Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 3 Boxscore and Wagering review. FBS vs FBS MATCHUPS ONLY.
Let’s go!
Boxscore review:
AAC
Army 37 UTSA 29 – wire to wire impressive win, UTSA played without starting QB F Harris…..442-360 yd edge for Army and that included 188 yards passing!
Tulane 21 Southern Miss 3 – dominating win with backup QB, 314-212 yd edge
Memphis 28 Navy 24 – lots of Navy action came in on gameday and WHOA NELLIE they gave Memphis a game…..Navy down by 4 driving late stopped on downs at 10 yd line, 432-408 yd edge for Navy, 133 pass yards
Appalachian St 43 East Carolina 28 – The ARRRRRRRRRRRRR Pirates had a scrappy effort were up 21-16 at half……App St dominated the stats 465-240 yd edge, 23-14 first downs
North Texas 40 Louisiana Tech….Furious 4Q…..Mean Green with late FG to get it home for ML UNDERDOG CLUB members….562-432 yd edge for North Texas and even turnover battle, so we’ll call it a bit of a misleading final LT might be really bad
Louisiana 41 UAB 21 – 2nd straight ugly game for Blazers….Cajuns up 24-CACK at half…..513-396 yd edge and 305 rushing yards for Louisiana
Georgia St 41 Charlotte 25 – 568-356 yd edge for Panthers….only rushed for 102 yards which was a surprise but they threw for 466…..QB D Grainger with 466, 3-0 TD to INT, 49ers QB T Ivey 257, 1-1, looks like Charlotte may have a legit QB
ACC
Clemson 48 FAU 14 – score a bit misleading just 367-293 yd edge but +3 in t/o
West Virginia 17 Pittsburgh 6 – 211-211 yardage tally…..WV lost starting QB early but run game dominated after the first Q…..Pitt needs a QB, yo
Florida St 31 Boston College 29 – Not a fluke….457-340 yd edge for BC and their young QB threw for over 300Y and rushed for 95Y…..18 PENALTIES for BC (5 Fla St) and they still had the ball down by 2 with a shot to win!
Wake Forest 27 Old Dominion 24…..WHOA NELLIE…..Demon Deacons down 17-CACK but rally back to win…..They booked an impossible 10 (!!) sacks…..ODU had a PAIR of defensive TDs
Big 12
Texas 31 Wyoming 10 – YIKES, Wyoming up 7-0 early and it was 10-10 (!) after 3Q….316-291 yd edge for Texas
Oklahoma 66 Tulsa 17 – total incineration, 595-292 yd edge, 476 pass yards, Tulsa turned it over 5 times
TCU 36 Houston 13 – welcome to the Big 12 Houston, 20-13 at half, 16-CACK in 2nd half for Horned Frogs, 564-266 yd edge very solid road game
South Alabama 33 Oklahoma St 7 – WOW…..Now THAT’S the JAGS team we thought we’d see vs Tulane……395-208 yd edge and +2 in t/o
Ohio 10 Iowa St 7 – Yes, guy…….It’s great to know when you have Iowa St that several team members got a bad case of FOOD POISONING on Friday including the starting QB…..Turn on the big screen….get settled in at 12:06pm…..SWEETS comes on the screen and says a “strange illness” is going thru the Iowa St locker room HAAAAAAAAAAAAA bad batch of sushi and that raw chicken never goes down well…..271-247 yd edge for Cyclones……but bad sushi + two missed FG + two INTs = three point loss….Congrats to Ohio and QB K Rourke…..hometown OAKVILLE ONTARIO.
