Utah Utes 2022 College Football Preview

Utah Utes 2022 College Football Preview

June 17, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 10-4

ATS – 7-7

Now that was a lot of fun for Utes fans.

Utah started out losing two of their first three contests and then proceeded to rattle off wins in eight of their last nine regular season games. They destroyed Oregon (for the second time) in the PAC 12 Championship Game and earned a Rose Bowl berth. It was a classic, but the Buckeyes stormed back to take it 48-45 (!).

Do the Utes have the MINERALS to win another conference title?


Utah Utes 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Utes were a HOT HANDFUL on offense last year once QB Cameron Rising took over early in the season. Rising was lethal with the THROW GAME (20-5 TD to INT, 64%) whilst terrorizing defense with his legs (499, 6 TD, 6.7 YPC!). All the key weapons are back at WR/TE other than the ageless Britain Covey and note that they have a devastating pair of TEs in Brant Kuithe and Dalton Kincaid who combined for over 1,100 yards and 14 (!) TDs in 2021. Two-thirds of the THREE-HEADED MONSTER is back at RB including 1st Team PAC 12 honoree Tavion Thomas who scooted for over 1,100 yards and an impossible 21 TDs LY. If there’s a concern on offense it might be an OL that needs to work in a new C and LT. Both previous starters were all-PAC 12 performers.

DEFENSE

The Utes played solid defense as per usual LY (#27 FBS total D, #19 run D, #53 pass efficiency D) and SACK LAKE CITY was in full effect as they took down opposing QBs 42 times (#1 PAC 12, T9 FBS). Six starters return on this side of the football but they lose four of their top-five tacklers and top-two sack men in Devin Lloyd and Mika Tafua (combined 17.5 sacks, 35 TFL). There are still some good pieces to build around including emerging star DT Junior Tafuna, LB Mohamoud Diabate (#1 tackler with Gators LY), and ace CB Clark Phillips (2nd Team PAC 12, 13 PBU LY). It all comes down to trusting the Utes to DO WHAT THEY DO and put an excellent defense on the field. We’ll have to see how much the stop unit suffers without a pair of pass rushing demons.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The great PHIL STEELE has ranked Utah special teams #115, #60, #92 L3Y and now they need to replace their punter and one of the most explosive return men around in Britain Covey (three return TD LY).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have a pair of nasty road games (Florida, Oregon) but at least they get the Trojans at home. The back-to-back October games with UCLA and USC LOOM LARGE.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing overly-heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 17

Over 8.5 -120

Under 8.5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

Hmm. They’ve got a pair of tough road games but it’s not like Florida or Oregon are unbeatable. The floor is probably 8-4 so a bit of leanage goes to the ‘over’.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Utah is an EYE-POPPING 20-2 at home over the L4Y.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Utah has the best defense in the conference (although maybe down a small notch?) and one of the top offenses. Playing USC at home is a bonus and probably gives them the inside track to book a spot in the PAC 12 Championship Game.

GET CHO POPCONE!


Want more Utah Football ?

WEBSITE

https://utahutes.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://www.utehub.com/forums/forum/sports/football/

https://forum.utefans.net/

https://utah.forums.rivals.com/forums/inside-ute-nation.10/

https://247sports.com/college/utah/board/inside-the-utah-locke-rroom-105316/

https://247sports.com/college/utah/board/premium-utes-forum-105314/

NEWS

http://www.sltrib.com/sports/utes/

http://www.deseretnews.com/sports/utah-utes

http://www.blocku.com/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/254/utah-utes

USC Trojans 2022 College Football Preview

USC Trojans 2022 College Football Preview

June 18, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 4-8

ATS – 4-8

Calling last season’s fiasco a DUMPSTER FIRE would be an insult to DUMPSTER FIRES. They finished with an impossible mark of 4-8 which was their worst performance since they went 3-8 under your pal Larry Smith back in 1991. The four wins? San Jose St, Washington St, Colorado, and Arizona. Yikes.

We are thrilled to report that a new sheriff is in town and his name is LINCOLN FREAKING RILEY. He did magical work with Oklahoma and there’s no reason to think he can’t do the same with USC.

Let’s goooooooooooooo!


USC Trojans 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

Last year’s starting QBs have departed via the transfer portal but in comes HALF-MAN HALF-ZEUS Caleb Williams who looked fantastic in his work with Oklahoma last year (21-4 TD to INT, 442 rush, 6 TD). It’s yuuuge to have familiarity with what Riley wants to do on offense and their are plenty of weapons in the THROW GAME. They bagged a massive addition in the transfer portal in 1st Team AA and Biletnikoff winner (!) Jordan Addison who dominated with Pittsburgh LY (100, 1,593, 17 TD). He’ll fit in nicely with an extremely talented group, notwithstanding the loss of #1 WR Drake London who was taken in the 1st round of the NFL draft. Losing your top-two RBs doesn’t sting that much when you consider that they add Travis Dye from Oregon (over 3,000 yards career) and Austin Jones from Stanford. Four starters return up front and the OL room boasts well over 100 career starts. Yup, this looks like a lethal offense.

