Hey everyone.
Here’s the Week 8 Boxscore and Wagering review.
Let’s goooooooo!
Boxscore review:
ACC
Virginia Tech 42 Boston College 21 – Hokies jumped out to a big lead just like in the OLD DAYS when they’d WOOP DAT AZZ on weekday nights at home…..28-CACK at the half but Boston College came roaring back in the 2nd half and cut the lead to 28-21 (!) ….535-383 yard edge for Virginia Tech, RB Bhayshul Tuten set a school record with 266 rushing yards (3 TD).
Duke 23 Florida St 16 – YUUUGE shoutout to Florida St who became the first team this season to turn the ball over on THREE (!) consecutive plays! Well done!…..Turned a 3-0 lead into a 17-3 deficit LICKETY-SPLIT, misleading final as Florida St’s defense was excellent and they had a 291-180 yard edge but were (-4) in turnover margin.
Clemson 48 Virginia 31 – Virginia led 10-3 and then Clemson woke up and BOOM it was 38-10…..540-346 yard edge for Clemson……And it’s time for our weekly visit to SHAWSHANK PRISON where you never know when you might take a makeshift knife, or a “shiv”, to a critical body organ…..Clemson -20.5 backers took a beating from the SISTERS in the prison workshop……Leading 41-17 and looking good!….Uh, oh…Virginia is driving….just over 2 min left….TD Virginia!….41-25 and it looks like Virginia is gonna get the money…..Clemson recovers the onside kick….All they have to do is run out the clock with 2 min left…..What’s this?…Wow, Clemson HC Dabo Swinney can be more of a jerk than Penn St HC James Franklin!…..Clemson throws a 34-yard TD pass instead of running out the clock to put Clemson up by 23!! It’s 48-25….Great work Clemson backers! Such a sharp play…..It’s all locked up!….Wait, what’s going on now?….Virginia back to pass from their own 35-yard line…..He’s wide open! 65-yard TD for Virginia and they lose 48-31 but cover the spread. The Cavaliers pull off the ultra rare DOUBLE BACK DOOR COVER!
Miami 52 Louisville 45 – Wild game and a big win for YOUR Miami Hurricanes who trailed 7-3 early, retook the lead, and never trailed again…..541-448 yard edge for Miami, each team with one turnover, QB Cam Ward 319 yards, 4 TD and 0 INT.
SMU 40 Stanford 10 – Led 31-7 at half, 502-206 yard edge in a total laugher.
NC State 24 California 23 – NC State made a trip into the communist base of Berkeley and pulled out an improbable win, Cal led 23-10 after 3Q, NC St with a pair of TDs to take the led, Cal misses chip shot FG to take the lead with just over a minute left…399-363 yard edge for Cal.
Notre Dame 31 Georgia Tech 13 – GT played with backup QB Zach Pyron who played decently 269, 1-2 TD to INT, 385-333 yard edge for Irish.
Wake Forest 23 UConn 20 – Bit of a misleading final as Wake Forest had several chances to put the game away, 397-309 yard edge, UConn stopped on 4th down near midfield on potential game-tying/winning drive.
Big 12
BYU 38 Oklahoma St 35 – WHOA, NELLIE! BYU just keeps on winning buh buh, BRUTAL loss for Oklahoma St fans to endure as they played a very good game and took a 35-31 lead with just over a minute remaining….What could possibly go wrong other than the worst prevent defense of all time, BYU winning TD with 10 seconds left….473-421 yard edge for Cougars who were (-1) in t/o margin, BYU moves to 7-0 (4-0 Big 12)…..Note that Oklahoma St started QB Garret Rangel who looked decent, then he got injured and was replaced by your boy Alan Bowman who gets credit for playing ok and leading them on what should have been a game-winning drive.
TCU 13 Utah 7 – YIKES!….Utah loses their 3rd consecutive game….TCU domination with 403-267 yard edge, Utes officially blasted from Big 12 contention with 3rd conference loss.
Kansas St 45 West Virginia 18 – Very impressive road win for the Cats, 415-295 yard edge, +2 in t/o margin and they’re right back near the top of the Big 12 pecking order.
Iowa St 38 UCF 35 – BYU stayed undefeated with a miracle win and Iowa St said HOLD MY BEER, YO!….UCF led 28-14 in the 3Q, 35-30 late, Cyclones with clutch late drive to bag winning TD with 30 seconds remaining….530-416 yard edge for Iowa St, allowed 354 rush yards to UCF who seem to have the rushing attack cooking again thanks to QB Jacurri Brown formerly of YOUR Miami Hurricanes.
