Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 13 Boxscore and Wagering review.
FBS vs FBS games only.
Let’s goooooooo!
Boxscore review:
ACC
Georgia Tech 30 NC State 29 – Welcome to CRAZY TOWN, yo….Georgia Tech had a 93% win probability with 6 minutes left and a 23-14 lead, NC State said HOLD MY BEER and had a 95% win probability with 1:30 remaining (up 29-23)…..Georgia Tech’s backup QB runs for an 18-yard TD with 22 seconds left to give GT a 30-29 lead….NC State somehow had a 58-yard FG attempt to win at the buzzer and it just missed…..400-391 yard edge for NC State who were (-2) in t/o margin…..GITMO STYLE bad beat for under 50.5 backers….Game was 16-7 after the 3Q and somehow gets to 59.
Miami 42 Wake Forest 14 – It was 20-14 Miami (!) after the 3Q but they won the 4Q 22-CACK, nice game from the defense, 508-193 yard edge for the Canes, yuuuge game with Syracuse next week to book a spot in the ACC title game.
SMU 33 Virginia 7 – The Mustangs are off to the ACC Championship Game….434-173 yard edge, 17-zip at the half and they rolled from there.
Duke 31 Virginia Tech 28 – Eight wins for the Dukies and a yuuuge one for ML UNDERDOG CLUB…….403-396 yard edge for Virginia Tech and they were +2 in t/o margin, also had a 24-12 first down edge so you’d have to say Duke was fortunate to win….VT went with something called a William Watson III at QB and still almost pulled it off….They need to win next week at home vs Virginia to get to a bowl game.
LUA-VUH 37 Pitt 9 – Total domination….507-265 yard edge for the Cards, Pitt used 3 QBs.
Boston College 41 UNC 21 – BC led 41-7, two late TDs for the Tar Heels, 422-212 yard edge, both teams are bowl eligible.
California 24 Stanford 21 – BIG comeback in the BIG game!….Stanford led 14-CACK after the first Q, 21-10 after the 3Q, Cal scored two TDs in the final 10 minutes….374-261 yard edge for Cal and they’re bowl eligible.
Syracuse 31 UConn 24 – Our boy Kyle McCord threw for 470 (!) yards and 2 TD (0 INT) but the Orange didn’t cover thanks to some NASTY BACKDOOR ACTION….UConn TD with a minute left after getting a defensive pass interference call go their way on 4th down to keep the drive alive, 546-352 yard edge for Syracuse.
Big 12
Iowa St 31 Utah 28 – Utah almost pulled the upset thanks to a Pick Six TD and Blocked Punt TD….Iowa St needed a TD with 1:31 left to take a 31-28 lead, Utes missed a long FG to tie it in the dying seconds…..Utah lost starting QB Isaac Wilson due to injury and that didn’t help, 405-224 yard edge for Iowa St in a game that featured a very misleading final, Iowa St gets to the Big 12 Championship Game with a win over Kansas St next week.
Kansas St 41 Cincinnati 15 – Cats jumped out to a 27-3 first half lead, 428-374 yard edge, 281 rush yards.
Texas Tech 56 Oklahoma St 48 – Crazy game! Each team with 5 TDs in the 2nd half, 556-544 yard edge for Oklahoma St who went with true freshman Maealiuaki Smith at QB (326, 2-1 TD to INT).
TCU 49 Arizona 28 – Horned Frogs knock Arizona out of a bowl game, 452-326 yard edge.
West Virginia 31 UCF 21 – Mountaineers got a quick start up 14-CACK early and took it from there…..348-323 yard edge for UCF, WV outrushed the Knights 205-176 and became bowl eligible with a win.
Kansas 37 Colorado 21 – Dominating win for the Jayhawks who need to beat Baylor next week to earn a bowl bid….522-309 yard edge for Kansas who outrushed the Buffs 333-43.
Baylor 20 Houston 10 – Another win for YOUR Baylor Bears who keep on trucking….352-239 yard edge, Houston eliminated from bowl contention.