DEFENSE

It was MEDIOCRITY all around in 2021 (#88 run D, #112 pass efficiency D, #104 3rd downs) and the hope is that their fine DC Alex Grinch can mold three (!) returning starters and a PLETHORA of bodies from the transfer portal into a solid unit. Leading sack man DT Tuli Tuipulotu is a good piece to build around on the DL with the aforementioned transfers. LB is a bit of a BLACK HOLE given the loss of a few key men including leading tackler Kana’i Mauga. The secondary is a complete rebuild (no returning starters) but they added a number of Power 5 transfers during the offseason. The INTREPID Phil Steele notes that this unit is DEEP so they may be able to cobble together a decent performance on the back end. We foresee improvement on this side of the football but worry about the pass rush and don’t think they have too many legit STUDS. Time will tell.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The kicking game took a KICK IN THE JACOBS with the departure of punter Ben Griffiths and PK Parker Lewis (17-22 FG LY). Primary return man Gary Bryant is back in the mix.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – Yes, guy. They miss Oregon and Washington and don’t have a challenging non-conference tilt until the regular season finale when they face Notre Dame at the Coliseum.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – September 17th – Fresno St

They shouldn’t have much trouble with the pesky Bulldogs but covering the spread is another matter. This is a sandwich spot between two PAC 12 rivals (Stanford, Oregon St).

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes June 16

Over 9.5 -135

Under 9.5 +105

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

We set the line at the market price. Ten wins is a legit possibility but it’s not cheap to take that stand.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Trojans are an impossibly-pathetic 52-72 ATS (.419) over the L10Y.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Hey, now. This should be exciting. College football is always better when USC is really good and this team has the potential to do serious damage. The PAC 12 isn’t exactly loaded from top-to-bottom and we love the way the schedule sets up. Longshot possibility for PAC 12 title and a playoff berth.

Fight On!


Want more USC Football ?

WEBSITE

https://usctrojans.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://www.on3.com/boards/forums/garryps-trojan-huddle.33/

http://usc.247sports.com/Board/Trojans-Message-Board-29

https://usc.forums.rivals.com/forums/trojan-talk.18/

NEWS

http://www.latimes.com/sports/usc/

https://reignoftroy.com/

http://www.conquestchronicles.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/30/usc-trojans

 

UCLA Bruins 2022 College Football Preview

UCLA Bruins 2022 College Football Preview

June 16, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 8-4

ATS – 8-4

The Bruins were a very exciting team to watch in 2021 and they booked their first winning season since 2015 (!). There weren’t many quality wins on the docket (LSU? USC?) but you can’t have everything and it was nice to see Chip Kelly finally have some success in Los Angeles. Sadly, they were unable to participate in their bowl game due to totally scientific SCAMDEMIC protocols.

Are they ready to take that next step and challenge for a PAC 12 title? Let’s dig in.


UCLA Bruins 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

All-MEGALOCKS team member Dorian Thompson-Robinson is a legit star and will look to finish his college career in style after dominating in 2021 (21-6 TD to INT, 609 rush, 9 TD). The Bruins have been COOKING on offense the L2Y and that ground game has been excellent (215, 231 YPG L2Y) allowing DTR to pick his spots and be efficient in the THROW GAME (#39 pass efficiency LY). #1 RB Zach Charbonnet is back (1,137, 5.6, 13 TD, 24 receptions) but they’ll need to find some productive depth after the departure of #2 RB Brittain Brown. There’s a yuuuge hole at WR/TE as the Bruins need to replace star TE Greg Dulcich (725, 17.6, 5 TD, NFL) and their top-two WRs. They hope that  former Duke Blue Devil Jake Bobo can be a legit #1 dood (74, 794, 10.7, TD LY) and then go from there. TE Michael Ezeike has big shoes to fill but he’s a big body with potential. UCLA loses three starters up front as well as their OL coach so it’s not a given that they’ll be able to replicate the fine numbers from the L2Y. We’ll call for a similar level of point production as the prior two years (36.5, 35.4 PPG) but feel there’s a bit of risk to the downside.

DEFENSE

The defense was pretty good LY (#23 FBS run D, #42 pass efficiency D) and they allowed fewer than 30 points (26.8) and 400 yards (384) for the first time since 2016. They weren’t a brick wall, and they struggled on 3rd downs (#110) but it was a step in the right direction. RUH ROH. There are only TWO starters returning on this side of the football (10 LY) so the alarm bells are going RINGY DINGY DINGY. Thankfully, the Bruins picked up a TRUCKLOAD of talented specimens via the transfer portal, so the only question appears to be how quickly these guys can come together as a unit. Said transfers will likely take two starting spots in the reloaded DL and they add Hawaii’s leading tackler Darius Muasau at LB (108 tackles, 7 sacks LY). The back end of the stop unit looks sketchy as they return just one starter to the mix and need to replace NFL-bound safety Quentin Lake. The majority of the new faces were added at DL and LB and we expect teams to have success throwing on the Bruins.

