Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 10 Boxscore and Wagering review. FBS vs FBS MATCHUPS ONLY.
Let’s go!
Boxscore review:
AAC
Cincinnati 20 Navy 10 – 354-260 yd edge, 13-3 at half, did not extend lead
UCF 35 Memphis 28 – 433-427 yd edge for Tigers, Memphis kept clawing couldn’t get there, 204 rush 223 pass for UCF, rolled with back-up QB
SMU 77 Houston 63 – tough break for in-game bettors that had ‘over 140.5’ …..just missed, yo….SMU QB T Mordecai had NINE TD passes, Mustangs with 56 points at the half, Coogs -3 in t/o
Tulane 27 Tulsa 13 – 482-257 yd edge, five straight covers for Top 25 Green Wave!
Temple 54 USF 28 – 621-471 yd edge for Owls and +3 in t/o; USF fires HC Jeff Scott after the game
ACC
Duke 38 Boston College 31 – 405-390 yd edge for Duke, BC played with back-up QB and he looked good….point spread HIJINKS……Duke -9 to Duke -12 backers early 4th Q looking good up 38-21……uh oh….TD BC….38-28…..Duke by 10….at least Duke -9 players will cash! Well done, great bet!! Such a sharp play….wouldn’t wanna be square and have a BC ticket….uh oh….what’s this….BC down 10 with 20 sec left…..Let’s kick a FG to cover the spread….”trust the science” becomes “trust the analytics”…..some computer wizard covered in scabs working in a dungeon confirmed that yes indeed, that’s the smart play according to the data…..Duke wins 38-31….BC covers…..Duke tickets die…game over….start the cars, thanks for coming!
Notre Dame 35 Clemson 14 – 348-281 yd edge, 263 rush yds for Irish and two non-off TD, led 28-CACK, greatest QB prospect of all-time C Klubnik came in and promptly threw INT
NC State 30 Wake Forest 21 – 414-325 yd edge for Deacs but (-3) in t/o margin
Louisville 27 James Madison 10 – 467-193 yd edge, 10-10 at half and then Dukes went GLUG GLUG GLUG…..
Florida St 45 Miami 3 – 454-188 yd edge, 229 rush 225 pass, Canes (-3) in t/o and used 3 QBs
Pittsburgh 19 Syracuse 9 – 337-145 yd edge, Orange rolled with back-up QB
North Carolina 31 Virginia 28 – 455-418 yd edge for UNC, Cavs with SWEET BACK DOOR TD 5 min left to get the cover
Georgia Tech 28 Virginia Tech 27 – Jackets won the yardage battle 463-304 and were the better team but they allowed two non-offensive TDs…..GT was +3 in t/o margin, rolled with true freshman Zach Pyron at QB
Big 12
Baylor 38 Oklahoma 35 – 499-413 yd edge for Sooners but were (-2) in t/o….Baylor got lead early 2nd Q and led the rest of the way
Kansas 37 Oklahoma St 16 – 554-415 yd edge for Jayhawks, Pokes rolled with backup QB
Texas 34 Kansas St 27 – 468-466 yd edge for Cats, they had A Martinez back at QB, key to game Texas ground game rolled for 269Y
Iowa St 31 West Virginia 14 – 391-200 yd edge, WV on three-game skid
TCU 34 Texas Tech 24 – 429-352 yd edge, 234 rush 195 pass, TCU stays undefeated!
Big Ten
Ohio St 21 Northwestern 7 – 285-283 yd edge for Cats, note it was VERY WINDY….utilizing the THROW GAME was not an option
Michigan 52 Rutgers 17 – Slow start then 38-CACK 2nd half, 433-180 yd edge and +3 in t/o
Penn St 45 Indiana 14 – impressive performance off loss to Ohio St, 483-196 yd edge and +2 in t/o margin
Michigan St 23 Illinois 15 – misleading final, 441-294 yd edge for Illinois, Illini turned the ball over on downs THREE times in the red zone, turnover margin was even
Wisconsin 23 Maryland 10 – 355-189 yard edge, 278 rush yds for Badgers, poor conditions
Iowa 24 Purdue 3 – 376-255 yd edge and +2 in t/o for Iowa, held Purdue to 168 pass yards
Minnesota 20 CORN 13 – 300-267 yd edge, CORN rolled with backup QBs, check status of Minn starting QB T Morgan
Conference USA
Rice 37 UTEP 30 – 502-313 yd edge for Rice, check status of Miners QB G Hardison…nasty CORNHOLIO for UTEP +3.5 backers…..tie game 30 sec left…..Rice getting in position for short FG…..+3.5 is a LOCK……great pick!!….uh oh what’s this?….It’s a THROW to the end zone….TD Rice!…..win by 7….Owls get the cover…thanks for coming….drive safe….remember to wear three masks….two is not enough!
