Week 14, Pick 1

Hey everyone.

Week 14, Pick 1

Just one “official” send-out pick this week. Tight lines and some injured starting QBs have made the card tough to navigate. As always, check out the Quick Takes page and the full game write-ups for more wagering suggestions.

Alabama over 55 -110

Rot #318 4pm Saturday

55 is widely available and the current market consensus. 55.5s are starting to pop-up.

Note from Week 13 Boxscore and Wagering review……..

Picking what we believe are the best of the bunch for “official” plays has worked out badly this season. 11-21-2 on the season for the “official picks”. Small plays/Leans are now 81-59 (58%). In 2022, the “official” plays were 23-23 and the small plays/leans were 114-90 (56%). We’ll continue to examine our process on a weekly basis and do a much deeper dive once the season is completed.

We’ll continue to send out our favorite picks of the week as “official plays” as we have always done (perceived line value, match-up edges, coaching, trends, etc.), but as mentioned around midseason, we recommend that it’s best to risk the same amount on the small/plays leans as you do with the “official” picks. That’s what we’ve been doing so we suggest the same for everyone else.

As always, whatever you decide, play safe!

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