Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 12 Boxscore and Wagering review. FBS vs FBS MATCHUPS ONLY.
Let’s go!
Boxscore review:
AAC
Cincinnati 23 Temple 3 – 388-202 yd edge, Bearcats were (+4) in turnovers, yuuuge game with Tulane up next with AAC title berth on the line
Navy 17 UCF 14 – 314-248 yd edge for UCF but (-2) in t/o and held to 84 rush yards
Houston 42 East Carolina 3 – 515-315 yd edge, 435 pass yards, surprise blowout win for COOGS
Tulane 59 SMU 24 – bit of a misleading final although Tulane deserved to win and cover, SMU 470-451 yd edge but turned the ball over 5 times (-4)….Green Wave 310 rush yards
Tulsa 48 USF 42 – 573-499, USF up 10-CACK, Tulsa stormed back but could never get clear for the cover, Bulls true freshman QB B Brown looks like a keeper
ACC
Florida St 49 Louisiana 17 – 440-291 yd edge, up 21-CACK early and that was all she wrote
Clemson 40 Miami 10 – 447-98 (!) yd edge for Tigers, 207 rush 240 pass
LUA-VUH 25 NC State 10 – 345-291 yd edge for Cards, rolled with back-up QB, had 5 sacks
Wake Forest 45 Syracuse 35 – 543-477 yd edge for Wake, Orange led 21-17 then Wake rattled off five (!) consecutive TDs…..Orange with final two scores and earn a push at +10
Notre Dame 44 Boston College 0 – 437-173 yd edge, led 37-CACK at half BC kept turning the ball over (-4 for the game)
Pittsburgh 28 Duke 26 – 353-310 yd edge for Duke, fell behind 28-14 and then ANALYTICS IDIOT strikes again! Down 14, get a TD, so OF COURSE you go for two because that’s what ANALYTICS IDIOT doing weird things with HARRY POTTER ACTION FIGURES tells you to do!! miss, down 8, get another TD, have to go for two, miss again! Lose the game, who would want to win the game in OT anyway?…Pitt wins, game over, start the cars, see you next week! Wear those masks and get cho death booster! Don’t worry you have plenty of organs and the heart is overrated!
Georgia Tech 21 UNC 17 – WHOA NELLIE, Tar Heels up 17-CACK and then GLUG GLUG GLUG…..373-365 yd edge for Jackets and had 6 sacks!
Virginia Tech 23 Liberty 22 – 332-324 yd edge for Flames, blow chance to beat ACC foe and were double-digit favs
Big 12
Oklahoma 28 Oklahoma St 13 – 484-434 yd edge for Pokes but they fell behind 28-CACK in the FIRST quarter, QB Spencer Sanders played for Oklahoma St
TCU 29 Baylor 28 – 501-442 yd edge for Baylor, Horned Frogs win on dramatic last play FG to stay undefeated!
Texas 55 Kansas 14 – 539-346 yard edge and 427 (!) rush yds for Horns, Baylor up next
Kansas St 48 West By God Virginia 31 – 437-369 yd edge, WV rolled with back-up QB by choice G Greene
Texas Tech 14 Iowa St 10 – yup, Cyclone -3/-4 backers get CAMPBELLED…..422-246 yard edge, two missed FG, turned ball over on downs twice down at the goal line, boxscore equates to 102% post-game win percentage and 99% cover percentage **
** fact check: not far from the truth
Big Ten
Ohio St 43 Maryland 30 – 402-401 yd edge for Terps, Maryland had ball deep in own end late trailing by six but allowed fumble return TD
Michigan 19 Illinois 17 – 376-326 yd edge for Michigan, needed late FG to win, check status of star RB B Corum this week, yuuuuge game vs Ohio St
Penn St 55 Rutgers 10 – 436-167 yd edge, Penn St with THREE non-offensive TD
Indiana 39 Michigan St 31 (OT) – misleading final, Michigan St 540-288 yd edge, led 31-14 3Q, greatest HC of all time a found way to blow it, Hoosiers played with back-up QB and had just 31 pass yards
Wisconsin 15 CORN 14 – stop us if you’ve heard this before….CORN loses close game….led 14-3 after 3Q, Badgers late winning TD, Wisconsin 318-178 yd edge
Iowa 13 Minnesota 10 – 399-280 yd edge for Gophers and 2nd straight game with 300 rush yards but Iowa finds a way again, were helped by +2 in t/o, MEGALOCKS FUTURES CLUB members don’t throw out those Iowa Big Ten West futures!
