Week 5 – Boxscore and Wagering Review!

Hey everyone.

Here’s the Week 5 Boxscore and Wagering review. FBS vs FBS MATCHUPS ONLY.

Let’s go!

This is also noted below in the wagering recap:

It appears we have the same issue as 2022. Last season the small plays/leans were 114-90 (56%) and the big plays (send-out plays) were 23-23. This year the small plays/leans are 35-23 (60%) and the big plays (send-out plays) are a gross 5-13. We previously recommended that (for example) a $20 bettor play about $25 on the big plays. Our revised opinion is that until they turn around we suggest playing every opinion (large and small) for the same $ amount, and as always, only if you agree with our assessment. We’ll continue to do our best to send out what we believe are the best of the bunch and we’ll keep reassessing our process on a weekly basis.

Overall, enjoy all the content on the site and play safe!

Boxscore review:

AAC

SMU 34 Charlotte 16 – yards closer than you would think given the final score……363-331 yard edge for Mustangs….kind of a snoozer….up 17-3 at half

Tulane 35 UAB 23 – Blazers led at half 20-14!….only managed 3 points in 2nd half……448-434 yard edge as 3 TD favs

Rice 24 East Carolina 17 – misleading final…..ARRRRRRRRRRRRRRR the Pirates had a 391-277 yd edge and were even in the turnover battle but found a way to lose and not cover

South Florida 44 Navy 30 – Navy led 14-7 and then it was the BULLS SHOW…..435-330 yard edge for South Florida and a nice game from QB B Brown 338 pass yards and 3 TD

Tulsa 48 Temple 26 – wire to wire comfortable win……….533-313 yard edge, Temple really stinks

ACC

Clemson 31 Syracuse 14 – very gutsy performance after tough loss to Noles…..389-286 yd edge….led 21-7 at half.

Virginia Tech 38 Pitt 21 – Hokies offense finally showed a bit of life….427-273 yard edge, held Pitt to 38 net rush yards

LUA-VUH 13 NC State 10 – Pack up 10-CACK at half…….shutout in 2nd half, D played great but offense still dull…..306-201 yd edge for LUA-VUH

Notre Dame 21 Duke 14 – Absolute heartbreaker for Duke but a nice win for the Irish after they had THEIR BEATING HEARTS ripped out of the collective chests vs Ohio St……381-323 yd edge for Notre Dame……And it’s time for the PULP FICTION GIMP to make his weekly appearance……Be prepared for the battery acid and the variable speed drill with the CEMENT BIT……Duke +5.5 backers looking great……Up 14-13 late! Great bet! Cash those TICKEE TICKEEES…..uh oh….Notre Dame has the ball with a chance to win…..at least they’re at their own 5 yard line!!…..uh oh…..across midfield…..WHOA! Duke stiffening up….4th down and 16!! Congrats Duke bettors…..uh oh…..QB runs for 17 yards…..1st down…….less than a minute left at the 30 yd line….Well at least Notre Dame will kick a FG and Duke backers still cover……uh oh……30 yard TD run….19-14….darn…..well at least +6 backers still push after the XP……uh oh…..ND going for two…..they get it…..21-14…..Notre Dame covers! Game over, start the cars, see you next week! Keep letting the government kill you with death boosters and 5G!

Boston College 27 Virginia 24 – Cavs up 21-7 at half…….BC outguns them 20-3 in 2nd half….winning FG with 2 min left….386-306 yd edge for Eagles

Bowling Green 38 Georgia Tech 27 – WHAT THE WHAT?…..Sit down before you read this……Bowling Green scored 38 (!) straight points on an AAC team……led 38-14 at one point…..438-417 yd edge for Falcons, 175 rush and 263 pass, legit win

Big 12

Texas 40 Kansas 14 – MOBSTERS didn’t have anyone hiding under the salad bar in the Kansas mess hall because nobody knew that Kansas star QB J Daniels was injured leaving the offense to Jason Bean (decent back-up, NOT Daniels)…..Kansas D held up as long as they could (down by 6 midpoint 3Q) but KU offense not in sync and Texas offense was relentless…..336 rush 325 pass

Oklahoma 50 Iowa St 20 – was a 21-20 game midpoint of the 2nd Q but two turnovers (including early pick 6) and a blocked punt (safety) did them in…..40-20 at the half, Iowa St shutout in the 2nd half…..overall 523-352 yd edge for Sooners, big game with Texas up next!