Arizona St 28 BYU 23 – The Sun Devils tried really hard to give the game away in the final minutes but emerged with a well-deserved win!….Led 21-3 at the half, 413-391 yard edge for Arizona St who are in the driver’s seat in the KOOKY Big 12 chase with one week remaining.
Big Ten
Michigan St 24 Purdue 17 – Michigan St led 24-3 at the half and then had to hang on for dear life……338-296 yard edge for BOILER UP but they were (-2) in t/o margin…..Sparty needs a home win over Rutgers next week to make a bowl game.
Ohio St 38 Indiana 15 – Excellent opening drive from Indiana and then it was all Ohio St….316-153 yard edge for the Buckeyes, KINGSTOWN PRISON STYLE beating for Under 51.5 backers…..7-7 late first half….Indiana punter gifts Ohio St late TD….Still only 14-7…..PR TD Ohio St in 3Q, ok it’s still only 21-7…..Then 31-7 (38) with two minutes left in the game….Under looking like GOLD, Jerry….Indiana late TD and two-point conversion….31-15 all Ohio St needs to do is run out the clock for under bettors….OOPS, run down to the 1-yard line, but get this, RB TreVeyon Henderson intentionally falls down at the 1-yard line!…..Now Ohio St can just kneel down and preserve the under!….Congrats under players! What a sharp pick!….Oh no, Ryan Day decides that he has to be more of a jerk than James Franklin and they punch in the TD…..38-15 final, congrats over backers! Such a great pick!
Penn St 26 Minnesota 25 – Very entertaining game, Gophers cut the lead to 26-25 with 6 minutes left but never got the ball again….Penn St ran out the clock thanks in large part to a fake punt (!) #ONIONS……….361-282 yard edge for Penn St.
Michigan 50 Northwestern 6 – Wolverines started a bit slow and then won the 2nd half 33-CACK, 396-128 yard edge for Michigan and they’ll be going bowling.
Iowa 29 Maryland 13 – 349-227 yard edge, Iowa played with something called a Jackson Stratton at QB but it didn’t matter because they ran the ball for 273 yards.
USC 19 UCLA 13 – The Trojans have won 3 of 4 and are off to a bowl game, UCLA led 13-9 after 3Q, 376-351 yard edge for UCLA in a hard fought game, Sadly the Bruins will be home for the holidays which is unfortunate as they’ve been playing very well for a number of weeks.
Nebraska 44 Wisconsin 25 – YES, GUY! Nebraska is going to a bowl game!…..Very happy for the folks in the GREAT STATE OF NEBRASKA!…..478-409 yard edge.
Illinois 38 Rutgers 31 – Unbelievably unbelievable ending….Rutgers take the lead with a minute left (31-30)….Illinois gets into position to try a 58-yard FG to win the game in the dying seconds on 4th and 13……MISS!….Rutgers wins! But wait?? Rutgers called a timeout before the kick…..Illinois reconsiders and runs a play with 14 seconds left…..No timeouts…..Pass over the middle to the great Pat Bryant….He shakes and bakes….TD!! Illinois wins! 431-387 yard edge for the Illini….Both teams are going bowling.
SEC
Auburn 43 Texas A&M 41 (4 OT) – WOW…What a game….Auburn blasts out to a 21-CACK lead, Texas A&M ties it at 21-21 and eventually takes a 31-28 lead with four minutes left, Auburn clutch drive and kick last second FG to send it to OT, Auburn wins it in the 4th OT, winning grab by WR KeAndre Lambert-Smith who ended up being a brilliant choice for our Auburn/Texas A&M preview photo…..469-464 yard edge for Auburn, each team with one turnover, according to our DEEP SEC INSIDERS the SEC Championship Game will feature Georgia vs the winner of Texas/Texas A&M next week.
Georgia 59 UMass 21 – Just 28-14 at the half, pulled away in the 2nd half, 550-351 yard edge.
Texas 31 Kentucky 14 – Longhorns led 24-7 at the break, held Kentucky safe, 442-232 yard edge, another great game from the Texas defense.
