Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 7 Boxscore and Wagering review.
What a week of games!
Boxscore review:
ACC
Clemson 49 Wake Forest 14 – Demon Deacons led 7-0! Then POOF, blowout city, 571-233 yard edge for Tigers.
Louisville 24 Virginia 20 – Cards take it late, TD with two minutes remaining, they had a 17-7 lead at one point only to see Virginia come back to take a 20-17 advantage in the 4Q…449-408 yard edge for Virginia, LUA-VUH has YOUR Miami Hurricanes coming to town this Saturday.
Syracuse 24 NC State 17 – Orange in control most for the game, led 24-7 in 4Q, NC State made a late comeback that fell short, 424-411 yard edge for the Orange, NC State was (-3) (!) in turnover margin.
Georgia Tech 41 North Carolina 34 – Absolute TORTURE if you’re a Tar Heels fan, or worse, someone that had a UNC +4 or similar ticket…..UNC down 34-24 in 4Q…….They tie the game with 44 seconds left! We’re going to OT tied at 34-34….right? RIGHT? Nope, Georgia Tech plays “safe” and runs the ball….Jamal Haynes squirts loose up the middle and HE GONE….68-yard TD Georgia Tech….41-34 final….505-417 yard edge for GT, UNC was (-2) in t/o margin.
Pittsburgh 17 California 15 – TOUGH SCENE for Pitt -2.5 to -3.5 backers……..The dreaded two-point win….Awful scheduling spot for Cal but they outgained Pitt 335-277, 23-14 in first downs.
Notre Dame 49 Stanford 7 – At least Stanford led 7-0 at one point…Bloodbath City……477-200 yard edge for Irish.
Big 12
Arizona St 27 Utah 19 – Utah QB Cam Rising made his return from injury and didn’t look great to say the least (3 INT)…Even so, nice win for Arizona St…..349-343 yd edge for Utah but they were (-2) in turnover margin…..Arizona St RB Cam Skattebo 158 rush 2 TD, 4 receptions, Sun Devils only have one Big 12 loss, Utes with two.
Kansas St 31 Colorado 28 – Gutsy effort by both teams…..Kansas St led most of the way…..Colorado set up by a big INT return and took the lead with 3 minutes left….Wildcats only need a minute to get the lead back for good thanks to a 50 yard TD pass with 2 minutes remaining…..426-359 yard edge for Kansas St, Buffs QB S Sanders was sacked 6 (!) times.
Iowa St 28 West Virginia 16 – Iowa St continues to be WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE……395-356 yard edge, comfortable win, held WV to 150 rushing yards which isn’t bad.
BYU 41 Arizona 19 – More Provo magic!….Fairly even in the stats, 398-390 yard edge for BYU but Arizona turned it over four times.
Cincinnati 19 UCF 13 – Sloppy game from the Bearcats but they got it done, UCF benched starting QB KJ Jefferson and went with a pair of backups including Jacurri Brown from YOUR Miami Hurricanes who looked pretty good….207 passing, 84 rushing, UCF had a 397-338 yard edge and could have won this game very easily.
Big Ten
Northwestern 37 Maryland 10 – Blowout city for the Cats!….MISLEADING FINAL as Maryland won the yardage battle 355-283 but were (-4) in turnovers……Northwestern pours in 20 points in the 4Q to help the ‘over’ get home.
Oregon 32 Ohio St 31 – Very entertaining game and yuuuuge win for the Ducks!…….Ohio St led for a lot of the game but the Ducks came thru when it mattered in the 4Q, chip shot FG to take the lead for good with just under 2 minutes left, Ohio St driving to get into FG range and the clock ran out…..496-467 yard edge for Oregon, outrushed Ohio St 155-141 and QB Dillon Gabriel was the better QB.
Penn St 33 USC 30 (OT) – Another wild one! Penn St was down by 14 points at the half but found a way to get the game to OT where they won it…518-409 yard edge for Penn St, they were (-2) in turnover margin, USC did a great job controlling the Penn St rushing attack (31/118, 3.8) but QB Drew Allar threw for 391 yards (2 TD 3 INT).
Iowa 40 Washington 17 – Important win for Iowa who’s lurking just below the top teams in the Big Ten standings……Misleading final as Washington outgained the Hawkeyes 393-328 and didn’t deserve to lose by 24 points but here we are…..Iowa +2 in the turnover department.