SPECIAL TEAMS

It’s a mixed bag. They need to replace ace PR Kyle Phillips and find a new punter but at least they bring back PK Nick Barr-Mira (14-21 FG, 6-12 40+ LY) and their fine KR Kazmeir Allen (29.1, TD). Also note that they’ll have a new ST coach in 2022.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s looks pretty sweet. They only play four games ON THE HIGHWAY and their first four games are CUPCAKE CITY.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – September 17th – South Alabama

They’ll be coming in off a pair of blowout wins with PAC 12 play on deck. The Bruins will be laying a massive number in this spot and it doesn’t look like an optimal spot to LAY THE WOOD.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 16

Over 8.5 -120

Under 8.5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

The Bruins aren’t the most trustworthy bunch but they’re a 960,000 STAR TRIPLE BOOSTED LOCK to start 4-1 or 5-0. Then they still have Arizona and Stanford to come, among others.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Bruins haven’t tasted bowl victory since their win over Kansas St in the 2014 Alamo Bowl.

UCLA has a winning record vs every current PAC 12 member other than their hated rivals from USC (33-49-7).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Bruins have the look of a legit PAC 12 title contender. There’s a lot of talent on this roster and note that they get both USC and Utah at home. Entering a campaign with this many new faces isn’t ideal but they should be able to build some MOMO with a BUTTERY SOFT early schedule. The November game with USC LOOMS LARGE. Let’s go!


Want more UCLA Football ?

WEBSITE

https://uclabruins.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/ucla/Board/BRO-Football-Forum-103039/

http://www.bruinzone.com/fb/index1.shtml

http://bruingold.com/forums/index.php?az=show_topics&forum=108

https://ucla.forums.rivals.com/forums/bruin-tracks.6/

NEWS

http://www.latimes.com/sports/ucla/

http://www.dailynews.com/ucla-sports

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/26/ucla-bruins

Colorado Buffaloes 2022 College Football Preview

Colorado Buffaloes 2022 College Football Preview

June 15, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 4-8

ATS – 6-6

That was pretty ugly.

The Buffs haven’t booked a winning campaign in a full season of work since 2016 and they struggled mightily last year en route to a four-win season. They only won a pair of games in their first eight contests, one vs Arizona, and another vs something called Northern Colorado. November was a bit better as they managed to take down Oregon St and Washington, so maybe, just maybe, there’s MOMO heading into 2022. Maybe.


Colorado Buffaloes 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

The deafening sound of MASS VOMITING you heard on numerous Saturdays last fall was the result of thousands of college football fans watching Colorado attempt to SCORE the FOOTBALL. The Buffs averaged an impossible 257 YPG (#129 FBS) and ranked #126 in passing offense (131 YPG). It didn’t help to lose projected starting QB JT Shrout before the season started and they had to roll with a raw Brendon Lewis who threw for just 1,540 yards in 12 starts (10-3 TD to INT). It looks like Lewis and Shrout will battle it out for the starting gig and they might work with a BARREN WASTELAND at WR/TE once again. TE Brady Russell led the team in receiving yards LY with a mere 307 (!) and they lose their most explosive WR in Brenden Rice. Adding RJ Sneed from Baylor will help but we don’t expect much from the THROW GAME in 2022. It gets better. #1 RB Jarek Broussard is off to Michigan St (to probably gain 2,000 yards…..just kidding….not really) and the OL returns three starters to a group that paved the way for just 3.7 YPC LY whilst allowing 32 sacks. Hopefully, a pair of Power 5 transfers including one from ROLL TIDE will be a plus. They’ll need big time improvement at the QB position if they plan on being competitive in more than a small handful of games.

DEFENSE

The defense deserves quite a bit of credit for what they managed to do last year considering how much time they spent on the field (Buffs #122 TOP). They allowed a respectable 27 PPG (#73) and were pretty good vs the pass (#56 pass efficiency D, 17-9 TD to INT). They return five starters on this side of the football and just two of their top-seven tacklers. Nobody on the roster booked more than two sacks with the Buffs LY. It’s not all a lost cause tho as they have decent size up front, boast a pair of talented senior LBs including #2 tackler Quinn Perry, and return #1 tackler Isaiah Lewis and underrated CB Nigel Bethel to the secondary. We’ll call for a slight decrease in production as it’ll be tough to overcome the loss of three of their best defenders from 2021 (Landman, Wells, Gonzalez).

SPECIAL TEAMS

It’s mostly bad news. The INTREPID Phil Steele rated the Buffs’ special teams group at #22 in America last year but they lose their primary KR, PR, and fine punter Josh Watts. Thankfully, PK Cole Becker is back and he was 14-20 on FGs LY (25-25 XP) including a lethal 3-4 from 50+.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – RUH ROH. It’s gonna be a test. The non-conference slate is a bear (TCU, at Air Force, at Minnesota) and they draw the top-four teams from the former North division. November has the look of a CRUEL MISTRESS (Oregon, at USC, at Washington, Utah).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing overly heinous noted.