Kansas 31 Nevada 24 – WUT????……..24-24 midway thru the 4Q !….Hats off to Nevada who many people including ourselves had thrown in the trash……Bit of a misleading final tho……441-258 yd edge for Kansas
Miami Ohio 31 Cincinnati 24 (OT)………16-game losing streak to Cincy comes to an end! OT win for the Redhawks……MISLEADING final…..538-358 yd edge for Cincy and rushed for 273 yards…..Bearcats had to settle for too many FG in the red zone
Big Ten
Michigan 31 Bowling Green 6 – kind of a sleepwalking effort…..4 turnovers (-1 margin)….312-203 yd edge, still haven’t cracked 170 yards rushing in any of three games vs TOMATO CANS
Ohio St 63 WKU 10 – 562-284 yd edge, 42-10 at half, two defensive TDs
Penn St 30 Illinois 13 – 383-354 yd edge, final a bit misleading more of an even game than the final would indicate, 292 pass yards for Illinois but they threw 4 INT (-5 in t/o!)
Maryland 42 Virginia 14 – another slow start for Terps but after falling behind 14-CACK they rolled….28-0 2nd half….461-354 yd edge…..Note FEAR THE TURTLE was +4 in t/o
Washington 41 Michigan St 7 – Yikes, thought Sparty would put up a bigger fight (and so did the market…..line closed from 16.5 to 14.5 at kick) and they had no life and were ripped apart……….713-261 yd edge for Washington…..How good does the PAC 12 look so far!?
Rutgers 35 Virginia Tech 16 – 319-302 yd edge for Hokies but played with backup QB and fell behind 21-3…..Cut it to 21-16 but Scarlet Knights rushing attack was too much…..Michigan next for undefeated Rutgers!
LUA-VUH 21 Indiana 14 – 422-357 for Cardinals….It looked like an easy cover (-10) up 21-CACK at half but Indiana came back and were held on a goal-line stand late on a shot to tie it up….Indiana QB T Jackson didn’t look too bad!
Wisconsin 35 Georgia Southern 14 – Misleading final…..Eagles were tied 14-14 with the mighty Badgers but they were (-6) (SIX) in turnover margin and threw 5 INT……GS won the yardage battle 455-451……Badgers pulled a cover out of their HOO HOO….if you laid anything around the closing number of -20.5 you probably thought you were TOAST
Iowa 41 Western Michigan 10 – WHOA NELLIE…..Any miracle cover for favorite backers!……WM jumps out 7-0…..14-10 Iowa at halftime laying -29……up 34-10 late looks like the Broncos get the money…..but WAIT!….Iowa HC Kirk Ferentz pulls a James Franklin D-BAG move and punches in a TD with 30 sec left for some SWEET FRONT DOOR ACTION
North Carolina 31 Minnesota 13 – 519-303 yd edge for UNC…..Minn did some fine work on the ground but had horrible QB play…..Gophers 3-12 on 3rd down, UNC 12-17, Drake Maye’s best game 414 yards passing but threw two more INT
CORN 35 Northern Illinois 11 – the Matt Rhule era gets a win and they did it in dominating fashion with backup QB H Haarberg…..Is the Jeff Sims experience over???….. We’ll see……382-149 yd edge for CORN and 224Y rush
Duke 38 Northwestern 14 – 487-267 yd edge for Duke, dominating win
Syracuse 35 Purdue 20 – 455-403 yd edge for Orange, well-deserved victory, QB Garrett Shrader was an ANIMAL…..184 pass, 195 (!) rush yards and FOUR TD
Conference USA
<see game tidbits in other conference sections>
Independents
Notre Dame 41 C Michigan 17 – FIRE UP CHIPS with decent effort but got worn down….21-14 at half….578-268 yd edge for Irish, hit a few deep shots whilst rushing for 236
FIU 24 UConn 17 – disappointing effort for Huskies and the Panthers are much better than expected with a shiny new toy at QB in K Jenkins………364-243 yd edge for FIU…..UConn stopped on downs late in game in red zone looking for the tie