Wisconsin 42 Rutgers 7 – WOW! Where did this come from? We suspected the QB situation could be improved but not like this….And RB Tawee Walker went bananas….24-198, 3 TDs.
Illinois 50 Purdue 49 (OT) – HAAAAAAAAAA what was this??? Purdue finally wakes up and gives Illinois all they could handle…..Illinois led this game 27-3 !….Lost track of the game and then we see it’s 43-40 Purdue with under a minute left….The Illini tie it on a last play FG…..Goes to OT….Illinois TD to lead by 7, Purdue gets a TD and GOES FOR TWO and the win but the QB was sacked……..New Purdue starting QB Ryan Browne looked good 297, 3TD and BOILER UP rushed for 239 yards….Time to adjust your Purdue power ratings.
Minnesota 21 UCLA 17 – SO much PAIN for UCLA ML backers…….Bruins led 10-CACK at half, fell behind, took 17-14 lead with 7 minutes left, Gophers with a long and clutch drive and cap it off with a TD with just 27 seconds remaining….Bruins deserved to win this game 329-234 yard edge but were (-3) in t/o margin…..Yup, you guessed it, starting QB Ethan Garbers was back and did his thing with 3 INT.
SEC
Georgia 41 Mississippi St 31 – WHOA, NELLIE….Mississippi St gave Georgia a bit of a game as about 5-TD underdogs……609-385 yard edge for Georgia, they rushed for 150 yards and threw for 459.
Texas 34 Oklahoma 3 – Was hoping for a better game but we got the expected result, OU led 3-0 after the first Q and that was it for them, 406-239 yard edge for the Longhorns who face Georgia next week in a yuuuuge game!
ROLL TIDE 27 South Carolina 25 – The Tide spurted out to a 14-CACK lead and it appeared to be a blowout in the making……but NO SO FAST MY FRIEND!….South Cackalacky played inspired football and took it to Alabama whilst earning a 19-14 lead, Bama led by 8 late…..SC TD with 43 seconds left……AND what’s this? They recover the onside kick and come REALLY close to FG range but just couldn’t get it done….374-313 yard edge for the Gamecocks.
LSU 29 Ole Miss 26 (OT) – yet another beauty in a day filled with great games……LSU chased the entire game……Tied it up with a TD with 27 seconds left…..Ole Miss hits a bomb (57 yd FG) in OT, LSU with a TD!….465-421 yard edge for Ole Miss who probably deserved the win but that’s football, buh buh…….Each team had two turnovers…..Ole Miss playoff hopes hanging by a thread….LSU is undefeated in SEC play.
Missouri 45 Vanderbilt 3 – 461-237 yard edge in GET RIGHT game for Missouri, they’ve got Auburn and Alabama up next.
Tennessee 23 Florida 17 (OT) – This game had to be seen to be believed….Gators could have buried Tennessee in the first half but in a comedy of errors reminiscent of THREE STOOGES comedy gold, Florida only scored 3 points in four red zone trips, 361-312 yard edge for the Gators who lost starting QB Graham Mertz due to injury….Gusty road effort but Tennessee found a way to GIT R DONE in overtime.
Vanderbilt 20 Kentucky 13 – They did it AGAIN!…..Off the LEGENDARY win over Alabama the Commodores stun the Wildcats on the road…..324-290 yard edge for Kentucky, Vanderbilt was 8/13 on 3rd down and held the ball for over 34 minutes.
AAC
Rice 29 UTSA 27 – Yes, guy….The kooky Owls pull one out for ML UNDERDOG CLUB….Rice led by 10 points heading to the final stanza, UTSA scores a pair of TDs to take a 27-23 lead, Rice drives into range for a few shots at the end zone, 18-yard TD pass with four seconds left to win the game……394-389 yard edge for UTSA, evenly played affair.
Memphis 21 USF 3 – The Tigers had a boring but effective win over the Bulls and their backup QB…..349-258 yard edge for Memphis and the Bulls were (-2) in t/o and that included losing a fumble in their own end zone, a very ZANY play!
North Texas 41 FAU 37 – Impressive comeback by the Mean Green but we couldn’t get the cover at -5……That’s an OUCHIE…..FAU led by 10 with four minutes left and puked it away, 519-484 yard edge for the Owls.
Army 44 UAB 10 – Army moves to 6-0!….They led 34-3 at half and now have the nation’s LONGEST WINNING STREAK ! (10 games)…..515-303 yard edge, 413 on the ground.