Purdue 17 Northwestern 9 – 299-240 yd edge and +3 in t/o for BOILER UP
Conference USA
UTSA 41 Rice 7 – 394-230 yd edge, fine performance in potential dead spot, Rice went with back-up QBs
UTEP 40 FIU 6 – 525-71 yd edge, 335 rush yds, FIU got TD on SCOOP AND SCORE, Miners need to win final game vs UTSA to get to bowl game
MTSU 49 Florida Atlantic 21 – 615-356 yd edge, C Cunningham back at QB 448 pass yds 5 TD, Blue Raiders bowl eligible, Owls need to win final game to get to six wins
Charlotte 26 Louisiana Tech 21 – 414-350 yd edge, final game of the year for Charlotte, last game for 49ers fine QB C Reynolds
Independents
Army 34 UConn 17 – 370-320 yd edge for Huskies and they led 17-13 then GLUG GLUG GLUG…..Army 320 rush yards and ZERO passing yards, Army needs to win final two games for bowl, Huskies are done for the regular season and are bowl eligibilty
MAC
Bowling Green 42 Toledo 35 – 482-456 yd edge for Toledo but were (-2) in t/o……HIGH DRAMA late as Toledo scored last minute TD to “win the game” only to see Bowling Green SHOCK the WORLD and get a TD of their own in the dying seconds….Falcons yuuuuge game with Ohio up next
Miami Ohio 29 Northern Illinois 23 – even game, 365-356 yd edge for NIU who led early 10-CACK, Miami played with A Smith at QB, 185 pass 105 rush, 3 total TD, Huskies 200Y rushing
Western Michigan 12 Central Michigan 10 – classic OLD SCHOOL snow game!!…..357-253 yd edge for Broncos, needed late FG to win, that 25-yard prayer was not easy, both teams with seven losses and won’t be going bowling
Eastern Michigan 31 Kent St 24 – 459-357 yd edge, Kent St led at half 17-7 and blew it for their 7th loss, won’t be going bowling
Ohio 32 Ball St 18 – 427-367 yd edge for Ohio, 224 rush 203 pass, check status of star QB K Rourke who left due to injury, big game with Bowling Green on deck
Buffalo vs Akron – postponed indefinitely due to snowstorm
Mountain West
Boise St 20 Wyoming 17 – 480-308 yd edge, clinch division, Pokes led 10-CACK, Boise kept digging, winning TD with 7 min left, Wyoming rushed for 278 yds but managed just 30 thru the air
Air Force 24 Colorado St 12 – 359-244 yd edge, held Rams to 65 rush yds, note that Rams haven’t packed it in and have now covered in three straight games
Utah St 35 San Jose St 31 – entertaining back-and-forth game, Aggies won yardage battle 430-341 but were (-3) in t/o, winning TD with 3 min left, both teams now bowl eligible
San Diego St 34 New Mexico 10 – 459-209 yd edge, Aztecs have covered four of last five games
Fresno St 41 Nevada 14 – 524-389 yd edge, Bulldogs have won six straight and clinched a spot in MW title game vs Boise St
Hawaii 31 UNLV 25 – 427-369 yd for Rebels, even game, UNLV blows shot to make a bowl game, now have rivalry game with Nevada next week to end the season
PAC 12
Oregon 20 Utah 17 – Ducks 346-326 yd edge, Bo Nix started, Utah down 17-3 rally to tie the game, Ducks winning FG with 11 min left, each team with three turnovers
USC 48 UCLA 45 – phenomenal game!….UCLA led 14-CACK and 21-20 at half, Trojans burst out to lead in 2nd half, UCLA with ball and chance to win/tie late and throw INT. 649-513 yd edge for USC and they were +3 in t/o
Oregon St 31 Arizona St 7 – 443-276 yd edge, 222 rush 221 pass for Beavers
Washington St 31 Arizona 20 – Cats drop a big DEUCE after their upset win over UCLA and won’t be bowling….441-354 yd edge but (-3) in t/o and fell behind 31-6
Washington 54 Colorado 7 – 575-202 yard edge, 280 rush, 295 pass