Season Win Total

5Dimes June 15

Over 3.5 +125

Under 3.5 -155

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. It’s not easy to find four wins on the docket but that’s a low number, yo.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Buffs have won more than three conference games just once in the L10Y (2016: 8-2) and are below .500 at home (27-30, .474) over that time horizon.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Colorado is almost certainly in for a long year. The offense will be better (it HAS to be, AMIRITE?) but the defense looks a bit sketchy. There’s enough talent to pull an upset or two but making a bowl game just seems like a REALLY tall order.


Want more Colorado Football ?

WEBSITE

https://cubuffs.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://www.allbuffs.com/forums/colorado-football-message-board.3/

http://chat.colorado.sportswar.com/message_board/netbuffsfootball/

NEWS

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/38/colorado-buffaloes

http://www.ralphiereport.com/

http://www.denverpost.com/sports/college/

Arizona St Sun Devils 2022 College Football Preview

Arizona St Sun Devils 2022 College Football Preview

June 15, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 8-5

ATS – 5-8

There were lofty expectations for this bunch before the season, and rightfully so. They opened up with five wins in their first six games but subsequently dropped back-to-back PAC 12 games (Utah, Washington St) and that meant GLUG….GLUG….GLUG…..high hopes sink into the depths.

The Sun Devils finished with a mark of 8-5 which is nothing to be ashamed about, but there’s no doubt that they were hoping for bigger things. What can we expect in 2022?


Arizona St Sun Devils 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

The offense struggled a lot more than you would have thought LY given the talent on hand (#75 FBS total offense, #67 scoring offense) and we have a significant change at QB to talk about. The dynamic Jayden Daniels if off to LSU but he booked a meager 10-10 TD to INT mark in 2021. In comes Emory Jones (Gators) who is similar to Daniels in that he has SKILLZ that KILLZ in terms of running (759 rush yards LY) but he needs to develop as a passer. We worry a lot about the Sun Devils losing their top-two RBs (1408 yards, 21 TD combined LY) and their top-four (!) targets in the THROW GAME. Adding former Wyoming RB Xazavian Valladay and WR Bryan Thompson from Utah will help, but it remains to be seen if they have enough talent on the roster to do serious damage. Only two starters return up front and they’ll have new starters at C and LT. Hopefully the coaching staff can cobble together a decent group given the influx of transfers.

DEFENSE

Arizona St has been solid on D in recent years but they were particularly stingy in 2021 (#13 FBS total D, #33 run D, #17 pass efficiency D, 20.8 PPG). There might be trouble on the horizon as they bring in a new DC and only have four returning starters on this side of the football (11,8,7 RS L3Y). The LB unit is in fine shape with the return of two of the team’s three leading tacklers including senior Kyle Soelle (#1 in stops, 8 TFL). There doesn’t appear to be an elite pass rusher in the front four and the secondary loses a pair (!) of players to the NFL. There’s almost certainly going to be a good sized drop in many key defensive metrics in 2022.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Primary KR and PR DJ Taylor is back in the mix (13.9 PR, 21.9 KR) as is punter Eddie Czaplicki. They need to find a replacement for PK Cristian Zendejas (8-11 FG, 40-41 XP LY).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s not too bad. There are two layups in non-conference play and they miss Oregon. The second half of the schedule is much easier (four road games, tho) so it’s not impossible to see them getting on a bit of a roll down the stretch.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – October 8th – Washington

This tilt comes right after back-to-back games with Utah and USC and those contests will go a long way towards determining the success of their season. If they lose both of those BAD BOYS, considering there is a bye on deck, they might mail this one in, yo.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 15

Over 6.5 +110

Under 6.5 -140

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Under

Seven wins feels like a bit of a stretch given the number of new faces on offense and defense, not to mention in the coaching staff.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Sun Devils are a sparkling 46-15 (.754) at home L10Y but a mediocre 22-28 (.440) ON THE HIGHWAY.

HC Herm Edwards is just 20-23 ATS with the Sun Devils but note that he’s booked a 7-2 mark in the role of road underdog.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Sun Devils are clearly a notch below the Trojans and Utes, but that doesn’t mean they can’t RALLY THE TROOPS and find a way to get to a bowl game. That’s a legit and reasonable goal. We think they’ll finish anywhere from 5-7 to 7-5, but it’s important to note that the HERMINATOR has always done his best work when things look bleak.

FORKS UP!


Want more Arizona St Football ?

WEBSITE

https://thesundevils.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/arizona-state/Board/Devils-Inferno-102980/

https://arizonastate.forums.rivals.com/forums/devils-huddle.22/

NEWS

http://www.houseofsparky.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/9/arizona-state-sun-devils

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/asu-sun-devils/

Arizona Wildcats 2022 College Football Preview

Arizona Wildcats 2022 College Football Preview

June 14, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 1-11

ATS – 6-6

Well, we knew it would be ugly.

