            +285              +375

Red Sox                         +290               +302            +300            +295               +350

Indians                           +700               +653           +600             +600              +600

Rays                                +1700             +2009         +1400           +2350           +2775

Twins                              +2500             +1814         +2500           +2250            +2000

What are we betting?

We decided to take a shot with what we feel is the best team in baseball (Houston) and a small taste of two bombs.

Allocation of one unit:

Astros +375 (80%)  (play no lower than +300)

Rays +2775 (10%) (play no lower than +2000)

Twins +2500 (10%) (play no lower than +2000)

Win the National League

Dodgers                           +350               +409              +450             +365            +385

Phillies                              +500               +463              +450             +450            +500

Brewers                            +700               +823              +900            +750            +875

Cardinals                          +750               +740               +700            +725            +700

Nationals                          +900               +736              +800             +800            +800

Braves                               +750              +1105             +1000          +1250          +1100

What are we betting?

We haven’t used this strategy in a while BUT the stars might be aligning (?).

We bagged three of our top four top-rated teams at jooooocy prices. The Dodgers are a threat but the rotation (while deep) is a CONTINENT-SIZED HEALTH RISK. We have ZERO interest in the Cubs and view the Brewers as outsiders as we go to press.

It’s not a sexy use of a unit BUT we feel this is a solid way to go.

Allocation of one unit:

Nationals +900 (40%)

Cardinals +750 (30%)

Phillies +500 (30%)

 

MEGA, what about the World Series?

We like the Astros (+590 to +653 at the books noted above) and the Nationals (+1492 to +2000 at the books noted above)

Allocation of one unit:

Astros +653 (70%)  (play no lower than +600)

Nationals +2000 (30%) (play no lower than +1600)

Best of luck and enjoy the season!