UTSA 44 UAB 38 (2 OT) – 553-494 yd edge for Blazers, 2-OT thriller, MEEP MEEP still the only undefeated team in C-USA play
WKU 59 Charlotte 7 – 592-384 yd edge and +3 in t/o, after failing to cover by 37 points last week the Toppers cover the number by…..wait for it…..37 points vs Charlotte #funwithnumbers
North Texas 52 FIU 14 – 623-258 yd edge, 414 pass yds for Mean Green
Louisiana Tech 40 MTSU 24 – 446-420 yd edge for Bulldogs, got starting QB back, were +4 in t/o margin
Independents
UConn 27 UMass 10 – fairly even game, 369-334 yd edge for UMass but (-2) in t/o
MAC
Ball St 27 Kent St 20 – Kent St jumped out to 13-CACK lead but couldn’t put the game away….450-408 yd edge for Ball St, 196 rush 254 pass, massive game for Ball St vs Toledo this week!
Bowling Green 13 Western Michigan 9 – even game, 318-289 yd edge for Broncos, Falcons led by 7 in 4th Q, WM kicks FG with 5 min left to get the all-important cover…..ouchie for favorite backers
Central Michigan 35 Northern Illinois 22 – 451-316 yd edge for FIRE UP CHIPS, Huskies rolled with new QB making first start, CM rotated at QB with doods with different styles…..Under 53/54 backers get bent over the HAY BALE…..28-15 CM in the 4th Q…..TWO defensive scores in final 11 minutes….total hits 57…..THAT WAS A SQUARE PICK GUY knew all along that OVER was the sharp play
Ohio 45 Buffalo 24 – 474-260 yd edge for BOBS in dominating performance now in first place in MAC East……Bulls and Falcons also have one loss….Should be a NOVEMBER to REMEMBER in MACtion
Mountain West
BYU 31 Boise St 28 – 532-324 yd edge for BYU (!), needed TD in last two min to win the game
Air Force 13 Army 7 – 324-145 yd edge (!) for Falcons, 226-78 rush yds, only won by 6, first Commander-In-Chief’s Trophy for Air Force since 2016!!
Utah St 27 New Mexico 10 – 280-258 yd edge for Aggies…..led 20-10 with 5 min left 4Q…..New Mexico +14.5 backers looking GOOOOOD…..what a great pick, so SHARP, uh oh what’s this, FUMBO!….ball is loose…..Utah St picks it up…..SCOOP AND SCORE!….Utah St wins 27-10 and covers -14.5….Game over, drive safe!
San Jose St 28 Colorado St 16 – 468-355 yd edge for Rams (!)….That was the first time all year Rams exceeded 400Y of offense, SJ St +1 in t/o and booked 9 sacks
Fresno St 55 Hawaii 13 – 572-362 yd edge, led 55-CACK, Fresno St futures ticket potentially rising from the dead for MEGALOCKS FUTURES CLUB
San Diego St 14 UNLV 10 – 325-315 yd edge for Rebels but were (-3) in t/o
PAC 12
Washington 24 Oregon St 21 – 398-262 yd edge, Beavers got one TD on defense, 21-21 Huskies driving late…..inside the 5 yd line….Huskies -4.5 backers begging for a TD…..nope….FG is good…..Washington wins by 3, Oregon up next
Utah 45 Arizona 20 – 457-387 yd edge and +2 in t/o, cover really never in doubt
USC 41 California 35 – 515-469 yd edge, led 27-7, Cal kept battling and had 400+ pass yards
UCLA 50 Arizona St 36 – 571-468 yd edge and 402 rush yds for Bruins
Oregon 49 Colorado 10 – 479-367 yd edge for Ducks and +3 in t/o helped them get margin
Washington St 52 Stanford 14 – 514-337 yd edge for COOGS, they rushed for 306 yards and were +4 in t/o margin
SEC
LSU 32 ROLL TIDE 31 – WHOA NELLIE…..entertaining game!….15 points in the 4Q not enough for ROLL TIDE….get it to OT but LSU matches the Bama TD and goes for two for the win….It’s good!