West Virginia 24 TCU 21 – WHOA NELLIE……Mountaineers get starting QB G Greene back and he looked fine (and mobile)…..TCU had a 433-343 yd edge but were outscored 10-0 in 2nd half…..WEST BY GOD VIRGINIA had 5 sacks, TCU none

Baylor 36 UCF 35 – one of the WILDEST comebacks you’ll see…..UCF totally dominating and up 35-10 after 3Q…..Baylor storms back with 26 unanswered points in the 4th Q to win! 469-446 yd edge for Knights….Just a KICK to the JUNK for UCF as they were playing their Big 12 home opener……UCF missed GW FG from 59 yards on last play

Texas Tech 49 Houston 28 – misleading final….COOGS win yardage battle 489-400 but Tex Tech with two non-offensive TDs….Red Raiders D shut out Houston in the 2nd half (14-CACK)

BYU 35 Cincinnati 27 – misleading final…..Bearcats dominated line of scrimmage and won yardage battle 498-295 but were -2 in t/o margin that included and early pick 6

Big Ten

Michigan 45 CORN 7 – Michigan has now allowed 3,7,6,7,7 points…..all vs turds but that’s REALLY good…..436-305 yd edge, Huskers with late TD on 74-yard run to break the shutout

Penn St 41 Northwestern 13 – 353-175 yd edge for Penn St but Northwestern led 10-3 and it was 10-10 at the half!….Another WATERBOARD SPECIAL for those who like to bet against HC James Franklin who’s just a mean dood who loves covering the spread……Laying 27….Game TIED about halfway thru 3Q!…..Congrats Northwestern backers!! gutsy pick…..uh oh…..maybe not…..inside of five minutes……27-13 Penn St…..TD with 4 minutes left…..34-13……Penn St gets the ball back…..up 21 with two minutes left…..SURELY they’ll run the ball and kill the clock……NOPE! James Franklin (after executing a barrel of kittens on the sideline just for fun) says THROW IT, BAYBEE…..30 yard TD pass……41-13 final….Penn St covers by a point.

Maryland 44 Indiana 17 – 472-321 yd edge, 352 pass yards in blowout win

Iowa 26 Michigan St 16 – IOWA pulls another IOWA!…..Sparty wins the yardage battle 349-222 but gave up late 70 yard PR TD and were (-2) in t/o……Nervous time for Sparty +10.5 backers……tie game late, then the PR with 4 min left…..Iowa by 7….As long as Michigan St doesn’t turn it over the cover is GOLD, JERRY….GOLD…..uh oh…..fumble….plenty of time for Iowa to punch it in…..Sparty D holds and Iowa kicks FG with under a minute left to win by 10……note injury to Iowa starting QB didn’t look good

Purdue 44 Illinois 19 – BOILER UP deserved to win the game but it’s a bit of a misleading final…..406-375 yd edge….had 21-CACK explosion in 3Q……5 sacks (net +3)

Minnesota 35 Louisiana 24 – misleading final….Cajuns had yardage edge 349-347…..Gophers were a combined 10-16 on 3rd and 4th down and +1 in t/o margin

Conference USA

Western Kentucky 31 MTSU 10 – 444-373 yd edge for TOPPERS…..led 23-3 at half…..+2 in t/o margin