Colorado 34 Arizona 7 – The FIGHTING PRIME TIMEs keep on chugging….405-245 yard edge, Buffs even managed to pick up 155 yards on the ground.
Kansas 42 Houston 14 – The Jayhawks finally woke up from their slumber and roasted a very good stop unit….470-335 yard edge and they were +4 in t/o margin.
Baylor 59 Texas Tech 35 – Good for Baylor to finally get a win and they destroyed a Texas Tech team that was previously undefeated in Big 12 action….529-455 yard for Baylor and +2 in t/o margin.
Cincinnati 24 Arizona St 14 – Cincinnati right in the thick of the Big 12 race, Arizona St played with backup QB Jeff Sims, 407-346 yard edge for Bearcats.
Big Ten
Oregon 35 Purdue 0 – Call us crazy but it wasn’t as bad as the score indicated, 423-301 yard edge for the Ducks, their defense was fantastic, Purdue did some good things on offense at times and rushed for 208 yards (5.2).
Illinois 21 Michigan 7 – Bit of a misleading final, Michigan with a 322-267 yard edge but were (-3) in t/o margin, Michigan won the passing battle 208-80 but only rushed for 114 yards (3.0 YPC), Illinois is now 6-1!
Michigan St 32 Iowa 20 – Yes, guy….YUUUGE win for SEASON WIN TOTAL CLUB as we took put our lives in Sparty’s hands to exceed four wins and they’re currently 4-3 and feeling confident…..Dominant win and it didn’t need to be this close, 468-283 yard edge for Michigan St, each team with one turnover.
Maryland 29 USC 28 – FEAR the TURTLE, buh buh….USC blows a 14-point 4Q lead and fall to 3-4, 429-417 yard edge for Maryland.
Indiana 56 Nebraska 7 – WHOA NELLIE!…..The Indiana train keeps on rolling….495-304 yard edge and CORN was (-4) in t/o margin, note that Indiana starting QB Kurtis Rourke injured his hand but backup QB Tayven Jackson looked great…..Hoosiers are 7-0 and have Washington up next.
UCLA 35 Rutgers 32 – Nice road win for the Bruins…They never trailed and hung on….478-422 yard edge for UCLA and QB Ethan Garbers had his best game (ever?)…..32/38, 383 yards 4-0 TD to INT.
Wisconsin 23 Northwestern 3 – Badgers are on quite the roll having won three consecutive games in blowout fashion!….359-209 yard edge for Wisconsin, NW drops to 3-4.
SEC
Georgia 30 Texas 15 – BOOM. Georgia shows the college football world that they’re still a force with a convincing win on the road vs Texas who finally faced a better QB than GENERAL BOOTY from ULM……..Dawgs jumped out to 23-CACK lead and never looked back, Texas had to give your boy Arch Manning a shot at QB, 285-259 yard edge for Georgia, both teams sloppy, Georgia with three turnovers and Texas with four.
Tennessee 24 ROLL TIDE 17 – Excellent job by the Volunteers who looked dead at the half (7-0 Tide, could have been much worse) but they dominated the 2nd half….414-314 yard edge for Tennessee, Alabama had 15 penalties, Vols with one SEC loss, ROLL TIDE with two.
LSU 34 WOO PIG 10 – Big win for LSU who look like a playoff team (for now) as they’ve won 6 straight games, 395-277 yard edge for the Tigers, held WOO PIG to just 38 yards on the ground.
Missouri 21 Auburn 17 – Disaster for Auburn, led 17-3 in the 3Q, Missouri QB Brady Cook returned after leaving the game due to injury and led them back for the win, 354-286 yard edge for Missouri who’ve got a road trip to ROLL TIDE on deck.
South Carolina 35 Oklahoma 9 – Misleading final as South Cackalacky had a pair (!) of defensive TDs in the first quarter to help them jump out to a 21-zip lead, Sooners with 291-256 yard edge but were (-4) in t/o margin.
Texas A&M 34 Mississippi St 24 – Another improved effort for Mississippi St behind young QB Michael Van Buren….Note that the Bulldogs won the yardage battle 367-354, Texas A&M sits atop the SEC standings and has a home date with LSU up next.
Florida 48 Kentucky 20 – Yes, guy….Florida with a dominating victory under new starting QB DJ Lagway, 476-311 yard edge for the Gators and they were +2 in t/o margin……Lagway averaged an impossible 18.5 YPA on 14 passes.
Vanderbilt 24 Ball St 14 – Vanderbilt books win #5! One more victory and they’re off to a bowl game…..420-268 yard edge.
AAC
UTSA 38 FAU 24 – Dominating win for UTSA in their best game of the season, 485-203 yard edge.