Florida 41 Texas A&M 24 – 492-413 yd edge for CHOMP CHOMP, ace starting QB for Texas A&M came down with the sniffles on Saturday and did not play, CHOMP CHOMP 291 rush 201 pass and were +2 in t/o
Liberty 21 WOO PIG 19 – Flames led 21-3 at half, held for upset, WOO PIG with 428-315 yd edge
Mississippi St 39 Auburn 33 (OT) – 370-331 yd edge for Bulldogs, Auburn down 24-6 kept fighting, 256 rush yds, yuuuge win for MEGALOCKS SEASON WIN TOTAL CLUB as the Bulldogs just need to beat something called East Tennessee St for the ‘over’ to hit and another winnnnerrrr
Georgia 27 Tennessee 13 – Dawgs got jump 14-3 and played great D, 6 sacks, 387-289 yd edge
Kentucky 21 Missouri 17 – Cats led 14-3 after 4Q, Tigers take lead with two TD, Cats winning TD with 5 min left!…..252-232 yd edge for Kentucky
South Carolina 38 Vanderbilt 27 – 492-454 yd edge, 208 rush 284 pass for COCKS, Vandy (-3) in t/o margin did not help
Sun Belt
Coastal Carolina 35 Appalachian St 28 – 476-367 win for Chants…..led 35-14…..CC now alone on top of the Sun Belt East
Marshall 12 Old Dominion 0 – 387-209 yd edge, 4 FG for Herd
Georgia St 42 Southern Miss 14 – 521-202 yd edge, 388 rush yards for Panthers
South Alabama 38 Georgia Southern 31 – 514-366 yd edge Jags, Eagles led 24-7 and then 31-24 after 3Q couldn’t hang on for cover, that’s an OUCHIE
Troy 23 Louisiana 17 – 377-315 yd edge for Troy…..Sharp Cajuns bettors looking great…..catching +3.5…..Troy setting up for GW FG to win the game by 3……uh oh….what’s this?…..Troy breaks a 20 yd TD run in dying seconds…..game over Troy covers! thanks for coming, see you next week, stay 6 feet apart!
ULM 31 Texas St 30 – Bobcats miss GW FG, ULM wins despite (-4) in t/o, 380-367 yd edge for ULM
Betting review
Big plays
Texas A&M -3 (L) – closed at -1.5 after gameday news that starting QB was out due to the sniffles….It happens….best thing to do when you feel screwed is to stop throwing toys around your room and just watch the game and see what happens….on to the next one!
Wisconsin -5 (W) – rocking chair winner
Georgia Southern +4 (L) – closed +3.5, led 24-7, then by 7 after 3Q, full marks to South Alabama for owning the 4th Q
Leans
7-6.
21-14 last three weeks. Not quite the 22-8 run from earlier this year but let’s hope for a fourth winning week in a row!
Season Win Total Club
WHOA NELLIE! Looking solid.
Kansas over 2.5 – WINNER on Sept 17
Vanderbilt over 2.5 – WINNER on Sept 17
Maryland over 5.5 – WINNER. CRABCAKES AND FOOTBALL !!
BC under 6.5 – WINNER !
Kansas St over 6.5 – one more win, yo
Miss St over 6.5 – one more win, yo
Washington over 7.5 – one more win, yo
UCF over 8.5 – two more wins, have Navy and USF, what could go wrong?
Air Force over 8.5 – easy schedule left but gotta run the table
Wyoming under 5 – LOSER….Deserve it for doubting the scrappy Pokes!
Futures and Props Club
WHOA NELLIE! Lots of football left but there are some live ones……..
MEGALOCKS Heisman Club in good shape! ….CJ Stroud at 3-1 and Hendon Hooker at 66-1!….Current odds have these guys as the top-two favorites heading home.
Toledo +240 to win MAC West, yuuuge game with Ball St this week
Ohio to win MAC East at +500 and Buffalo at +550
TCU +1250 to win Big 12, last undefeated team in the conference
Troy +1000 to win Sun Belt, still hanging on to division lead!
Moneyline underdogs!
Finally hit a 4/5 this week after only booking a pair of 3/5s so far. CASH those TICKEE TICKEES.
The PORTFOLIO APPROACH (distribute % of $$ available to weekly plays, season win totals, futures, weekly ML dogs, etc.) has always been our preferred method to manage the bankroll.
CHEERS and see you for WEEK 11!