College Football Predictions – Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 2019 College Football Preview
Record – 5-7
ATS – 4-7-1
It was “A Bridge Too Far”.
The Chanticleers got off to a hot 5-3 start and needed just one more win to achieve bowl eligibility for the first time. Sadly, they dropped their final four games including a disappointing loss to South Alabama in the season finale. They bagged a couple of quality wins (UAB, at Louisiana) and have to feel good about where the program is headed.
Jamey Chadwell officially takes over the head coaching duties and will try and get these guys over the hump and into the postseason.
2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating
East Division – #5
Sun Belt – #8
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 2019 Outlook
The quarterback situation looks promising with a pair of exciting sophomores at their disposal. Fred Payton and Bryce Carpenter combined for 66% completions and a tidy 11-4 TD to INT ratio a season ago. It will be interesting to see who starts the first game but we are fairly certain that both young men will get a chance to shine. The Chanticleers return #1 RB CJ Marable (719, 6.1, 6 TD) but do lose the proven depth they had in the RB room. Kentucky transfer RB Sihiem King could be a hidden gem. The WR and TE groups return almost completely intact other than one notable exception. Last season’s #1 WR Malcolm Williams moves on and he was by far the team leader in receptions and receiving yards while catching 5 TDs. We like the look of the offensive line as they return four starters to a group that facilitated a decent rushing attack last season (199 YPG, #4 Sun Belt). They need to clean up their pass protection in a big way after allowing 37 a season ago which was by far the worst total in the conference.
We are optimistic about the offense and think that the Chanticleers can get close to the 30 PPG mark (26.7 LY). The new co-OCs have some nice tools in the toolbox to work with in 2019.
Coastal Carolina struggled across the board on defense last year and it ultimately cost them a bowl bid. They were 9th in the Sun Belt defending the run (244 YPG) and yielded 7.3 YPP (#9 Sun Belt) whilst allowing 33.2 PPG. They also struggled achieving PENETRATION with just 19 sacks to their credit. There is some hope on the horizon as DC Marvin Sanders has eight returning starters to work with along with eight of the top-ten tacklers from a season ago. The bad news is that they lose one of their premier players in DE Jeffrey Gunter who elected to transfer after leading the team in sacks and TFL (5, 14) last year. The defense has a good deal of experience at DL and LB which makes us suspect they will be better defending the run. We worry about a secondary that allowed 61% completions and a mediocre 20-4 TD to INT ratio a season ago. Those four picks were the fewest in the FBS (Oregon St – 3). Fun fact: USC had the same TD to INT ratio of 20-4. Win a BAR BET with that tasty trivia nugget.
Coastal Carolina has allowed 33 and 34 PPG the past two seasons. We forecast mild improvement but it’s hard to bank on much more.
We really like the Coastal Carolina kicking game as PK Massimo Biscardi is pretty much LIGHTS OUT (13/16 FG LY) on three-pointers and P Charles Ouverson is solid (38.9 net LY). They could use some spice in the return units.
Overall – Looks good. Coastal Carolina has a shot to do very well in non-conference action as they have several winnable games in there (Eastern Michigan, at Kansas, Norfolk St, at Massachusetts).
Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Massachusetts (September 21)
The Chanticleers have taken care of the Minutemen in each of the last two seasons BUT this game pops up before conference play begins (Appalachian St) AND the Chants might actually be favored in this game. They have not been successful in limited opportunities in the role of betting favorite.
Season Win Total
Over 4.5 +140
Under 4.5 -160
Lean to the ‘over’. They should be able to get to five wins.
Conway is a town of around 16,000 just a few miles south of Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. We will be an hour away on vacation in a month. WOO!
The Chanticleer, pronounced “SHON-ti-clear” is a reference to Chaucer’s Canterbury Tales, a classic work of English literature. In one of the tales, the Chanticleer is a fierce rooster that rules its barnyard. Now THAT is a KNOWLEDGE BOMB.
MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral
These guys appear to be on the right track. They did well to bag five wins a season ago and were almost able to SHOCK THE WORLD by getting a bowl bid. This has the look of a five or six win team and they are probably at least a year away from contending in the division. Our SUN BELT INSIDERS are optimistic that they can get to five wins heading into the season finale with current DOORMAT Texas St, take care of things at home, and achieve bowl eligibility.
From a betting perspective, this has the look of an inconsistent team as they are still building from the ground up. We recommend taking a pass early in the year until we get clues related to defensive improvement.
BALL AT THE BEACH. LET’S GO!
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