California 27 Stanford 20 – 400-393 yd edge for Cardinal, led 17-6 after 3Q then GLUG GLUG GLUG…..neither team going bowling
SEC
LSU 41 UAB 10 – 565-259 yd edge, 266 rush 299 pass, held Blazers to 48 rush yards, Texas A&M up next
Auburn 41 WKU 17 – misleading final, 385-374 yd edge for Toppers, tie game 17-17, Auburn 252 rush yards, ROLL TIDE up next
Texas A&M 20 UMass 3 – 404-168 yd edge but were (-3) in t/o
WOO PIG 42 Ole Miss 25 – 703-503 yd edge for Rebels and had TWO RBs with 200+ rush yds and found a way to lose, -3 in t/o didn’t help, WOO PIG got start from QB KJ Jefferson
Georgia 16 Kentucky 6 – 363-295 yd edge, led 16-CACK heading into 4Q
South Carolina 63 Tennessee 38 – 606-507 yd edge for COCKS, Vols outta the CFP, lose star QB H Hooker to season-ending injury
Vanderbilt 31 Florida 24 – Commodores SHOCK the WORLD but were outgained 445-283
Missouri 45 New Mexico St 14 – 443-259 yard edge, MissoRRAHH keep bowl hopes alive
Sun Belt
Appalachian St 27 Old Dominion 14 – 498-394 yd edge, App St -16 backers get abused by some nasty BACK DOOR ACTION……up 27-CACK 4Q cruising to a cover until Monarchs get two meaningless 4Q TD.
Marshall 23 Georgia Southern 10 – 529-384 yd edge, 255 rush 274 pass, +2 in t/o margin
James Madison 42 Georgia St 40 – 425-257 yd edge but got off to slow start down 27-7 and were (-3) in t/o, Panthers not going bowling which is a disappointment
Troy 34 ULM 16 – 342-228 yd edge, Trojans win division with win over lowly Red Wolves next week
South Alabama 27 Southern Miss 20 – 411-298 yd edge, trailed 17-13 after 3Q, need win and Troy loss in final week to win division
Texas St 16 Arkansas St 13 – 340-291 yd edge for BOBS, Ark St ties game with FG 30 sec left, and of course, might as well play safe defense and let Texas St drive field and kick chip shot FG to win with 2 sec left! #strategy
Betting review
Big plays
Utah St pk (W) – closed at -1.5; all three biggies were TOIT games!
Iowa St (L) – dominated the boxscore but full marks to Texas Tech for gutsy performance in the red zone!
UCLA (L) – lost by 1/2 point, epic game, thought we had a shot late
Leans
5-5
33-24 last five weeks. Not quite the 22-8 run from earlier this year but let’s hope for a SIXTH consecutive .500 or better week to end the regular season for LEAN CLUB MEMBERS.
Season Win Total Club
WHOA NELLIE! Looking solid. Congrats SEASON WIN TOTAL CLUB members.
Kansas over 2.5 – WINNER on Sept 17
Vanderbilt over 2.5 – WINNER on Sept 17
Maryland over 5.5 – WINNER. CRABCAKES AND FOOTBALL !!
BC under 6.5 – WINNER !
Kansas St over 6.5 – WINNER !
Washington over 7.5 – WINNER !
Miss St over 6.5 – one more win, yo. FCS team next!
UCF over 8.5 – Need to win final game vs a TOMATO CAN
Air Force over 8.5 – Need to win final game vs San Diego St….Coin toss, yo
Wyoming under 5 – LOSER….Deserve it for doubting the scrappy Pokes!
Futures and Props Club
WHOA NELLIE! Congrats FUTURES CLUB MEMBERS.
Toledo +240 to win MAC West WINNER !
Fresno St +275 to win Mountain West – We are in the title game, yo
Iowa +450 to win Big Ten West – DEFENSE STILL MATTERS! Win vs CORN and we cash, yo
CJ Stroud to win the Heisman at +300 still in the mix
Ohio to win MAC East at +500…..Almost there, TD favorite to win this week, could still win the division with a loss – FUTURES CLUB stay tuned for possible mini-HEDGE…..will post in BLOG section and in the weekly analysis thread
TCU +1250 to win Big 12, see you in the title game!
Troy +1000 to win Sun Belt, still hanging on to division lead…..Beat a TOMATO CAN this week and get into the Championship bout.
CHEERS and GL this week!