Jacksonville St 35 Sam Houston 28 (OT) – NASTY and disappointing loss for EAT EM UP KATS……led 21-7…..28-20 late….Jax St ties it with 13 seconds left…..gets the 2-point conversion…..then wins it in OT…..435-393 yd edge for Sam Houston….Offensive EXPLOSION by their standards!…..note the improvement even tho it was vs another C-USA opponent

Louisiana Tech 24 UTEP 10 – Bulldogs got up 14-CACK early and was a pretty even game from there on out…..321-294 yd edge for LT, UTEP played with backup QB

Independents

MAC

Toledo 35 Northern Illinois 33 – scary moments…..Toledo led 35-20 and held on to win by two points…..NIU with two 4Q TD, missed two point conversion on first TD……..542-444 yd edge for Rockets…..big game for the division…..FIRE UP CHIPS may be their only competition and that game is Nov 24!

Central Michigan 26 Eastern Michigan 23 – Eagles put up a good fight and led heading into final frame….411-341 yard edge for FIRE UP CHIPS…….EM was a crafty 7-14 on 3rd downs

Western Michigan 42 Ball St 24 – 461-364 yard edge, up 28-10 at half

Miami Ohio 23 Kent St 3 – 292-206 yd edge, Kent didn’t score after the early FG

Buffalo 13 Akron 10 (OT) – another painful OT loss for the Zips…..254-253 yd edge for Bulls

Mountain West

Memphis 35 Boise St 32 – Tigers down 17-7 then scored 21 straight points……519-448 yard edge for Broncos and note they actually threw for 375 yards……May be time to go with QB Maddux Madsen…..11/14 175 2 TD

Air Force 49 San Diego 10 – Falcons move to 5-0 and Wyoming up next…..476-227 yard edge including 189 yard edge

Wyoming 35 New Mexico 26 – pretty even game…..433-417 yard edge for Pokes…..YES they exceeded 400 yards of offense

Fresno St 27 Nevada 9 – Bulldogs up 27-CACK in 4Q……410-220 yard edge

Utah St 34 UConn 33 – Huskies tie it in the final minute!!! oh wait…..BLOCKED EXTRA POINT…..lose by one……Huskies led the game 17-CACK late first half and gave up a bomb TD for no reason and then it was GLUG GLUG GLUG……473-416 yard edge for UConn

UNLV 44 Hawaii 20 – YES! Rebels are 4-1 seem like a LOCK to make a bowl game………449-259 yard edge, up 20-3 at half

PAC 12

USC 48 Colorado 41 – Trojans led 48-21 late 3Q but Buffs never quit and scored last 20 points…..Buffs with 564-498 yard edge and outrushed USC 193-95! wut?

Oregon St 21 Utah 7 – 358-198 yd edge for Beavers, Utah still without starting QB Cam Rising

Oregon 42 Stanford 6 – Ducks become first team to win back-to-back games by an exact score of 42-6 ** ……506-222 yard edge, 208 rush 298 pass

** needs fact check

Washington 31 Arizona 24 – 474-342 yd edge, never really in doubt but bit of a dull performance…..they’re allowed to have one!….Arizona back-up QB looked decent

California 24 Arizona St 21 – very good performance from Sun Devils in 1st road game down 24-13 but cut it to 24-21 with lots of time left…….Misleading final – 430-326 yd edge for Arizona St and note they were very aggressive on 4th down, hit quite a few big pass plays

SEC

ROLL TIDE 40 Mississippi St 17…….got up 14-CACK early and never looked back…..357-261 yd edge and +3 in t/o for Tide

Ole Miss 55 LSU 49 – WHOA NELLIE! what a crazy game…..706-637 total yard edge for Ole Miss…..Rebels led 21-7…..LSU up by 8 points heading into 4Q…..Ole Miss with 2 TD in the final 5 minutes to take the lead for good…..but they had to survive a late HEAVE into the end zone by LSU in a desperate attempt to win……LSU now has two losses overall, both teams with one SEC loss