E Michigan 19 UMass 17 – looked like a win for the Minutemen up 17-13 late but Eagles hit a 50-yd bomb to seal the deal….464-371 yd edge for UMass but (-3) in turnovers killed them, yup a misleading final, yo
MAC
Liberty 55 Buffalo 27 – 569-363 yd edge for Flames, totally dominant sucks we didn’t get this one on the leans/small play list but at least we kept the Bulls OFF the ML Underdog card and threw in North Texas! haaaaaaaa……Bulls in for a long season although it could be that Liberty is an emerging JUGGERNAUT
Mountain West
Air Force 39 Utah St 21 – yuuuuge start for Falcons up 29-CACK early 2nd Q and strolled home………428-302 yd edge, 344 rushing yards
Toledo 21 San Jose St 17 – Spartans up 17-7 played a strong game but Rockets fought back……..321-268 yd edge for Toledo but were (-2) in t/o and note that QB D Finn only managed 92 pass yards
New Mexico St 27 New Mexico 17 – 401-397 yd edge for Lobos….pretty even game overall so in that sense a bit of a misleading final….Difference was big pass plays from Aggies QB D Pavia who averaged 14.5 YPA
PAC 12
Oregon 55 Hawaii 10 – senseless slaughter…..34-3 at half………560-201 yd edge
Oregon St 26 San Diego St 9 – convincing win but failed to cover at home for the first time since the REAGAN ADMINISTRATION ** .….475-326 yd edge, good effort from Aztecs’ defense
** needs fact check
Arizona 31 UTEP 10 – as expected, 20+ point win, 544-283 yd edge, UTEP TD with just over a minute left
Fresno St 29 Arizona St 0 – Dumpster fire in Tempe, QB and OL injuries piling up, 350-230 yd edge for Fresno St, Sun Devils were MINUS EIGHT (8) in turnovers
Colorado 43 Colorado St 35 (2-OT) – Rams wouldda shouldda couldda won this game, super entertaining!….Buffs long late drive to tie it and make 2 point conversion, win in 2 OT, Rams with 499-418 yd edge looked much better with new QB
SEC
Alabama 17 South Florida 3 – Yikes….ROLL TIDE had trouble with the Bulls as 34+ point fav…..Heavy rain for short time then of course for safety we need a rain delay…..Soon it will be humidity delays and climate change hoax delays.all so we can see more commercials……..Bama used two QBs but OL was hot garbage…..310-264 yd edge, each team with five sacks
LSU 41 Mississippi St 14 – Blowout city, 530-201 yd edge, LSU QB J Daniels 30/34 361 2-0 TD to INT, 64 rush 2 TD.
Texas A&M 47 ULM 3 -total slaughter, 557-222 yd edge
Ole Miss 48 Georgia Tech 23 – 550-474 yd edge, 299 rush 251 pass for Rebels, QB J Dart was the offense…..251 pass/136 rush…..And what do you know….The PULP FICTION GIMP makes his weekly appearance to torture Georgia Tech +20.5/+20/+19 and similar backers….line closed at 17 so if you got in late you didn’t care……Get the ball gag and tweezers out……10 MINUTES left…..Ole Miss up 24-17…..woooo….a tight one…..Congrats GT backers! what a cover……Uh oh….Ole Miss scores 17 points in four minutes to take a 41-17 lead…..aw man so close for the dog bettors….Hey what’s this?…..GT has it…..converts a 4th down…..in Ole Miss territory….can they get the backdoor cover??…..TD!! 41-23 Ole Miss….what a miracle cover for GT!!….Wut??…..GT is trying an onside kick down by 18 with a minute and a half left…..great let’s give Ole Miss the ball at midfield….Thankfully there’s only a minute or so left…Could GT lay down and just let Ole Miss crank off a long TD run?…..Yup….all they needed was a tackle but nope…..36 yd TD run covering about 190 yards breaking 24 tackles….TD Ole Miss….Rebels cover!….Game over….Start the cars….Thanks for coming! Be a good slave and wear those useless masks!
