Buffalo at Ohio – Preview and Prediction

OHIO 20 BUFFALO (49)

MEGALOCKS LINE – Ohio -14 Sagarin ratings – Ohio -17

“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Ohio 34.5 Buffalo 14.5

Massey Ratings Projected Score: Ohio 35 Buffalo 20

The Game

Ohio seems to be peaking at the right time. Win out, and they are MAC East Champs. The Bobcats are 6-3 and coming off a big road win vs Toledo. Buffalo is coming off a home win vs Akron in which they SHOCKED THE WORLD as a 20 point underdog winning by 21. Buckle up. This is yet another edition of MACtion.

The Match-Up

Ohio offense vs Buffalo defense

The bread and butter of the Bobcats’ offense is the running game. Even if QB Greg Windham does not go this week, Quinton Maxwell has been a very good replacement AND they are facing a horrible run defense. The Bulls had a nice match-up last week vs a passing team at home but now they get a running team on the road that has a good defense. Buffalo is ranked DEAD LAST in the MAC in rushing defense and yards per carry allowed. Ohio should be able to get into the 30s without much of a problem.

Buffalo offense vs Ohio defense

The Bulls have only managed to score 23 or more points all season and that was last week at home against a horrible Akron defense. Buffalo can run the football against porous defenses but Ohio is ranked #1 IN THE CONFERENCE in rushing yards allowed per game AND yards per carry allowed. This is just a bad match-up for Buffalo who have no passing game. Without the threat of MATRICULATING in the passing game, the Bulls are going to have a hard time moving the football.

MEGA-MAZEMENT !

Ohio MAC games are 15-5-1 to the under L21…..The Bulls run D is ranked #125 in the FBS…Buffalo beat Ohio last year 41-17 at home.

Summary

There is no doubt in our opinion. The spread is too high. However, this is a really bad match-up for the Bulls who need to be able to get the ground game going in order to be competitive. Puzzler at +20.

Conclusion

Official play: None.

Lean: None.