2022 Quick Lane Bowl – New Mexico St vs Bowling Green

2022 Quick Lane Bowl – New Mexico St vs Bowling Green

posted December 13

The Game

Get your family to the disgustingly filthy slums of Detroit for some holiday season bowl game action! New Mexico St gets full marks for scratching and clawing their way into the postseason as they found a way to win four of their final five regular season games. Bowling Green was in the MAC East hunt right to the bitter end and recall that they won five games in MACtion play.

Ignore the tent cities, blatant drug use, and rivers of human filth and enjoy what should be a hard-fought game. Let’s goooo!

The Details

Bowling Green -3 New Mexico St (48)

MEGALOCKS LINE – Bowling Green -2.5

“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Bowling Green 25.5 New Mexico St 22.5

Bowling Green offense vs New Mexico St defense

The Falcons will go as far in this game as QB Matt McDonald will take them. McDonald had a decent campaign (22-8 TD to INT, 61%) and despite averaging just 7.0 YPA he was quite capable of hitting deep shots when you least expected it. Nine different players caught a pass of 30+ yards so we expect a lot of uneventful throws and some weak attempts at running the ball (101 YPG, #11 MAC), potentially ACCENTED by some hits of 30+ yards thru the air. Also note that McDonald loves to lose as much yardage as possible when getting sacked so get ready to enjoy that little quirk on game day! The Aggies rank #75 in the nation in rushing defense and a respectable #28 in pass efficiency defense but it’s important to note the New Mexico St played one of the weakest schedules imaginable (#147 per Sagarin).

New Mexico St offense vs Bowling Green defense

The Aggies rank #115 in the nation in total offense but they’ve definitely KICKED IT UP A NOTCH down the stretch scoring 54,49,65 in 3L4G. Now granted, two of those matches were against the dregs of humanity (Lamar, Valparaiso), but QB Diego Pavia has definitely gotten HOT at the right time. The most important piece of news to follow for those who want some SWEET ACTION on this game is the status of the aforementioned Pavia who is dealing with a hamstring injury. Keep tabs on his status. He’s a legit dual-threat QB and you don’t want your money riding on back-up Gavin Frakes (50%, 4-7 TD to INT). Bowling Green is nothing special on defense (#10 MAC total D) but note that they’ve got an excellent pass rush (37 sacks, #1 MAC) and they boast one of the best pass rushers in the nation in DE Karl Brooks (10 sacks). He’s playing in this one as far as we know at press time.

Trends, Intangibles and More!

Both teams are happy to be here and should be motivated to bag a win…..The Falcons haven’t played in a bowl game since 2015 whilst New Mexico St has only participated in ONE bowl game since 1960…..That was a thrilling OT win over Utah St in the 2017 Arizona Bowl……Aggies’ HC Jerry Kill did a another great coaching job this year but note that he’s 0-5 (!) in bowl games over his fine career.


We expect this one to be a four-quarter battle and a one-score game. Hard to pick a side at this point without knowing the status of New Mexico St’s starting QB so we’ll take a pass for now. If he’s out, we’ll almost certainly look for some SWEET IN-GAME ACTION of some kind on the Falcons.


No leanage


‘Official play’ implies we have played the game for our standard wager amount.

‘Lean’ implies we are comfortable suggesting ‘small potatoes’ on the game if you want to get down on some sweet action.

‘No leanage’ implies we won’t be involved in the game from a betting standpoint. In-game wagering possibilities only.

2 thoughts on “2022 Quick Lane Bowl – New Mexico St vs Bowling Green”

  1. Sounds like Brooks is in .. like could declare for the NFL but wants to play w the bros which is a pretty good sign IMO esp when we see how these guys were all excited to beat Toledo to get there .. and close by detroit .. no destination but def a family and friends close enough bowl ..

    Pavia idk hard to tell can’t find anything on him .. not even the valpo game .. maybe they show up like we want to win but seems very verrrry much more like a ‘we’re glad to have made it’ .. Pavia in I kinda like the over here at 48 its kinda tellin us something I think cuz these defenses pretty much stiiiiiiiiiiink baaaad .. maybe BG’s pass rush gets him bottled up .. but man NMSU beats the crap outta Liberty when it leaks Freeze is leaving and totally meaningless game for them anyway .. saw on the Lib fan site Sea of Red that the team just looked totally deflated all game the last straw was Brewer starting the game .. otherwise NMSU’s top win is either NM or Hawaii, Umass maybe idk its wayyy down there ..

    Also NMSU was basically all transfers after sitting out the fakedemic year I remember them getting throttled by Tarleton state and pulled a huge surprise vs Dixie State as 28 point underdogs .. both those teams were new adds to FCS from D2 btw .. so i guess come a long way but idk crap ton of guys played this year can’t imagine much real camaraderie on the team .. like T minus how long till Pavia is in the portal, right? .. def seems like BG gunna show up for this one lotta those Ohio bros playing for years to get here and kinda expect the disappointing opponent feeling to turn into a let’s romp the crap outta these guys feeling come gameday .. and yeah no Pavia then seems like total tee off ..

    1. good points. definitely prefer the Falcons in this one, New Mex St prob only team i haven’t seen play this year lol. May reconsider closer to kick. If Pavia DOES make a guest appearance maybe line goes down? just a guess, then get BG at pick em or something? So hard to play these games early you never know, and what if your boy Brooks DOES decide to bail. Might upgrade this one to lean club status lol.

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