Hey everyone. We’re about halfway through the season. ARGH. Fun week of games but most of the top teams held serve.
Here’s the Week 7 betting summary and boxscore review.
Let’s go!!
Betting review
Big plays <see email, text, game analysis>
Western Kentucky
Texas
Kent St
Small plays <see game analysis – leans>
8-8. zzzzzzzzz.
Weather plays – SWEET BETTE MIDDLER ACTION
MEGALOCKS WEATHER HOTTIES advised us on Buffalo game. Under 57/57.5 range, Over 54.5/55 range. Game falls 53. Argh. Should get a few more plays as the season moves into November. Ya know, the CLIMATE CRISIS, yo.
Moneyline Underdog Plays <blog> <posted Fri night or Sat am as every year>
1/5. Missed the 3X,4X,5X. A few close calls including South Florida.
Season win totals HEAT MAP <see blog>
UTEP over 3 (WINNER, 6 wins already)
Alabama under 11.5 (WINNER)
Temple over 3 (already locked in a push, three winnable games left)
Buffalo under 8 (already locked in a push, they have three tough games left)
SMU over 6.5 (one win away from glory, sit at 6-0)
NC State over 6.5 (sitting at 5-1, should get there, buh buh)
South Alabama over 4.5 (need one more, six games left including ULM)
Kent St over 5 (should still get there, smoked by MAC’s top team this week)
Duke over 3.5 (need one more win, a few winnable games left)
WKU over 5.5 (tough part of schedule gone, good shot to get there, sit at 2-4)
FIU over 4.5 (needs some help, not completely dead but…..)
Washington over 8.5 (stinky one, SMELL IT, SMELL IT……loss locked-in)
Futures markets
MAC
Western Michigan at +1200 looks good, Kent St +1400 still very alive, Toledo +330 looks DEEEED
AAC
Cincy looks invincible but having Houston +1300 and SMU +2800 not horrible
National Championship
Two picks. Georgia +880. Sooners +800. Let’s do itttttttttt.
Mountain West
All three have a shot. SD St +1600, Nevada +450, Wyoming +1000 (needs help)
Heisman
MATT CORRAL MAN CRUSH +3450 will hopefully continue our LEGACY OF DOMINATION in the Heisman markets. B Young at +250 appears to have been a good early October addition. RBs starting to fall away one by one.
Boxscore review
SEC
ROLL TIDE 49 Miss St 9 – 543-299 yd edge and +3 in t/o, booked season high 7 sacks
Texas AM 35 Missouri 14 – 431-328 yd edge, up 21-cack first Q, Tigers 0-6 ATS vs FBS
LSU 49 Florida 42 – 488-454 yd edge for Gators but (-4) in t/o…..LSU RB Davis-Price school record 287 yards rushing (!) and 3 TD, yup, Coach O got em again
Ole Miss 31 Tennessee 26 – 510-467 yd edge for Ole Miss, essentially wire to wire, Tenn last gasp plays late to win game, MATT CORRAL MAN CRUSH another great game 231 yd 2 TD passing and an impossible 195 yds rushing on 30 carries
Auburn 38 WOO PIG 23 – Bo Nix season continues to be in FULL EFFECT…..very good road performance, 460-427 yd edge for Hogs, 432 rush, 228 pass, 3rd straight game without a sack
Georgia 30 Kentucky 7…….Oh Wait……there are 6 seconds left and Kentucky has the ball at the 1 yd line…..They’re calling a timeout…..Georgia ATS backers about to take it SHAWSHANK style…..yup….TD Kentucky!…..Georgia 30 Kentucky 13…..416-243 yd edge for Dawgs held Cats to 51 rushing yds….Cats 6-0 ATS vs FBS
South Carolina 21 Vanderbilt 20 – 434-312 yd edge for COCKS, (-2) in t/o, Commodores looked good but RUDY (Zeb Noland) came off bench to lead long scoring drive in final minute to win the game
Big Ten
Michigan St 20 Indiana 15 – not pretty this time but they move to 7-0, 322-241 yd edge for Hoosiers but 3 t/o including pick 6, (-1) margin
Northwestern 21 Rutgers 7 – PATS CATS with 402-222 yd edge, Rutgers -49 L3G vs Vegas (0-3)
Wisconsin 20 Army 14 – Wisconsin -14 spread backers get abused on the regular……13-0 1st half….the PAT is up….blocked…..still 13-0……Army TD…..13-7….. FINISH HIM…….wait….Badgers TD 3 min left after recovered fumble on Army 1 yd line…..19-7…..maybe they’ll go for 2?…..nope…20-7 Badgers….. Army ball own 23 with two min left what could possibly happen?…..whoa out to midfield….FINISH HIM…..4th and 4….probably the game….nope first down…..FINISH HIM!!……game almost over….36 yd pass down to the 6 yd line what a catch, yup an Army pass…..FINISH HIM!!…..TD Army 20-14 final, even the imaginary bettors that got Wisconsin -11.5 take it VLAD THE IMPALER STYLE…….310-266 yd edge for Wisconsin, held Army to 179 rush yds.