Oklahoma 24 ROLL TIDE 3 – WHOA, NELLIE! Spectacular game from the Oklahoma stop unit!….325-234 (!) yard edge for Oklahoma who’s off to a bowl game…TIde QB Jalen Milroe with 3 INT.
Florida 24 Ole Miss 17 – Can we say DOUBLE WHOA, NELLIE?….Gutsy performance from the Gators who’ve done a great job this season…Ole Miss with a 464-345 yard edge but they were (-2) in t/o margin and our boy Lane Kiffin passed up points twice deep in Florida territory and failed to convert on 4th and 1 on each occasion, Florida is bowl eligible, DREAM CRUSHER for Ole Miss.
LSU 24 Vanderbilt 17 – Tigers with dominant 474-308 yard edge and were 8/13 on 3rd down, Vanderbilt was 2/10.
Missouri 39 Mississippi St 20 – 475-338 yard edge, 207 rush and 268 pass, good to see QB Brady Cook have a very efficient game.
Tennessee 56 UTEP 0 – The Volunteers won the middle two quarters by a combined tally of 49-zip, 460-230 yard edge and the Vols who were +3 in t/o margin…..Vols are a virtual LOCK for the CFP if they can beat Vanderbilt next week….GET CHO POPCONE!
WOO PIG 35 Louisiana Tech 14 – The Hogs are off to a bowl game!….456-247 yard edge.
AAC
UTSA 51 Temple 27 – UTSA keeps on rolling…..529-289 yard edge, 309 rush, 220 pass……That’s six wins and bowl eligibility for the Roadrunners.
USF 63 Tulsa 30 – Bulls off to the races early and led 42-7 at the half, 715-478 yard edge for USF, 308 rush and 407 pass! Bulls are off to a bowl game and they’ll certainly provide entertainment.
East Carolina 40 North Texas 28 – 4th straight win for the ARRRRRRRRRRRRR Pirates who trailed 21-7 at the half but they rattled off 24 points in the 3Q, 553-447 yard edge for East Carolina, North Texas needs a win at Temple next week to get into a bowl game.
Charlotte 39 FAU 27 – The Owls led 27-26 with 11 minutes left, Charlotte roars back with a pair of TDS in final 5 minutes and change, 458-442 yard edge for FAU, neither team will be playing in a bowl game.
UAB 40 Rice 14 – Impressive showing for the FIGHTING TRENT DILFERS, 14-14 after the first quarter and it was all UAB from that point onwards, 364-337 yard edge and +3 t/o edge for UAB.
Notre Dame 49 Army 14 – Irish jump out 14-CACK right off the bat and that was the ball game, 464-233 yard edge for Notre Dame who have a yuuuge game at USC up next to end the regular season, Army is locked into the ACC title game (Tulane).
CUSA
Liberty 38 Western Kentucky 21 – The only thing more predictable this week than Liberty destroying WKU on the ground (419 rush yards)(!) was our boy Lane Kiffin passing up free points multiple times in a big game…..556-369 yard edge for the Flames and as noted last week, they’re very sneakily back in the CUSA race and they control their own destiny….Beat Sam Houston next week and they are in.
Jacksonville St 21 Sam Houston 11 – The Gamecocks are off to the CUSA Championship Game and they’ve won eight (!) in a row……332-259 yard edge for the COCKS, they outrushed Sam Houston 278-175.
Kennesaw St 27 FIU 26 – Yet ANOTHER excruciating loss for the Panthers….Kennesaw St was down by 9 heading into the 4Q and kicked the winning FG with a minute left….401-363 yard edge for FIU.
New Mexico St 36 MTSU 21 – Nice to see the Aggies get a win!….MTSU’s nightmare season continues…..447-382 yard edge for the Blue Raiders but they were (-2) in t/o margin.
MAC
Akron 38 Kent St 17 – The Zips take the WAGON WHEEL!…..527-281 yard edge, 277 rush, 250 pass.