Arizona ended year one of the Jedd Fisch era with a mark of 1-11 but managed to escape a GOOSE EGG in the win column thanks to a victory over Cal in a 10-3 SNOT BUBBLER. If there’s a silver lining in that CESSPOOL of a season it’s that the Cats suffered a number of single-digit losses (BYU, Utah, USC to name just three).

Let’s check in with the program and see if there’s reason for optimism heading into 2022.


Arizona Wildcats 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

It was a HOT MESS last season thanks largely to horrible QB play (#115 FBS pass efficiency, 12-18 TD to INT) but the addition of former Washington St Cougar Jayden De Laura (2,798, 23-9 TD to INT, 3 rush TD LY) is a yuuuge upgrade. The Cats lose three of their top-four WRs but made a very underrated transfer portal addition by scooping up UTEP’s Jacob Cowing who had a monster year in 2021 (69, 1,354, 19.6, 7 TD). They also have a potentially SPICY true freshman to keep an eye on in WR Tetairoa McMillan. The RB room doesn’t have a legit #1 that jumps off the page but everyone is back and recall that #2 RB Michael Wiley booked 33 receptions LY (#2 team).  The OL was mediocre LY (3.7 YPC, 35 sacks allowed) but hopefully they’ll improve with three returning starters and a year of the new system under their collective belts. Arizona has been BAD the last two years (17.2, 17.4 PPG) but we expect significant improvement in 2022.

DEFENSE

Arizona made yuuuge statistical strides last season compared to 2020. They allowed 31.4 PPG (39.8), 371 YPG (473), 181 rushing yards per contest (271), and 58.0% completions (65.6%). New DC Johnny Nansen (UCLA DL coach) has eight returning starters to work with but will have to scheme without leading tackler LB Anthony Purdy. DE Jalen Harris and DT Kyon Barrs combined for nine sacks LY and everyone is back in the secondary. The Cats were #116 in pass efficiency D LY (25-4 TD to INT) but hopefully the small handful of Power 5 transfers added to the mix will form a decent combo with the returning starters. It’s FOOLHARDY to expect another big step forward after the gains made in 2021 but we think they have an outside shot to allow less than 30 PPG for the first time since 2014 (28.2).

SPECIAL TEAMS

It’s the return of EL PERFECTO at PK as Tyler Loop made all twelve of his FG attempts LY and didn’t miss an XP, and punter Kyle Ostendorp (49.2, 40.2 net) was a 1st team PAC 12 selection. They need some serious help at PR and KR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s pretty nasty. They have a sneaky-tough non-conference slate, draw Oregon, and have a road date with the Huskies. Their final two games are at home.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes June 14

Over 2.5 -175

Under 2.5 +145

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

The schedule is pretty tough but they appear to be an improved bunch. We recommend shopping around for a better price if you have an interest in getting some SWEET ACTION in play.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Last season was a nightmare in the turnover department as the Wildcats finished with an FBS-worst (-17) margin.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

We feel pretty comfortable in stating the Wildcats will be a lot more competitive on the field this season. Sadly, the schedule doesn’t do them any favors, so it may be another year before we see notable improvement in the win column. In any event, Go Cats!


Want more Arizona Football ?

WEBSITE

https://arizonawildcats.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/arizona/Board/Wildcat-Football-102970/

http://beardownwildcats.com/viewforum.php?f=9&sid=3c4d41d18a44e8bc07098e58bb11360a

NEWS

http://tucson.com/sports/arizonawildcats/

http://www.wildcat.arizona.edu/section/sports

http://www.azdesertswarm.com/

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/ua-wildcats/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/12/arizona-wildcats

Washington St Cougars 2022 College Football Preview

Washington St Cougars 2022 College Football Preview

 June 13, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 7-6

ATS – 8-4-1

The COOGS only managed to win a single game in September but they rallied after that and finished on a 6-2 HEEEETER. They lost to Central Michigan in their bowl game but it was a decent campaign, particularly when you consider that they had to make a change in head coach, AND they took their bitter rival Washington behind the WOODSHED in a 40-13 beatdown.


Washington St Cougars 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

There’s a brand new look at the QB position as all four (!) men who attempted a pass LY are GOING GOING GONE and in comes FCS star Cameron Ward (47-10 TD to INT, 4,648 yards at Incarnate Word LY) to lead the offense. It’ll certainly help Ward to have his former HC Eric Morris working as OC, but this is a significant step up in class, and note that the Cougars lose their top-two WRs (Jackson, Harris) who combined for over 1800 yards and 16 TDs in 2021. There still seems to be some legit talent in the WR room and they’ve added a transfer from Oregon St and will get Renard Bell back from injury (33 receptions in 4G ! 2020). The run game is often a secondary thought in these parts but they lose almost all their production at RB including their top-two (Borghi, McIntosh) who totaled over 1,400 yards and 15 TDs on the ground between them LY. The OL returns just two starters and they were mediocre in 2021 (3.9 YPC, 31 sacks allowed). There’s potential for fireworks in the THROW GAME but we’d be surprised if they had any kind of balance.

