2021 Gator Bowl – Rutgers vs Wake Forest

2021 Gator Bowl – Rutgers vs Wake Forest

posted December 25

The Game

Pulled out of the fire, yo !

The CRISIS OF THE VACCINATED almost killed this bowl game as Texas A&M had to PULL THE CHUTE after sniffles ripped mercilessly through the locker room. But have no fear. Rutgers stepped up to the plate and will bring their 5-7 record into the Gator Bowl on New Year’s Eve. The Scarlet Knights are in the rebuilding phase in this GREG SCHIANO reboot and should benefit from more practices and game action. Wake Forest was one of the best stories of the season and rattled off eight (!) consecutive wins to start the season. They made the ACC Championship Game but got beat handily by Pitt (L 45-21).

The Details

Wake Forest -14 Rutgers (62)

MEGALOCKS LINE – Wake Forest -13

“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Wake Forest 38 Rutgers 24

Wake Forest offense vs Rutgers defense

The DEACS have a potent offense (#10 FBS total offense, #5 scoring offense) that’s led by star QB S Hartman (3,924, 36-14 TD to INT; 11 rush TD) and a pair of 1000-yard receivers in A.T. Perry and J Roberson. They boast a three-headed monster at RB (Beal-Smith, Ellison, Turner) that’s combined for over 1500 yards and 18 TDs. When things are working well Hartman and the RBs are optimizing the MESH POINT transition and driving defenses crazy whilst hitting big plays. Rutgers doesn’t have much time to get ready for this offense and they’re ranked 2nd last in the Big Ten in rushing defense, last (!) in pass efficiency D (22-7 TD to INT, 8.4), and have tallied just 20 sacks in 12G.

Rutgers offense vs Wake Forest defense

One word can sum things up, and we’ll keep it FAMILY-FRIENDLY. “Yuck”. They failed to reach the 20 point mark in 7 of their final 9 games and rank #118 in total offense and #113 in scoring offense. They only scored 123 points in 9 Big Ten games (13.7 PPG) but get a nice drop in class in this game whilst facing a Wake Forest D that’s given up a lot of yards (#98) and a lot of points (#94). The DEACS are #4 in the ACC in sacks (35 in 13G) but Rutgers has only allowed 19 sacks in 2021. As far as we know, starting QB N Vedral is giving it a go (7-6 TD to INT) but they’ll have to do a better job of stretching the field as Vedral averages just 6 YPA and the team books just 9.7 yards per catch. I Pacheco is a legit #1 RB (647, 5 TD) and WR B Melton is a fine #1 THROW GAME option (618, 3 TD).

Trends, Intangibles and More!

Rutgers last participated in bowl season back in 2014 when they took down North Carolina (W 40-21)…..HC Greg Schiano is 5-1 (!) in bowl games…..HC Dave Clawson is 3-2 in bowl action with Wake Forest but they’ve dropped their last two games (Michigan St, Wisconsin)…..It’ll be interesting to see how Rutgers fares after being a late substitute for this one.

Summary

Rutgers will give it a shot and try and muck this one up. The number ain’t cheap but it feels like Wake should win this one by double digits if they care at all. The safest play might be to bank on Rutgers failing to score what essentially amounts to 3 TDs and a FG.

Conclusion

Lean – Rutgers TT under 24 (implied)


Note:

‘Official play’ implies we have played the game for our standard wager amount.

‘Lean’ implies we are comfortable suggesting ‘small potatoes’ on the game if you want to get down on some sweet action.

‘No leanage’ implies we won’t be involved in the game from a betting standpoint. In-game wagering possibilities only.

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