Arkansas St at Georgia St – Preview and Prediction
ARKANSAS ST 3.5 GEORGIA ST (45.5)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Arkansas St -3 Sagarin ratings – 1
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Arkansas St 24.5 Georgia St 21
Massey Ratings Projected Score: Arkansas St 23 Georgia St 21
The Game
Arkansas St is on quite a roll when facing Sun Belt competition. Dating back to 2015, the Red Wolves have won 11 straight conference games, most of them in impressive fashion. The Panthers are sitting at 2-6 and are essentially done as far as bowl eligibility is concerned.
The Match-Up
Arkansas St offense vs Georgia St defense
The Red Wolves finally scored more than 27 points last week vs ULM. That is pretty amazing given that this team averaged 40 points per game in 2015. They are developing a pretty balanced offense between the passing of Justice Hansen and the running of Warren Wand and J White. The Red Wolves are not without their faults as they are ranked #115 in the FBS in turnover margin and #126 (!) in 3rd down conversions.
Georgia St has only won two games this season but is certainly not due to the performance of their defense. The Panthers are ranked #1 in the Sun Belt in yards per play defense and #1 in pass efficiency defense (5 TD 11 INT !). Their weakness is stopping the run but the Red Wolves have not had the consistency of past years in terms of pounding the run game.
Georgia St offense vs Arkansas St defense
MEGALOCKS SUN BELT DEEP INSIDERS are still not sure who is starting at QB this week. Normally, it is an overrated handicapping factor, but it is very critical when handicapping this week’s game. Conner Manning threw for 340,381 yards the last two times we saw him start. Aaron Winchester is a dual threat QB that is still developing. The Panthers probably have a more decent shot at winning this game with Manning behind center. The game is also more likely to be low scoring with Winchester at QB. Just our opinion. Remember, this is the Fun Belt.
MEGA MOJO
The Red Wolves have won the last three games between these two teams 48-34…52-10…35-33…It is important to note that these are two very different looking teams…..The Panthers are 2-1 at home this season vs 0-5 away from home…..TOTALS TREND GUY is in for a long night handicapping this bad boy as the Red Wolves are 21-5 to the over L26 conference games…The Panthers are 8-1 to the under in their last 9 conference games.
Summary
We are going to put this one on the back burner and wait to see who is starting at QB for Georgia St. The Red Wolves are clicking right now but the Panthers are very scrappy and have a really good defense.
Conclusion
Official play: None.
Lean: None. (Yet) Waiting to see if Arkansas St and the under are worth recommending.