Texas A&M 34 WOO PIG 22 – total domination by the Aggies…..414-174 yd edge and 7 (!) sacks….WOO PIG with 42 net rush yards…..Arkansas was +2 in t/o margin…..both teams had a pick 6

Georgia 27 Auburn 20 – another slow start for the Dawgs falling behind 10-0 early…….Tied 20-20 mid-way thru the 4Q….Georgia with winning TD with 3 min left….420-307 yard edge for Georgia….Auburn took advantage of their two turnovers….Nice 2nd half for QB Carson Beck……2nd time the Bulldogs have been seriously tested

Tennessee 41 South Carolina 20 – 477-333 yd edge for Vols and 6 sacks (!)……Revenge for LY’s blowout loss to the COCKS

Kentucky 33 Florida 14 – what a game for Kentucky RB Ray Davis!…..26-280 and 3 TD……Cats up 23-7 at the break…..398-313 yd edge…..Florida did a great job defending the pass but got run over by the Cats’ OL/RB

Missouri 38 Vanderbilt 21 – Tigers move to 5-0!…..yuuuge home date with LSU this Saturday…..532-300 yd edge, Vandy rolled with backup QB

Sun Belt

Appalachian St 41 ULM 40 – wildly entertaining game and horrible beat for ULM who played their hearts out…..App St wins on last play 54-yard FG……536-471 yd edge for Mountaineers…..Great game from Warhawks QB Jiya Wright…..268, TD passing, 74 rush TD

Marshall 41 Old Dominion 35 – Monarchs had a 21-3 (!) lead in the first half and managed to put up 35 points vs stout Marshall D…..464-434 yard edge for Marshall, Old Dominion rushed for an impossible 339 (!) yards, ODU played with backup QB

Georgia Southern 38 Coastal Carolina 28 – Eagles scored 38 points in 2nd/3rd Q…..465-438 yd edge for CHANTS but were (-4) in t/o margin……Misleading final

James Madison 31 South Alabama 23 – no contest…..Dukes up 14-CACK early kept lead safe……377-326 yard edge and +1 in t/o margin, and 5 sacks

Troy 28 Georgia St 7 – Panthers led 7-6 at halftime as D held them in the game but 22-CACK 2nd half for Troy, 410-298 yd edge and +2 in t/o margin

Betting review

Big plays

Iowa St +20 – (L) – closed at +19.5/+20…….very competitive game midway thru 2Q down 21-20 then didn’t score again

Cal -12.5 (L) – closed at +13.5 – had an 11 point lead in 2nd half couldn’t pull away, Sun Devils found a way to abuse the Cal secondary which was unexpected

Georgia St -1 (L) – closed at -1.5 – led at the half and then GLUG GLUG GLUG

Leans

Another solid week for the small plays: 7-3.

Wins – Tulane over, ROLL TIDE, UMass over, W Michigan, New Mexico, Air Force TT over, Texas St

Losses – Kansas, Houston, Georgia,

Push it, Push it real good – Louisville

Overall, enjoy all the content on the site and play safe!

Season Win Total Club

UMass over 2 – One win in the bag and still have Merrimack to look forward to!

Akron over 3.5 – ANOTHER OT loss. Need to win 3 MAC games. Playing well but gotta finish games off.

Virginia Tech over 5.5 – Backup QB starting to look better. This week is a loss but each of L6G are winnable. Need four.

Colorado St over 4.5 – 2-2 with lots of winnable games remaining

Kentucky over 7 – nice 5-0 start

Tulane under 9.5 – one loss, need two more

UConn over 5 – tie the game in final minute….oh wait….nope….missed the extra point. Say bye bye.

Futures and Props Club

ACC Championship – Florida St and UNC are a nice combo

National Championship – Original trio of Georgia/USC/Texas complimented with a few nice additions last week (Penn St, Sooners)

Heisman Trophy – Feel good with Williams, Penix, Nix, Daniels

ENJOY THE GAMES AND SEE YOU FOR WEEK 7!