Tulane 24 Rice 10 – Sleepy effort for Tulane and BIGLY misleading final, Rice won the yardage battle 344-307 but where an impossible (-5) in t/o margin.
Memphis 52 North Texas 44 – Entertaining game and Memphis keeps their AAC hopes alive, Note that North Texas had 32 first downs and booked a 653-526 yardage edge, Memphis was +2 in t/o margin.
USF 35 UAB 25 – Very close for most of the game and then the Bulls finally pulled away, another misleading final as UAB had a 485-355 (!) yard edge, Both teams with two turnovers, Decent game from USF backup QB Bryce Archie.
Army 45 East Carolina 28 – Army moves to 7-0!….442-369 yard edge for Black Knights, EC HC Mike Houston was fired after the game, the ARRRRRRRRRR Pirates had 21 points in the final quarter to get a miracle push for anyone with a +17 ticket.
Navy 51 Charlotte 17 – Navy is now 6-0….They jumped out to a 24-CACK lead after one quarter and that was that….BIG TIME misleading final as Charlotte won the yardage battle 363-288 (!) but lost 51-17 thanks in large part to a (-5) t/o margin.
Temple 20 Tulsa 10 – HOOT HOOT takes the battle of the TURDS….397-240 yard edge for the Owls.
CUSA
MTSU 14 Kennesaw St 5 – Yuck….Kennesaw St took 2-0 lead and that was basically it for them, 284-234 yard edge for MTSU who had a brutal offensive showing, they were also +2 in t/o margin, Kennesaw St drops to 0-6.
New Mexico St 33 Louisiana Tech 30 (2OT) – The Aggies SHOCK the WORLD with a 2OT win, each team with 364 yards, NMSU was (-2) in t/o margin, back and forth evenly played game that was clearly the only entertaining battle on Tuesday night.
WKU 31 Sam Houston 14 – Nice road win for the TOPPERS who look like the main threat (along with Jax St) to Liberty in CUSA, 411-400 yard edge for WKU, note that Sam Houston starting QB Hunter Watson left the game due to an undisclosed injury.
UTEP 30 FIU 21 – MINER NATION gets on the board with their first win of the season!…..372-287 yard edge for UTEP and they forced four (!) turnovers (+2 margin)……NOTE that both FIU QBs were injured in this game (!) and they needed to use a 3rd stringer in the 4Q…..Will be important to check injury reports for FIU next week.
MAC
Miami Ohio 30 Ohio 20 – Redhawks hitting their stride at the right time, led 30-6 after 3Q, Ohio with a pair of 4Q TDs, just a 330-291 yard edge for Miami Ohio but they were +2 in t/o margin.
Toledo 13 Northern Illinois 6 – Killer 2nd MAC loss for the Huskies, Toledo is still in the mix….Misleading final as NIU had a 391-285 yard edge, 25-15 FD edge but they were just 4/19 on 3rd down.
Bowling Green 27 Kent St 6 – Kent St with their 16th straight loss, 434-204 yard edge for the Falcons and Kent St was (-3) in t/o margin, another “elimination” game in the MAC next week as BG goes to Toledo.
Western Michigan 48 Buffalo 41 – Yes, guy….The Broncos are the last undefeated team in MAC play….551-489 yard edge for Buffalo who proved that WM really can’t play much defense.
Eastern Michigan 38 Central Michigan 34 – Central Michigan led this game 34-16 (!!) in the 4th Q and they were +3.5….Then they took a MONDO DOOK in their pants and allowed Eastern Michigan to score three TDs in the final 11 minutes to win AND cover…..453-383 yard edge for Eastern Michigan.
Mountain West
Fresno St 24 Nevada 21 – OVER bettors are still wondering what happened…Total of 50….Score was 21-17 at the half, scoreless 4th quarter……316-295 yard edge for Fresno St in evenly played event.
Colorado St 21 Air Force 13 – Rams up 21-CACK, Air Force cuts it to 21-7…..then 21-13….An extra point and it’s a likely push for Air Force +7 backers with just 6 minutes left….BUT OF COURSE the “analytics” tell you to go for two because it’s better to be down by 8 points than by 7 points ……..406-348 yard edge for the Rams who win at Air Force for the first time since close to the turn of the century.
UNLV 33 Oregon St 25 – Rebels led 33-17 with 5 minutes left, Oregon St TD with 2 minutes left to cut the lead to 33-25, then CRAZY finish, Beavers drive down to the UNLV 6-yard line, fail to get a TD on final play, 384-368 yard edge for the Rebels, yuuuge game with Boise starting coming up on Friday night!