Purdue 24 Iowa 7 – KARMA is a beeeeotch…..Iowa finally bit by turnover bug QB Petras 4 int, BOILER UP with 464-271 yd edge in convincing win
Minnesota 30 CORN 23 – hard to believe, CORN implodes again, turnover on downs, missed chip shot FG, etc…..Gophers 396-377 yd edge, much needed bye for Huskers as they’ve played every week since week 0
Big 12
Oklahoma 52 TCU 31 – Sooners cement the cover with late TD to go up 21…..529-525 yd edge for Horned Frogs, Sooners QB C Williams looks like the real deal, defense still has major issues
Iowa St 33 Kansas St 20 – 418-342 yd edge, comfortable win, 210 rush yds, 208 pass
Oklahoma St 32 Texas 24 – well deserved win for Pokes, HOOK EM led 17-3 with the ball 2nd Q and game turns on 85-yard pick 6, Texas done from that point forward, 398-317 yd edge for Okla St, RB Warren 195 rush yds
Texas Tech 41 Kansas 14 – 438-273 yd edge, 41-CACK late Kansas with TWO TDs in last minute
Baylor 38 BYU 24 – 534-409 yd edge, held Cougars to 67 rush yds, 5 sacks, 11 L2G, 303 rush yds, bye on deck, game with HOOK EM Oct 30th
ACC
Clemson 17 Syracuse 14 – 356-314 yd edge for Orange, 4th and 1 late, why try to win the game when you can miss the game-tying FG?…..Classic Dino Babers, S Tucker another fine game at RB 22-157 yards
NC State 33 Boston College 7 – 381-279 yd edge, +2 t/o including scoop and score, held BC to 85 rush yds
North Carolina 45 Miami 42 – 421-382 yd edge for Canes, shockingly decent game for them, deep in UNC territory late well in FG range throw INT, game over, start the cars, thanks for coming, penetrated UNC spread backers with BACK DOOR ACTION, TD 3 min left
Pitt 28 Virginia Tech 7 – GOBBLERS didn’t show much, Pitt 411-224 yd edge
Virginia 48 Duke 0 – impressive win, Duke isn’t complete DOO DOO but had 4 t/o (-3), 528-325 yd edge for HOOS
PAC 12
Oregon 24 California 17 – gotta hand it to PAC 12 country…..when they aren’t robbing from the poor and giving to the rich they’re treating us to exciting college football finishes…..454-402 yd edge for Ducks….Trailed 17-10 2nd half….Rock solid tough goal line stand late inside the 5 yd line to prevent Cal from tying the game and sending it to OT….Ducks (-2) in t/o….Cal continues to be ROAD WARRIORS vs the Vegas number
UCLA 24 Washington 17 – 17-17 after 3Q, 420-267 yd edge for Bruins, Wash (-2) in t/o
Wash St 34 Stanford 31 – back and forth game, Wash St winning TD less than 2 min left, 3rd straight win, Stanford (-2) in t/o, 389-349 yd edge for COOGS
Utah 35 Arizona St 21 – Sun Devils up 21-7 at half then GLUG GLUG GLUG….455-385 yd edge Utah, 4 sacks, Arizona St none
Colorado 34 Arizona 0 – Buffs up 6-CACK at half, two non-off TD breaks game open 3Q, 365-280 yd edge, Cats could be destined for winless season <grabs popcorn>
Independents
