Oklahoma Sooners 2021 College Football Preview
Created July 20, 2021
Record – 9-2
ATS – 8-3
All looked lost early in the year when the Sooners SPIT THE BIT and lost in back-to-back weeks vs Kansas St (!) and Iowa St, but they defeated Texas the following week in a dramatic 4-OT classic, and rattled off another seven wins in a row to finish with a respectable record of 9-2. Those victories included the Big 12 Championship Game (Iowa St, W 27-21) and a SPANKING of the shorthanded Florida Gators (W 55-20).
Oklahoma Sooners 2021 Outlook
Oklahoma didn’t run the ball as effectively as usual (180 YPG, #5 Big 12) but they were very efficient in the THROW GAME behind QB Spencer Rattler (#10 FBS pass efficiency). Rattler made a few too many mistakes early on but had a great 15-2 TD to INT mark in his final seven games. The top three rushers are gone but they add Eric Gray from Tennessee (1300+, 8 TD in 2Y) and note that Kennedy Brooks rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2019. The 1-2 WR combo of Marvin Mims (16.5, 9 TD) and Theo Wease returns as does their excellent receiving TE Austin Stogner who put up a fine stat line LY (26-422,16.2, 3 TD). Keep an eye on highly-regarded freshman Mario Williams at WR. They return three starters up front but lose a pair of really good ones including AA center Creed Humphrey who’s off to the NFL. Looks like these guys are in fine shape for their 7th straight year averaging 40+ PPG.
DC Alex Grinch has done a great job with this stop unit. Last season Oklahoma finished #9 in the FBS in run defense, #9 in pass efficiency D, and #1 in the Big 12 in sacks/game. Eight starters and their top-eight (!) tacklers return for battle in 2021. This year’s D is CHOCK-FULL of talent and includes a pair of players nominated for the Chuck Bednarik Award (best DEF player). LB Nik Bonitto booked 8 sacks and 10 QBH LY and DE Isaiah Thomas led the team with 8.5 sacks (13 TFL). #1 tackler David Ugwoegbu is a good one and a talented secondary adds a potential starter from Tennessee (Key Lawrence). This has the makings of another really good defense.
The Sooners have continuity in the kicking game and PK Gabe Brkic hit 20/26 FGA LY after going an impossible 17/17 in 2019. They’ll need to find a new primary KR.
Overall – The schedule is very manageable and they should STEAMROLL into conference play with a mark of 3-0. They don’t have back-to-back true road games but finish with a pair of contests that will decide their Big 12 fate (Iowa St, at Oklahoma St).
Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Baylor (November 13th)
Could be a lookahead spot as the pair of aforementioned yuuuuge games are on deck. Not sure we’ll wanna lay a ton of points.
Season Win Total
per 5Dimes July 20
Over 11 -110
Under 11 -110
No leanage. Hard to bet “yes” for an undefeated regular season. Looks like the perfect number.
Per the excellent College Football News website, Lincoln Riley has never lost a game at Oklahoma when they win the turnover battle.
This team is absolutely loaded and are led by a Heisman-caliber QB in Spencer Rattler. There’s no reason to think they won’t have another top-notch Big 12 defense. We’ll call for ANOTHER Big 12 title and think they’re an excellent bet to win ALL THE MARBLES.
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