DEFENSE

Washington St was SNEAKY GOOD on defense last year, particularly vs the pass as they booked a rock solid 16-15 TD to INT mark (#20 FBS pass efficiency D). They allowed just 24 PPG (#5 PAC 12) and even tho they were medicore vs the run (#80 FBS) they were EXCELLENT at taking the ball away (29 takeaways, #5 FBS). There are mixed signals heading into this season. The good news? The DL returns everyone including 1st Team PAC 12 DE Ron Stone (6.5 sacks). Not so good? They lose their top-two tacklers and elite LB duo Jahad Wood and Justus Rogers who combined for 183 tackles in 2021. The secondary is less experienced and it’ll be almost impossible for the COOGS to duplicate the number of takeaways that they bagged last year. We anticipate a mild drop in overall production.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The kicking game is in good shape with return of punter Nick Haberer and 1st Team PAC 12 PK Dean Janikowski (14-17 FG LY). They could use some spice at KR and PR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s not too bad. They have to face Utah and USC from the former South division but are a 98000 STAR SAFE AND EFFECTIVE LOCK to win two non-conference games (not the one at Wisconsin). There are only five road games to deal with and they’re much better at home (see below).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – September 17th – Colorado St

They should be able to book a win in this event but they face the Rams after a MEAT GRINDER with Wisconsin and PAC 12 play is on deck. We’re almost certain to avoid laying double-digits with the home team in this one.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 13

Over 5.5 +145

Under 5.5 -175

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Under

The majority of our 471 sets of power ratings have them missing out on bowl eligibility. There’s definitely some upside if the new offense clicks in a big way but we’d want to see a ‘5’ to play the ‘over’ in this market.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Over the last ten seasons, Washington St is a respectable 37-22 at home (.627) but just 23-28 ON THE HIGHWAY (.451).

Pullman, Washington is approximately 2,600 miles from civilization. **

** needs fact check


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that the Cougars’ fortunes are tied to the success of the new QB and how quickly they can get things rolling with the THROW GAME. The defense will probably be ‘average’ so we anticipate the offense being under a lot of pressure from start to finish. Anywhere from five to seven wins feels like a reasonable expectation. We’ll guess 5-7.


Want more Washington St Football ?

WEBSITE

https://wsucougars.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/washington-state/Board/Football-Forum-103296/

https://washingtonstate.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-cougar-lair.8/

NEWS

http://www.cougcenter.com/

http://www.spokesman.com/cougs/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/265/washington-state-cougars

California Golden Bears 2022 College Football Preview

California Golden Bears 2022 College Football Preview

June 13, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 5-7

ATS – 7-5

The Golden Bears got off to a rocky 1-5 start with their only win coming over something called Sacramento St and that pretty much sealed the deal on the campaign. Sure, there were some close calls, but CLOSE only counts in HORSESHOES and HAND GRENADES, yo. They took down Oregon St and USC in the 2nd half of the season but fell short of bowl eligibility.

They aren’t too far removed from a pair of good seasons in 2018 and 2019, so it’s not unreasonable to have some optimism for 2022. Amirite?


California Golden Bears 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

It’s been a mess since 2017, the last time these guys averaged more than 24 PPG. The Bears move on from QB Chase Garbers (16-8 TD to INT, 456 rush LY) and hope that your boy Jack (not Jake) Plummer can get this team to a level of respectability on offense. Plummer booked a fine 15-2 TD to INT mark with BOILER UP over the past two seasons but it must be noted that he has the mobility of a GLACIER compared to what Garbers brought to the table. The RB room has promise with the return of Damien Moore (517, 5.2, 6 TD) and the addition of true freshman Jaydn Ott. We regret to inform you that the WR/TE situation appears to be mediocre YET again. They only return one of their top-seven in terms of receiving yards and they didn’t add anyone of consequence via the transfer portal. The OL returns just two starters and note that they allowed 25 sacks LY and QB Garbers often made something out of nothing on the ground. We’re skeptical (again) that the Bears’ offense will amount to much.

