Arkansas St at Texas St – Preview and Prediction
ARKANSAS ST 23 TEXAS ST (53)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Arkansas St -25 Sagarin ratings – Arkansas St -24
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Arkansas St 38 Texas St 15
Massey Ratings Projected Score: Arkansas St 38 Texas St 14
The Game
The Red Wolves are playing for a share of the Sun Belt conference title. That is no small accomplishment given the lack of confidence they had coming into conference play with a record of 0-4. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are playing out the string waiting for the season to be over. The played a decent 2nd half vs a lot of Troy backups last week. They have been outscored 280-99 in Fun Belt play.
The Match-Up
Arkansas St offense vs Texas St defense
The Red Wolves have not had the explosive offense of recent seasons but they should have little trouble with the Texas St defense. The Red Wolves are 3rd in the Sun Belt in passing behind QB J Hansen and have a middle of the pack run game that should be able to gash the SOFT UNDERBELLY of the Bobcats who are ranked at or near the bottom in many Sun Belt defensive categories. Penalties and turnovers have been known to slow the Red Wolves down and they are not the most consistent team out there #HotTake.
Texas St offense vs Arkansas St defense
Who knows what the Bobcats are going to throw out there at QB on Saturday ? And they also sport the worst running game in the FBS as measured by yards per game. The Arkansas St defense is pretty stingy allowing 5.35 yards per play (#4 Sun Belt) and should be able to bottle up anything the Bobcats try to do on offense.
MEGA-MAZING TIDBITS
Arkansas St is playing in their 3rd straight road game…..Texas St got blown to pieces last year in their visit to Jonesboro (55-17)……The under is 7-2 in the last 9 Texas St home games….To make things more interesting….Ark St conference games are 20-6-1 to the over L27…..Have fun with that.
Summary
Texas St is probably the worst team in the FBS. We are just not sure about the mindset of the Red Wolves. It is their 3rd straight road game and they know the game is in the bag. We think they cover but do not trust them as much as we trusted Troy last week.
Conclusion
Official play: None.
Lean: Lean Ark St -24 or better for small potatoes.