Central Michigan 16 Western Michigan 14 – The Chippewas break a five-game losing streak and knock a rival out of the MAC chase in the process….307-184 yard edge and Western Michigan was held to 50 rush yards…..Central Michigan HC Jim McElwain announced that he will retire after their final game at Northern Illinois on Nov 30.
Miami Ohio 20 Northern Illinois 9 – Six consecutive wins for the Redhawks and they’re one of the three teams tied for first place in the MAC heading into the final week (Ohio, Bowling Green)…..324-242 yard edge for Miami Ohio.
Buffalo 37 Eastern Michigan 20 – Third straight win for the Bulls and victory #7 on the season…..They led 17-0 at the half….Eagles cut the lead to 23-20 in 4Q, Bulls pulled away late, Eastern Michigan with 445-398 yard edge but they were (-3) in t/o margin….They’ve gotta win next week at Western Michigan to achieve bowl eligibility.
Ohio 24 Toledo 7 – Big road win for the Bobcats who are still right in the thick of the conference chase….Dominating performance for Ohio…..367-215 yard edge and they outrushed Toledo 238-42.
Mountain West
UNLV 27 San Jose St 16 – The Spartans torture their backers on the point spread for the 2nd consecutive week…..Catching +7.5 and up 16-10 at the half….UNLV shuts them out in the 2nd half….NOTE the game had very rainy and windy conditions….Total domination for UNLV 388-114 yard edge as San Jose St’s passing attack was greatly hampered by the weather.
Boise St 17 Wyoming 13 – The Broncos had to earn this one…..353-319 yard edge, star RB Ashton Jeanty had 169 yards rushing and returned to the game after missing one drive due to injury, Boise St clinches a spot in MW title game vs either UNLV or Colorado St.
Air Force 22 Nevada 19 – YOUR Air Force Falcons do it again! Fell behind 12-7 and then scored a pair of TDs to go up 22-12, Nevada with garbage TD late, 362-319 yard edge for Nevada, ZERO passing yards (3 attempts) for the Falcons who rushed for 319 yards.
Fresno St 28 Colorado St 22 – Fresno St led 28-7 at the half and had to hang on for the win……402-332 yard edge for the Rams who now need to win next week vs Utah St and have UNLV lose to Nevada in order to make the MW title game.
Utah St 41 San Diego St 20 – The Aggies roll again….Down 13-CACK early and then finished on a 41-7 run thanks to the play of backup QB Bryson Barnes who rushed for 193 yards (!) and threw for 3 TD!…..489-412 yard edge.
PAC 12 / PAC 2 Championship Game!
Oregon St 41 Washington St 38 – The Beavers break a 5-game skid and beat their rivals from Washington St, 55-yard (!) FG to win the game with 20 seconds left….484-385 yard edge for Oregon St who held the ball for over 38 minutes.
Sun Belt
Arkansas St 28 ULM 21 – YES, GUY….Our AWOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Red Wolves win another one…..They’d beaten ULM 14 straight times heading into this affair and as crazy as it sounds….the 15th time was NOT the CHARM for ULM…..Warhawks lose their 5th consecutive game…..393-358 yard edge for ULM who were (-2) in t/o margin…..Monster game from RB Ahmad Hardy who paced ULM with 204 yards on the ground…..ULM needs to beat the Cajuns next week to make a bowl game.
Appalachian St 34 James Madison 20 – Great to see the men from Boone pull the upset!….24-point 2nd Q was the key….400-365 yard edge for the Dukes but they were (-2) in t/o margin, Dukes blow a 14-CACK lead and fall out of contention in the Sun Belt East.
Marshall 42 Old Dominion 35 – Big road win for the Herd who control their own destiny in the East, 513-471 yard edge for Old Dominion but they were (-2) in t/o margin….Sadly, the Monarchs won’t be playing in a bowl game.
Georgia Southern 26 Coastal Carolina 6 – Impressive road win for the Eagles who bounced back nicely after their loss to Troy, 385-290 yard edge for the Eagles and they were +3 (!) in t/o margin, CC was a combined 2/13 on 3rd and 4th down.