CUSA
Western Kentucky 44 UTEP 17 – Another blowout loss for the Miners, 482-330 yard edge for WKU, big game with Sam Houston up next.
Louisiana Tech 48 MTSU 21 – Best game of the year by far for the Bulldogs, 34-14 at half, 553-336 yard edge.
Jacksonville St 54 New Mexico St 13 – WHOA, NELLIE, the Gamecocks keep on rolling behind QB Tyler Huff and RB Tre Stewart, 530-350 yard edge, 334 yards on the ground.
Liberty 31 FIU 24 (OT) – There’s no doubt that Liberty is GONNA GET GOT…..It just wasn’t this week….Panthers took them to OT but couldn’t win….406-344 yard edge for the Flames, 281 rushing yards…..We won’t see Liberty on the field again until October 23!
MAC
Miami Ohio 38 Eastern Michigan 14 – Yes, guy….The Redhawks finally became WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE…..75-yard TD pass on first play set tone, 421-339 yard edge, +1 in t/o margin for Miami Ohio, 199 rush yards.
Buffalo 30 Toledo 15 – Don’t look now but YOUR Buffalo Bulls are one of three teams tied atop the MAC standings!….Misleading final as Toledo won the yardage battle 418-369 but were (-2) in turnovers and just 4/16 on 3rd down.
Northern Illinois 17 Bowling Green 7 – Many folks have forgotten that NIU was good enough to beat Notre Dame on the road but our EXTRA DEEP MAC INSIDERS did not……QB Josh Holst provided a nice spark, 281-205 yard edge for the Huskies.
Ohio Bobcats 27 Central Michigan 25 – The Bobcats were up 24-CACK (!) at halftime and those Ohio -3 tickets looked like solid GOLD…Uh oh, what’s this? …Central Michigan TD, FG, punt return TD, TD and Ohio wins by ..wait for it….TWO points…..430-292 yard edge for Ohio, big game at Miami Ohio on deck.
Western Michigan 34 Akron 24 – Another game that shows you what MACtion is all about….This game featured a 17-ZIP lead for the ZIPS and a 5-hour weather delay due to white supremacy, climate change, or maybe it was the rain falling in Kolkata, India that had people calling for “safety first”?…..misleading final, 501-389 yard edge for Akron but they were (-4) in turnover margin.
Ball St 37 Kent St 35 – Best game of the year for Kent St but they fell a bit short….461-407 yard edge for the Golden Flashes who can score points behind QB TD Tommy Ulatowski….And now it’s time for our weekly visit to SHAWSHANK PRISON….Anyone with a Ball St -3 ticket must have felt that they took a makeshift knife, or a “shiv” to a vital organ after watching the end of the game…..Words can’t describe this beauty but we’ll try…..Ball St up 30-28 with just over a minute left running out the clock around midfield….Oh no, that Ball St -3 ticket is gonna lose by one point…..WAIT! It’s a miracle!….Ball St with a long TD run to go up by 9 points!! Great work on that Ball St pick!….Free money!…What could possibly go wrong now?….Now it’s Kent St ball under a minute left back around their own 40-yard line with 40 seconds left…..Short pass to Chrishon McCray…..WHOA NELLIE!…..he shakes not one, not two, but SEVEN guys….TD Kent St! 30-28 final. Ball St -3 bites the dust.
Mountain West
UNLV 50 Utah St 34 – UNLV led 41-7 at half (!) and don’t get the money laying about -18…..Utah St went bananas in the 2nd half once the game was decided……584-548 yard edge for Utah St, Aggies QB Spencer Petras 461 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT.
Boise St 28 Hawaii 7 – 450-287 yard edge for Boise, another 200-yard game for RB Ashton Jeanty.
New Mexico 52 Air Force 37 – Lobos led 45-17 after 3Q, Air Force finally did some good work on offense which is a positive sign even tho we’re talking about the New Mexico stop unit, 476-438 yard edge for Air Force and NOTE that they CHANGED things up at QB with Quentin Hayes and Josh Johnson,
Washington St 25 Fresno St 17 – Fresno had a 17-16 lead in the 4Q but Washington St took the lead for good with a 60-yard pick six TD……338-295 yard edge for the Bulldogs, each team with 2 turnovers.
San Diego St 27 Wyoming 24 – Pokes led 24-17 in 4Q but San Diego St scored the last 10 points of the game…..371-356 yard edge for Wyoming in a game that used to be absolute money for them to win.
