New Mexico St Aggies 2021 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – New Mexico St Aggies 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 19, 2021

2021 SPRING Recap

Record – 1-1

ATS – 1-1

The Aggies played a pair of spring games vs FCS foes and got through them with a win and a loss. They got blown out by something called a Tarleton St (L 43-17) and took care of the always dangerous Dixie St Trailblazers (W 36-29). That spring activity may have positive benefits this year. Let’s check in with the team.

New Mexico St Aggies 2021 Outlook


The Aggies rolled with Josh Adkins in 2019 (63%, 14-15 TD to INT) and moved on in the spring to Jonah Johnson who showed dual-threat potential in two games. He completed 60% of his passes (1-3 TD to INT) and ran for a pair of TDs. They return their top-two rushers from the spring including Juwaun Price (196, TD, 5.9) and recall that they have a transfer from Michigan (!) in O’Maury Samuels who could take the #1 spot. It’s unclear what they have at WR and TE but six players caught at least five passes during the two spring contests. They return 60+ starts up front and boast Ole Miss transfer Eli Johnson at center. LT Sage Doxtater was taken in the 2nd round of the CFL draft by YOUR Toronto Argonauts. There’s potential for this offense to exceed most people’s expectations.


New Mexico St allowed 40+ PPG in each of their last two full seasons and need to make yuuuge strides on this sides of the football. The run D was particularly atrocious in 2019 (259 YPG, 2nd worst FBS). They return most men up front from the spring games but it’s probably still going to be a weak DL. The LB and DB units are also a mystery in terms of overall talent and a pair of their best players have transferred out (LB Devin Richardson – #3 tackles 2019; DB – Jason Simmons – #6). The secondary doesn’t have a ton of experience but these guys haven’t allowed more than 61% completions since 2016.


PK Ethan Albertson was 4/4 on FGA during the spring and P Josh Carlson had a fine 43.7 net. Juwaun Price booked a KR TD in the two-game ‘season’.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s pretty tough. They have seven road games, two vs SEC foes (ROLL TIDE, Kentucky), and have a long stretch between games in Las Cruces (September 25 – Hawaii, November 6 – Utah St). Speaking of Hawaii, they have some sweet HOME AND HOME action with the Rainbow Warriors.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at San Diego St (September 4th)

The Aztecs are nasty and the yuuuuge rivalry game with New Mexico is on deck.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 19

Over 2 +100

Under 2 -120


No leanage.

It’s hard to know what to expect from these guys but there are definitely a few winnable games on the docket.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Aggies are just a few years removed from their exciting Arizona Bowl win over Utah St (W 26-20 in OT). That was their first bowl appearance since the 1960 Sun Bowl.


Doug Martin has one of the more difficult jobs in college football as it’s not easy to recruit to Las Cruces, particularly when you have no conference affiliation. The offense has the potential to be decent but it’s really hard to know what to expect from the defense. How bad will they be? Keep your eyes peeled early on as they guys may provide value ATS as yuuuuge underdogs. #AggieUp !

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