Bowling Green at Akron – Preview and Prediction
AKRON 8.5 BOWLING GREEN (71.5)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Akron -7 Sagarin ratings – Akron -10.5
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Akron 40 Bowling Green 31.5
Massey Ratings Projected Score: Akron 38 Bowling Green 34
The Game
Wednesday night MACtion ! Is it better than Tuesday night MACtion ? Worthy debate, yo.
Akron is sitting at 5-5 and looking for one more win to become bowl eligible. They are technically still alive in the MAC East chase but need to win their last two games and get some help. Bowling Green has been a certified tire fire all season with a record of 1-8.
The Match-Up
Akron offense vs Bowling Green defense
We know one thing. Akron will not have trouble scoring points on the Falcons #HotTake. QB T Woodson has done a fine job at QB this season. Woodson has 18 TD vs 6 INT and should have no problem MATRICULATING in the passing game against a Bowling Green defense that has been struggling in every way that you could conceivably struggle. The Falcons are dead last in the MAC in yards per play allowed and have given up 42,40,45 in their past three contests. Prognosis: Lots of points.
Bowling Green offense vs Akron defense
QB James Morgan has made some mistakes (14 TD 12 INT) but has done a good job in his first season on the job. RB F Coppet has been his reliable self in the running game WR Scott Miller has emerged into a #1 WR (849 yards 10 TD). The Akron D has been shredded the past two weeks for over 1,100 yards and are definitely more than capable of getting torched once again this week.
MEGA MACtion MORSELS
Bowling Green has won 7 straight in the series and is 9-1-1 ATS L11….not saying just saying….Akron is 36-17 to the under L53 home games…..The Zips are -60 ATS last two games after getting blown up by Buffalo (?) and Toledo….Two of the ten worst defenses in the FBS are on display Wednesday night. Giddy up.
Summary
Is either team trustworthy ? We think not. Our fair line is lower than the market consensus but we put a lot more emphasis on defense. Neither team pays much attention to the importance of “defense”.
Conclusion
Official play: None.
Lean: Would lean slightly to Bowling Green if the line hits +10. Over seems like the most plausible result but 71.5 is a fair number.