Vanderbilt at Georgia – Preview and Prediction

Vanderbilt at Georgia – Preview and Prediction

GEORGIA 14.5 VANDERBILT (42.5)

MEGALOCKS LINE – Georgia -17              Sagarin ratings – Georgia -10

“Vegas” Implied Projected Score:  Georgia 28.5 Vanderbilt 14.0

Massey Ratings Projected Score:   Georgia 24 Vanderbilt 10

The Game

Has Georgia turned the corner ? Have they found their identity ? Last week the Bulldogs punished the Gamecocks on the ground and improved their record to 4-2 (2-2 SEC). The Commodores really needed that win last weekend vs Kentucky to even think about making a bowl game. They now stand at 2-4 with a really tough schedule ahead.

The Match-Up

Georgia offense vs Vanderbilt defense

The Bulldogs racked up 326 rushing yards last week vs South Carolina and held the ball for 35 minutes. The combo of Michel, Chubb and Herrien all did their part. QB Jacob Eason was awful (5-19 29 yards 1 TD 1 INT) but the ground game and a well rested defense was the perfect recipe. Vanderbilt has given up 258 yards rushing (Kentucky ?) and 205 (W Kentucky) in their last two road games. This seems like a really bad match-up for them. They defeated two good passing teams this season (MTSU, WKU). Georgia is not that type of team.

Vanderbilt offense vs Georgia defense

The Commodores’ offense is ranked #126 in the FBS. QB Kyle Shurmur has only thrown 3 TD passes all season. Star RB Ralph Webb is the biggest weapon on offense but he has been held in check by good run defenses. Georgia’ run defense is ranked #4 in the SEC and #5 in yards per attempt (3.75). It feels like the Commodores are going to have trouble moving the ball (#HotTake).

MEGA-MAZEMENT !

Vandy is 5-46-1 SU vs Georgia….The last two times they visited Athens they were spanked 44-17 and 48-3…..HC Derek Mason is 7-6 ATS as a road dog at Vandy.

Summary

We do not like laying 14 points in an SEC game, but this just feels like a bad spot for Vandy. Can the Bulldogs score enough to cover ? Eason is good for a mistake or two. The Commodores defense is feisty. Tough call.  

 Conclusion

Official play: None.

Leans: Vandy TT under 14 or better.