San Jose St 24 Wyoming 14 – that was some NASTY BACK DOOR ACTION for San Jose St bettors to handle….Laying -13 and up 24-7 with less than a minute left, Wyoming deep in their own end, oh look, there’s a 63-yard bomb! Had to see it to believe it, yo, Wyoming covers! What a sharp play on the underdog…..498-366 yard edge for San Jose St.
New Mexico 50 Utah St 45 – We mentioned a few weeks ago New Mexico could find their way into a bowl game and they win another one…..TD with about a minute left to take the lead for good, 552-503 yard edge for the Lobos and they were (-2) in turnover margin, QB Devon Dampier 272 pass, 105 rush.
Washington St 42 Hawaii 10 – Washington St deserved the cover (-19/-20) but only outgained Hawaii 444-300 who were (-3) in t/o margin.
Sun Belt
South Alabama 25 Troy 9 – Walk in the park, 19-3 at the half, 318-167 yard edge for Jaguars, Troy’s defense played with energy and was decent but they’re not much of a team at this point.
Marshall 35 Georgia St 20 – Bit of a misleading final as the Herd had a mere 429-427 yard edge and Georgia St held the ball for over 34 minutes…..Marshall was (-1) in t/o margin, FOUR TDs for ace RB AJ Turner.
Georgia Southern 28 James Madison 14 – BIG win for the Eagles….Now they’re in 1st place in the East division….Led 21-CACK at the half, 406-258 yard edge for Georgia Southern and note that they were (-4) (!) in t/o margin and still found a way to lay a beating on a good team.
Louisiana 34 Coastal Carolina 24 – Cajuns jumped out to a 14-zip lead, Coastal tied it at 17-17 and then 24-24, Louisiana scored the final 10 points in the last 6 minutes, 516-400 yard edge for the Cajuns.
Old Dominion 24 Texas St 14 – Oh those KOOKY Monarchs…..They’ll jump up and bite you….Led 14-zip at half, 359-327 yard edge for Texas St.
Arkansas St 44 Southern Miss 28 – Nice to see Arkansas St wake up and take care of business, 467-367 yard edge for the Red Wolves and they were +3 in t/o margin, 281 rush yards.
Betting review
“Official” plays / Larger plays
Miami -5 (W) – We waited for the “sharp money” to come in on LUA-VUH during the week so we could get a better number but the “sharp money” didn’t show up until Saturday am and it closed at -4.
ROLL TIDE -3 (L) – Line closed at -3.5 after the “sharp money” came in on Alabama.
“Leans” / Regular plays
3-2 (one push on Auburn +4)
ML Underdog Parlay Club
Yes, guy.
3/5 winners. We’ll try and keep it rolling next week!
See the ML Underdog blog page for more details.
Season Win Total Club
Vanderbilt over 2.5 – WINNER! They’ve got five wins already, yo.
Indiana over 5.5 – WINNER! 7-0 to start the season.
Troy under 6.5 – WINNER! They’ve already lost six games.
Navy over 5.5 – WINNER! 6-0 to start the season.
Connecticut over 4.5 – They’ve already booked four wins. One more and we’re golden.
Michigan St over 4.5 – Big win over Iowa and they’re 4-3.
Arkansas St over 6 – Red Wolves are 4-3 with several winnable games left on the docket.
Louisiana Tech under 5 – Bulldogs are 2-4 to open the year. Worst case should be a ‘push’ at 5-7.
Temple under 2.5 – Owls have two wins but the road ahead is tough.
FIU over 4 – Sitting at 2-5 after seven games. They lost their top-two QBs in their loss to UTEP. Still think a ‘push’ is likely as long as they have a QB that can walk and/or throw.
Hawaii over 5 – 2-5 to start the year. Five wins and a ‘push’ isn’t out of the question but it’s not gonna be easy.
Arizona St under 4.5 – LOSER. Congrats, Sun Devils. Very impressive run to start the season.
Futures and Props Club
Oregon to win the Big Ten at +250 has some legs.
Miami to win the ACC at +450 looks like a decent grab. And don’t sleep on Virginia Tech at +1000 and SMU at +2000.
Iowa St +1000 to win the Big 12 should be fun to track.
Texas A&M at +2000 (undefeated in SEC play; top of the conference) has a good shot to make the title game if they beat LSU this week. If not, it’ll be tough.
Western Michigan at +650 is in play as they’re the only undefeated team in MAC play. Miami Ohio (+240) is hitting their stride.
Oregon to win it all at +750, Georgia at +325, and Miami at +6600 have life.
Enjoy the games this week, PLAY SAFE, and we’ll talk to you on these pages after week 9!