BYU 38 Arkansas 31 – Misleading final….424-281 yd edge for WOO PIG but 2/13 on 3rd down, two turnovers, allowed 4 sacks
Georgia 24 South Carolina 14 – COCKS led 14-3 at halftime but Georgia dominated the 2nd half…..458-309 yd edge
Florida 29 Tennessee 16 – CHOMP CHOMP…..Florida owned the time of possession and took a 26-7 lead into halftime…..Vols win yardage battle 387-349, 10 penalties killed them on offense
Kentucky 35 Akron 3 – 450-239 yd edge, 14-0 at half, rolled in 2nd half
Missouri 30 Kansas St 27 – 430-408 yd edge, entertaining game, both QBs played well, Missouri hit a GW FG to win the game as time expired from 61 YARDS…..The “THICCER” KICKER…..MONEY MEVIS…..THE MOUNTAIN OF MOZZARELLA!! Lifetime moment for PK Harrison Mevis
UNLV 40 Vanderbilt 37 – yuuuge win for the Rebels!…..Vandy led 17-CACK…..fell behind….tied it with a minute left….Last second FG for UNLV to bag the win…..420-403 yd edge for Commodores but 4 turnovers didn’t help
Sun Belt
James Madison 16 Troy 14 – another fine effort from the Dukes! Too bad they aren’t eligible for the Sun Belt title (again)…..320-290 yard edge for Troy but they had (-12) net yards rushing
Betting review
Big Plays
Iowa St -2.5 (L) – closed -1.5…STEAM has been losing more often than not early this year but the mob found out about the freak food poisoning fiasco (see game tidbits) and got some SWEET ACTION down on the Bobcats…..It always pays to have someone hiding in STALL 7 at the team hotel to get the inside scoop, so to speak, on the aftermath of eating bad sushi and mayonnaise sandwiches that had been laying in the sun for two days……Still almost got there….two missed FG, (-2) in turnovers and won yardage battle
West Virginia -2.5 (W) – yup, another QB issue, this time we lose the starter in the first quarter…..Thankfully, the running game was a grinding machine and the defense was excellent
Florida +6 (W) – closed at +5.5, rocking chair winner
Georgia Tech +20 (L) – WATERBOARD SPECIAL…..see game tidbits above….closed around +17…..Looked like a winner late….We achieve CLV (closing line value) on selections more often that not BUT remember what we always say…..You can’t pay the bills with CLV, BAYBEE. Gotta suck it up and move on.
Leans/Small Plays
Losing week of 4-7 after going 11-3 in week two.
Winners
Florida under, C Michigan, Boston College, Georgia St
Losers
Mich St, WOO PIG under, Hawaii TT over, Gophers, UConn, E Mich over, Vanderbilt
ML Underdog Club (see Blog page)
3-2. YES GUY.
Three straight weeks going 3-2. Florida, North Texas, and James Madison got there for us. The other two were not close.
Season Win Total Club
UMass over 2 – one win in the bag, still have Merrimack to look forward to!
Akron over 3.5 – one more non-conference game then off to the MAC games
Virginia Tech over 5.5 – star WR gone, now starting QB injured for a while, still capable of getting to six wins but won’t be easy
UConn over 5 – dropped a penciled-in win this Saturday and are now 0-3; another team with starting QB injured, back-up looked MEH; still winnable games left but gotta pull up their socks, yo
Colorado St over 4.5 – looked a lot better, almost beat Colorado
Kentucky over 7 – 3-0 vs cupcakes
Tulane under 9.5 – one loss, need two more
Futures and Props Club
Conference plays really gets rolling this week. Should have a lot more clarity soon.
ACC champ – Florida St can put Clemson behind the 8-ball with a win this week
SEC West champ – LSU looked strong this week; Also have Ole Miss and Auburn in the chamber
National champ – USC/Texas/Georgia all look legit so far
Heisman – Williams and Nix off to good starts; Daniels had a big game. NOTE – we may take another position in this market this week; We’ll advise
Cheers and see you for Week 4!