Texas A&M at Miami
posted Sept 7
The Game
Yes, guy.
These two teams were PURE FILTH last season but both of them got off to hot starts in week one. Texas A&M blasted the visiting New Mexico Lobos in their opener (W 52-10) whilst YOUR Miami Hurricanes dismantled Miami Ohio (W 38-3) who happen to be one of the best defensive teams in the MAC. Which of these two emerging JUGGERNAUTS will keep their season moving in the right direction?
The Details
Texas A&M -4 Miami (51)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Texas A&M -4
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Texas A&M 27.5 Miami 23.5
Texas A&M offense vs Miami defense
The Aggies looked good vs New Mexico and QB Connor Weigman had a fine game (24-34, 236, 5-0 TD to INT). The Texas A&M WR corps is gonna give the Miami CBs some problems but it’s important to note that the Lobos defense is horrible and the Aggies didn’t have a play longer than 35 yards. They were sacked a couple of times and averaged a milquetoast 4.6 YPC. Miami’s defense was excellent vs the Redhawks but this is obviously a yuuuge step up in competition. They held up well last year in College Station and should be able to do enough to support a victory if they can limit the big plays and force Weigman into a few mistakes.
Miami offense vs Texas A&M defense
The Hurricanes made a concerted effort to upgrade the offensive line and although it was just Miami Ohio, it seems clear that the unit is a lot better than what we saw last season. They rushed for 250 yards and threw for 243 vs the Redhawks and recall that a much worse offense did a decent job moving the ball LY vs the Aggies. They couldn’t put the ball in the end zone tho and that’s the big concern in this game. Can Miami score TDs instead of FGs when they get close? Texas A&M still needs to prove itself on defense as whilst they have an immensely talented set of personnel they certainly didn’t look like that in 2022 (209 YPG rush yds allowed). QB Tyler Van Dyke looked like his old self behind the improved OL but it remains to be seen if he can make the Texas A&M secondary pay on Saturday. They don’t have a proven #1 option at WR.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Miami outplayed Texas A&M on the road last season (392-264 total yards)…….The weather forecast at kickoff is 89 degrees and there’s only about a 20% chance of rain…..Miami HC Mario Cristobal is a disgusting 59-74-2 ATS over his career but at least he’s 1-0 in 2023…..Texas A&M HC Jimbo Fisher is just 7-13 SU in true road games with the Aggies.
Summary
We expect another competitive game between these two teams with a lot of emotion and enough big plays to keep us very entertained. We think it’ll be a one-score affair and lean to taking the points with YOUR Miami Hurricanes.
Conclusion
Lean – Miami +4
Note:
‘Official play’ implies we have played the game for our standard wager amount.
‘Lean’ implies we are comfortable suggesting a smaller wager.
‘No leanage’ implies we won’t be involved.