Georgia at LSU – College Football Predictions
The Game
Here we go!
The Bulldogs look to continue their undefeated season when they take on LSU on Saturday afternoon. Georgia has been untested so far this season but have pretty much destroyed everything in their path. LSU lost a close one on the road to the Gators last week but are truly BATTLE TESTED having faced a much tougher schedule.
Who will prevail in this match-up? Let’s dig in.
The Details
Georgia -7.5 LSU (50.5)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Georgia -7
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Georgia 28.75 LSU 21.75
The Match-Up:
Georgia offense vs LSU defense
The Dawgs have had a lot of success this year as they have scored 38+ points in every game. They have not faced a defense as good as the LSU stop unit yet but they are very balanced (#20 rushing FBS, #16 passing) and are excellent on 3rd downs (#20). QB Jake Fromm is very efficient (12-2 TD to INT) and not afraid to take shots down the field once the running game has been established. LSU was abused on the ground last week by the Gators (!) and we worry about what kind of damage Georgia can do with their rushing attack over the course of four quarters. LSU has only managed 3 sacks (!) in their past three games and will need to find a way to pressure Fromm and force some TFL. The LSU secondary is excellent but it will be up to the front seven to get Georgia into more 3rd and long situations than they are accustomed to seeing on a weekly basis. We have a sneaky suspicion that the Bulldogs have a lot more to offer on offense than they have shown so far in 2018.
LSU offense vs Georgia defense
The Tigers’ offense isn’t sexy (or even mildly attractive?) but it has done the job this season scoring 33,31,22,38,45 and 19 points in their six games. QB Joe Burrow has done a good job as a game manager but did throw his first INTs (2) last week including a pick-6 when they were behind late and needed to force the issue. The LSU rushing attack will be good test for a GA run defense that has not been tested. The 1-2 combo of Nick Brossette and the FRESH PRINCE OF HELAIRE have combined for over 900 yards (!) and 13 (!) rushing TDs on the season. Burrow has proven he is capable of making some big plays whilst MATRICULATING in the passing game (WR Justin Jefferson 345, 16.4) but they can’t be playing from behind and need to get something going with the aforementioned run game. Georgia is a really interesting case study in defense because they are #1 in the SEC in yards per play allowed but DEAD LAST in the SEC in sacks (6). The Tigers will work for what they get but should be able to stay in the game if they don’t barf all over themselves with turnovers.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
LSU is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 SEC tilts……LSU has faced the #13 schedule in the FBS….GA #62.
Summary
Good luck getting us away from the TV when this puppy gets rolling. Georgia appears to be a legit playoff contender but we won’t really know until they start facing real competition and that starts this week. The Bulldogs have the superior team in most respects on paper but we suspect they will get the Tigers’ best shot on Saturday afternoon. The Georgia offense should be able to break free of the Tigers’ grasp over the course of four quarters but it is far from a sure thing.
Conclusion
Official play: None yet. Stay tuned.
Side: Lean to Georgia.
Total: No leanage.
Note:
‘Lean’ implies we are comfortable suggesting ‘small potatoes’ on the game. Nothing more. < but always stay tuned for updates >
‘Slight lean’ implies we are almost certain to avoid the game and/or total from a betting standpoint even for ‘small potatoes’. We give an opinion for those who need to get down and want advice.