Michigan at Iowa – Preview and Prediction
MICHIGAN 21.5 IOWA (50.5)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Michigan -19.5 Sagarin ratings – Michigan -22
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Michigan 36 Iowa 14.5
Massey Ratings Projected Score:
The Game
The Michigan train keeps chugging along. The Wolverines are demolishing everything in their path and have a road date with Iowa on Saturday. Iowa is really struggling and are sitting at 5-4 needing one more win for bowl eligibility. They should have no problem getting up for a home date with the Wolverines.
The Match-Up
Michigan offense vs Iowa defense
This could get really ugly. Michigan has been very balanced and lethal and just finished destroying the Terrapins. Their #22 rushing offense should be able to plow through the SOFT UNDERBELLY of the Iowa D that has been very disappointing vs the run (#111 !). QB Wilton Speight is getting better every week and there is no reason to think he cannot lead the Wolverines to another big win. Michigan is averaging 48 points a game which is pretty insane when you think about it. Maybe they will move to the Big 12 ? Oh wait. They play defense.
Iowa offense vs Michigan defense
Long-time MEGALOCKS SUPER PLATINUM MEMBERS know how much we like underdogs. We just have a problem seeing Iowa doing much on offense, even though CROWD WILL BE ROCKING GUY would beg to disagree. The Michigan defense is just too fast and athletic and there is really nothing we can see Iowa doing on offense that will strike fear into the Wolverines. CJ Beathard is a good QB but he just does not have the explosive weapons needed to stretch the Michigan defense. Michigan is allowing a comical 19% conversion rate on 3rd down. Prognosis: Pain.
MEGA BITS
The underdog is 10-3 ATS L13 when these two teams hook up…..The over is an unthinkable 15-2 L17 in Michigan games….Iowa is 1-9-1 ATS L11 home games.
Summary
Gonna buck the trend. Yikes. Feeling like their will be a lot of running and hopefully a bit of fire from the Iowa defense early on in the game. Iowa is going to have problems moving the ball at all.
Conclusion
Official play: Michigan / Iowa FIRST HALF under 27.5 -105
Lean: Michigan at -22.5 or better.