Georgia St 52 Texas St 44 – WOW! Georgia St SPANKS Texas St as 23-point underdogs…..They led 38-21 at the half, Texas St with a bunch of garbage points at the end to make it look close….507-459 yard edge for Georgia St and note that they were +4 in t/o margin.
Louisiana 51 Troy 30 – Bit of a misleading final as the Cajuns had a mere 419-394 yard edge but they were +3 in t/o margin….Louisiana controls their own destiny in the FUN BELT West heading into the final week.
South Alabama 35 Southern Miss 14 – The Golden Eagles jumped out to an 8-0 lead and that was pretty much it for them….At least they held on for the cover…..380-306 yard edge for the Jags.
Betting review
“Official” plays / Large plays
Auburn +2.5 (W) – Got off to a 21-0 lead, fell behind by a FG, tied it up, and then won it in 4 OT.
Ole Miss -10 (L) – Nice win for the Gators! The “sharp money” got on board and drove the number to -13.
“Leans” / Regular plays
4-3
ML Underdog Parlay Club
Logic dictates that this can’t be happening. Yet it is.
ANOTHER 4/5 week and BOOM goes the DYNAMITE for the ML UNDERDOG PARLAY CLUB! That’s 9/13 weeks of hitting three or more and a 4th week of connecting on 4/5. Thanks to those who have sent screenshots of their winning TICKEE TICKEE!
See the ML Underdog blog posts for more details. It’s been a great ride this year for ML UNDERDOG CLUB. We’ll try and finish strong in the final week!
Season Win Total Club
Vanderbilt over 2.5 – WINNER! They’ve got six wins and are heading to a bowl game.
Indiana over 5.5 – WINNER! 10-1 with one regular season game remaining.
Troy under 6.5 – WINNER! They sit at 3-8 as we approach press time.
Navy over 5.5 – WINNER! Seven wins so far.
Connecticut over 4.5 – WINNER! Seven wins and heading to a bowl game.
Michigan St over 4.5 – WINNER! Five wins. Let’s see if they can become bowl eligible in their final contest.
Arkansas St over 7 – WINNER! Haters of the AWOOOOO Red Wolves can keep eating paint chips and drooling all over their keyboards.
Louisiana Tech under 5 – The Bulldogs are 4-7 with one game remaining (home to Kennesaw St; They should win that game but you never know). Worst case scenario is a ‘push’.
FIU over 4 – Sitting at 3-8. They’ve lost close ones to Liberty, Sam Houston, and Jacksonville St. You can now add a brutal choke-job vs Kennesaw St this week. They play MTSU in their final contest at home and FIU should win to get us a ‘push’, but once again, you never know!
Hawaii over 5 – They’re 4-7 and need to beat New Mexico at home this week to get us a ‘push’. The Lobos are playing really well right now so we’ll see what happens.
Temple under 2.5 – LOSER. Owls have three wins. HOOT HOOT! Congrats to the Owls and ‘over’ backers.
Arizona St under 4.5 – LOSER. Congrats, Sun Devils who just might make the Big 12 Championship Game!
Futures and Props Club
Oregon to win the Big Ten at +250 looks decent; They’ve clinched a spot in the title game.
Miami to win the ACC at +450 looks good but they need to beat Syracuse this week to get into the title match. SMU at +2000 is very much in play given that they’ll face Miami or Clemson for all the ACC marbles.
Iowa St +1000 to win the Big 12 is alive and they’re in the title game with a win over Kansas St this week.
Texas A&M at +2000 to win the SEC still has life but they need to beat Texas this week for an opportunity to take down Georgia in the SEC Championship Game.
Miami Ohio (+240) controls their own destiny and are in the MAC Championship Game with a win over mighty Bowling Green this week. If they lose, they need help.
Oregon to win it all at +750, Georgia at +325, and Miami at +6600 all have proof of life. Get three teams into the dance and see what happens, yo.
Enjoy the games this week, PLAY SAFE, and we’ll talk to you on these pages after week 14!