DEFENSE

Cal has been REALLY good on D over the last four campaigns allowing 22.3, 26.5, 21.9, and 20.4 PPG whilst yielding less than 400 YPG on each occasion. It’s a crying shame that their efforts on this side of the football have been wasted. This year they return just five starters, two of the top-eight tacklers, and lose a vast majority of the 2021 sack production. The biggest loss is NFL-bound LB Cameron Goode who led the squad with 7.5 sacks in 2021. On a positive note, they have a lot of 300-pound doods on the DL, LB Jackson Sirmon is a yuuuge addition, and you can almost certainly count on above-average secondary play. CB Lu-Magia Hearns and safety Daniel Scott both have all-PAC 12 potential. Oh, and HC Justin Wilcox is a defensive genius. We’ll deliver a SPICY HOT TAKE and call for a 5th straight top-4 finish in terms of PAC 12 total defense. **

** Editor’s note…..we’d feel better about that SPICY HOT TAKE if they had at least one proven elite pass rusher

SPECIAL TEAMS

The kicking game appears to be in fine shape with the return of PK Dario Longhetto (11/14 FG LY) and punter Jamieson Sheahan (43.1, 40.2 net) but they’ll need to find a new primary KR and PR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – That’s a good draw from the former South division. Utah isn’t on the docket and they get to face Colorado and Arizona. Two wins are a virtual LOCK in non-conference play and they get their final two games at home.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – November 12th – at Oregon St

This is a tough spot for the Golden Bears as it comes after games vs Washington, Oregon, and USC. And Oregon St will be pretty good once again.

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes June 13

Over 5.5 -115

Under 5.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

These guys have a legit shot to win four or five games in the first half of the year. A mark of 3-3 seems like worst case. Finishing the regular season with two winnable home games doesn’t suck either.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Cal is a miserable 9-20-1 ATS (31%) over the L10Y as home chalk. They’re 3-11-1 in that role under current HC Justin Wilcox.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The roster isn’t exactly CHOCK FULL of eye-popping talent but we think they’ll find a way to cobble enough wins together to make a bowl game. There’s upside at QB and you know they’ll play good defense. We’ll cross our fingers and toes and call for a postseason appearance.


Want more California Football ?

WEBSITE

https://calbears.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://cal.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-bears-lair.8/

https://bearinsider.com/forums/2

NEWS

http://www.californiagoldenblogs.com/

http://www.mercurynews.com/cal-bears

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/25/california-golden-bears

Stanford Cardinal 2022 College Football Preview

Stanford Cardinal 2022 College Football Preview

June 12, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 3-9

ATS – 3-9

Talk about an unexpected detour to TURD TOWN, yo.

The Cardinal started out 3-2 and SHOCKED the WORLD on two occasions by taking down USC and Oregon. What could possibly go wrong? Well, they lost their last seven games and were CREMATED on most of those occasions. They failed to crack the 14-point barrier in any of their final five games. Let’s check in with the program and see if there is any reason for optimism heading into 2022.


2022 Stanford Cardinal Outlook

OFFENSE

We’re old enough to remember when Stanford was actually able to move the ball on the ground but the last four years have been UGLY (87,133,106,108 rushing YPG). It’s unclear how much improvement we’ll see this season as they lose their top-two RBs and will rely on the unproven RB EJ Smith to work some magic. The OL returns five starters but they’ll need to be a LOT better if Stanford has a shot to be competitive in more than a small handful of games. Ok, enough doom and gloom. The good news is that QB Tanner McKee has the look of a REALLY good one if he can stay healthy. We are fans of the big man and note that he started out on a major HEEEETER (11-0 TD to INT) before missing some time due to injury. McKee has a collection of GIANTS at WR and TE that should give him plenty of support. TE Benjamin Yurosek led the team in receiving yards LY and had a fine campaign overall (43-658, 15.3, 3 TD) and note that the top-four WRs are all back in the fold. It’s a 5000 STAR TRIPLE MASK LOCK that Stanford scores more than the 20 PPG they booked LY but they’ll need the OL to step up in a big way if they plan on exceeding 2020’s mark of 29.3 PPG.

DEFENSE

The defense has been brutal the past two seasons. They’ve allowed 32.4, 31.7 PPG, and 236, 222 YPG on the ground. They were ranked #127 in run D LY, #77 in pass efficiency D, whilst tallying a mere 15 sacks in 12G. There are some GREEN SHOOTS of optimism as they bring back their top-two tacklers (LBs Levani Damuni, Ricky Miezan) and their experienced secondary adds Oklahoma safety Pat Fields to the mix. The Cardinal have a pair of highly-touted frosh that could make an impact up front, but overall, it’s an unproven and suspect-looking bunch. DC Lance Anderson has been in charge for quite a while and the recruiting has been decent. That makes us leery to call for anything more than mild improvement on this side of the football.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look good. The intrepid PHIL STEELE rated their special teams unit #30 overall in 2021 and they return solid contributors at PK, P, and PR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The scheduling Gods still appear to have a BLOOD VENDETTA vs Stanford. They draw all the big boys from the former South division, face Notre Dame and BYU in non-conference play, and have a stretch of six road games in nine weeks.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing particularly heinous noted. It’s just gonna be a tough sled.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 12

Over 4.5 +115

Under 4.5 -145

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

Things don’t look too rosy but Colgate is a free square and they did beat USC and Oregon last year. That number looks about right. GUN TO THE HEAD small potatoes play would be ‘over 4’ if you can find that number somewhere.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Stanford is 11-19 over the past three seasons and haven’t been to a bowl game since 2018 when they took down Pittsburgh in the Sun Bowl.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Cardinal have an emerging star at QB and some interesting pieces to work with in the THROW GAME but we still have big concerns about the defense. We think that a 6-6 regular season record and bowl appearance is a legit “stretch” goal. Unlikely, but not impossible.