ULM 31 Liberty 28 – WOW…….ULM SHOCKS THE WORLD as 30+ pt dogs, Liberty had just 386-365 yd edge, led 14-zip early, ULM with 4 (!) 2nd Q TDs, late 53-yd FG to take lead with 2 min left
UConn 21 Yale 16 – 721 days since their last win…….318-299 yd edge, won turnover battle +4
AAC
Cincinnati 56 UCF 21 – 476-296 yd edge, 336 rush yds and +2 in t/o that included pick six
Tulsa 32 USF 31 – 535-268 yd edge for Tulsa needed 14-0 4th Q to win….Tulsa led 24-10 after a pair of non-off TDs…..Went for it 4th and 1 own territory under 5 min left, Tulsa drives for eventual winning TD
Memphis 35 Navy 17 – 415-241 yd edge Memphis, tons the best, held Navy to 198 yd edge
Mountain West
San Diego St 19 San Jose St 13 (2-OT) – late night SNOT BUBBLER special….6-6 heading into OT…..SD St with INT in 2nd OT and score winning TD …..note 345-240 yd edge for Spartans and they held the Aztecs to 70 (!) rush yds
Air Force 24 Boise St 17 – 366-337 yd edge AF, 307 rush yds, Boise down 10 late, get FG and onside kick, then INT
Fresno St 17 Wyoming 0 – 271-259 yd edge for Pokes but they were (-5) (!) in t/o
Colorado St 36 New Mexico 7 – massive 452-69 yd edge for Rams and +3 in t/o, Lobos allow 6 sks
Nevada 34 Hawaii 17 – 477-393 yd edge and +5 t/o margin for Pack, Nevada up 17 with the ball less than 5 min left multiple times kept passing whilst star QB getting drilled……Coaches must hate each other, yo….Hawaii RB Hunter two 75+ yard TD runs
Utah St 28 UNLV 24 – TD with 30 sec left to win it, 440-330 yd edge left lots of points on field
Sun Belt
Troy 31 Texas St 28 – Just 387-370 yd edge for Trojans, got pick 6 in 4th Q to take lead for good, BOBS (-4) in t/o
S Alabama 41 Ga Southern 14 – 545-233 edge for Jags, 405 pass yds, got jump early
Conference USA
Western Kentucky 43 Old Dominion 20 – 518-446 yd edge, led 30-3 at half….ODU didn’t quit got the game to 33-20 in 4Q, WK 5 sacks, 5 TD passes
Marshall 49 N Texas 21 – 477-411 yd edge, led 42-7 at half, NT two late TDs make score look closer
UTSA 45 Rice 0 – 403-102 yd edge for Roadrunners, also had two pick 6 TDs
UTEP 19 La Tech 3 – 392-254 yd edge, 6 wins for #PICKSUP already!
MAC
W Michigan 64 Kent St 31 – 648-362 yd edge, 23-17 Broncos at half, Kent fumbles 2nd play of 2nd half and then GLUG GLUG GLUG game down the toilet
C Michigan 26 Toledo 23 – FIRE UP CHIPS led 20-3, Rockets tie it up, lose in OT, 350-332 yd edge for Toledo but were sacked 7 times
Ball St 38 E Michigan 31 – 433-385 yd edge and +2 in t/o
Buffalo 27 Ohio 26 – 397-346 yd edge for Bulls, Ohio led 21-CACK after first Q and got 99 yd TD run from QB A Rogers, Bulls storm back win on last play FG
Miami Ohio 34 Akron 21 – 474-356 yd edge for Redhawks, Zips deliver some SWEET BACK DOOR ACTION for spread backers 50+ yd TD with less than a minute left to clinch the cover…..MACtion baby
GOOD LUCK and ENJOY WEEK 8!