Colorado St 31 San Jose St 24 – Nice win for the Rams and they’re an underrated outfit! 455-448 yard edge for Colorado St, 186 rush and 269 pass, 8/13 on 3rd downs.
Nevada 42 Oregon St 37 – Yes, guy….Nevada keeps playing inspired football….A team that wasn’t supposed to win more than a couple of games…..Misleading final as Oregon St won the yardage battle 562-422 but they were (-4) in turnover margin.
Sun Belt
James Madison 39 Coastal Carolina 7 – Big game from the Dukes’ defense! 7-7 early then it was all James Madison, 421-181 yard edge, 222 rush and 199 pass yds.
Louisiana 34 Appalachian St 24 – misleading final….Another inspired effort from App St but they killed themselves with turnovers…..401-366 yard edge for the Mountaineers but they were (-4) in the turnover department.
Georgia Southern 24 Marshall 23 – WOW!….Marshall up 23-3 heading into the 4Q….Backup QB Dexter Williams leads Georgia Southern to a miracle comeback win with 3 TDs in the FINAL 6 MINUTES!…..423-389 yard edge for Georgia Southern who all of the sudden look like players in the Sun Belt.
Old Dominion 21 Georgia St 14 – Monarchs with 343-317 yard edge and they were +1 in turnover margin.
Texas St 41 Arkansas St 9 – Impressive win by the Bobcats….591-384 yard edge, 271 rush 320 pass.
ULM 38 Southern Miss 21 – The Warhawks bank their 5th win!!! One more for bowl eligibility…..ULM had a 17-14 lead at the end of the 3Q and then stormed away in the final frame…….432-347 yard edge and +2 in the t/o department.
Betting review
“Official” plays / Larger plays
Florida +15.5 (W) – Line closed around +14 as the MOBSTERS realized that the gap between the Gators and Volunteers isn’t that wide….See the game write-up for more. Clearly, it was a game that Florida should have won OUTRIGHT.
Ohio St (L) – Looked like a winner for a good portion of the game but full marks to Oregon for gutting it out and winning it in the fourth quarter. Very likely that we see a rematch between these two teams later in the season!
Leans / Regular plays
5-3. 1-0 Friday. 4-3 Saturday.
ML Underdog Parlay Club
We did it again! 3/5 winners and painfully close to 5/5 !
See the ML Underdog blog page for more details.
Season Win Total Club
Vanderbilt over 2.5 – WINNER! They’ve got four wins already, yo.
Indiana over 5.5 – WINNER! 6-0 to start the season.
Troy under 6.5 – 1-5 to start the season. One more loss and we lock it up. Have fun at South Alabama this week.
Navy over 5.5 – 5-0 and still rolling, bay-bee.
Connecticut over 4.5 – They’ve already booked four wins. One more and we’re golden.
FIU over 4 – Sitting at 2-4 after six weeks. Lost in OT to mighty Liberty this week. The second half of the schedule is soft.
Arkansas St over 6 – Red Wolves are 3-3 with plenty of winnable games left on the docket.
Temple under 2.5 – Owls have one win through six games. Their easiest game remaining comes this week (Tulsa).
Louisiana Tech under 5 – Bulldogs are 2-3 to open the year. Brutal four-game stretch isn’t too far away.
Michigan St over 4.5 – SPARTY playing better than expected. They’re 3-3 with the two toughest games behind them.
Hawaii over 5 – 2-4 to start the year. Five or six wins isn’t out of the question but it’s not gonna be easy.
Arizona St under 4.5 – LOSER. Congrats, Sun Devils. Very impressive run to start the season at 5-1.
Futures and Props Club
Oregon to win the Big Ten at +250 has some legs.
Miami to win the ACC at +450 looks like a decent grab. And don’t sleep on SMU at +2000.
Iowa St +1000 to win the Big 12 should be fun to track.
ROLL TIDE +750 and Texas A&M at +2000 (undefeated in SEC play; top of the conference) are all looking interesting.
Miami Ohio +240 and Western Michigan at +650 are in play in the MAC. Lots of wacky football left!
Oregon to win it all at +750, Georgia at +325, and Miami at +6600 have life.
Heisman update – Jalen Milroe needs to lead ROLL TIDE to the SEC title game to have a shot.
Enjoy the games this week, PLAY SAFE, and we’ll talk to you on these pages after week 8!