Want more Stanford Football ?

WEBSITE

https://gostanford.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://thecardboard.org/board/

https://247sports.com/college/stanford/board/cardinal-247-football-vip-102342/

https://247sports.com/college/stanford/board/stanford-football-and-basketball-103013/

NEWS

http://www.ruleoftree.com/

http://www.mercurynews.com/tag/stanford-cardinal/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/24/stanford-cardinal

 

Washington Huskies 2022 College Football Preview

Washington Huskies 2022 College Football Preview

June 12, 2022

2021 Recap

Record – 4-8

ATS – 3-9

MEGALOCKS NATION. Do not adjust your sets. The Huskies DID indeed finish 4-8 last year. That was their first losing season since 2009 when they posted a mark of 5-7 under the tutelage of your pal Steve Sarkisian. They ended the year on a four-game skid but hope springs eternal as new HC Kalen DeBoer rolls into town and he’s got a great shot at turning this BAD BOY around. Let’s go!


Washington Huskies 2022 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Huskies were a major disappointment on offense last year and were atrocious when it came to running the ball (98 YPG – #125 FBS, 3.2 YPC – #120). They weren’t much better in the THROW GAME as starting QB Dylan Morris booked a grim 14-12 TD to INT ratio. Oft-injured but OFT-AWESOME former Indiana Hoosier QB Michael Penix will be given every chance to win the job and he’ll be more than capable of spicing up the offense. The WR/TE group looks a bit sketchy but note that they were a VERY banged up unit in 2021. #2 RB Cameron Davis returns and the Huskies added a pair of good-looking transfers in Wayne Taulapapa (Virginia) and Aaron Dumas (New Mexico). It’s difficult to know if there are any true playmakers on offense and we’re a bit skeptical. The OL proved to be an overrated pile of TRASH last season but they do return four starters and maybe the new staff can get more out of these guys? It can’t hurt to build around a star LT in Jaxson Kirkland.

DEFENSE

Washington wasted an amazing season from their secondary (#3 FBS pass eff D, 6-10 TD to INT) (!) thanks to the aforementioned horrible offense and a run defense that was gashed and mauled for 194 YPG (#108 FBS, 2nd last PAC 12). Yup, that’s right kids. They only allowed six TD passes all year, by far the best mark in college football. They lose a pair of stars from the secondary (1st and 2nd round NFL DCs) and return just five starters overall on this side of the football. The DL should be much improved as they have good size inside and boast fierce edge-rusher LB Zion Tupuloa-Fetui. They scooped a PAIR of excellent LB specimens via the transfer portal including UAB tackling machine Kristopher Moll. That’ll help given the departure of leading tackler LB Jackson Sirmon. The run D will be much better, the pass D a bit worse, and overall we expect a slight drop in the YPG and PPG metrics.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Huskies have a reliable PK in Peyton Henry (11-14, 0-3 from 40+ tho) but need to break in a new punter. Primary KR and PR Giles Jackson was average LY.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – Yes, guy. The Huskies catch a major break with a VERY favorable schedule. They start with a pair of layups (although they did lose to something called Montana LY) and somehow miss USC and Utah from the former South division. They begin the year with four home games which should allow them to book some positive mojo. Facing QUACK QUACK on the road isn’t ideal but you can’t have everything.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – November 19 – Colorado

We don’t expect a lot from the Buffs but this game falls after the yuuuge game with Oregon and before the rivalry date with Washington St. The Cougars blasted Washington 40-13 in the 2021 season finale.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes June 12

Over 7.5 -125

Under 7.5 -105

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

We aren’t crazy about the roster but it’s a definite upgrade at HC and the schedule sets up really well. There’s a reasonable chance they start 4-0. That number looks about right but we’d probably need to find a ‘7’ to take a stab.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Fun fact. In 2021, Washington finished with a (-8) turnover margin. The last time they booked a negative margin was back in 2008 when they finished 0-12. They were (-17) that year.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This could go either way. If they get dynamic QB play out of Michael Penix and find a serious weapon or two at RB/WR there’s no reason why they can’t double last year’s anemic win total. It’s just hard to have faith in an immediate turnaround after what we witnessed on offense last year. New HC Kalen DeBoer and friends may need a year to get settled in whilst building toward 2023.


Want more Washington Football ?

WEBSITE

https://gohuskies.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://hardcorehusky.com/discussions

https://247sports.com/college/washington/Board/Husky-Football-105876/

https://washington.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-12th-man.8/

NEWS

https://realdawghuskies.com/

http://www.uwdawgpound.com/

http://www.seattletimes.com/sports/uw-husky-football/

https://thehuskyhaul.com/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/264/washington-huskies