TCU Horned Frogs 2021 College Football Preview

TCU Horned Frogs 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 20, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 6-4

ATS – 6-3-1

The Horned Frogs got off to a slow start losing two of their first three games, but those losses came against the eventual Big 12 Championship Game contestants. They only lost one more contest the rest of the way and managed to score FITTTY in a pair of games near the end of the year (Kansas, Louisiana Tech). Their Texas Bowl date with Arkansas was cancelled. You can never be too safe.


TCU Horned Frogs 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

TCU did an excellent job on the ground LY (215 YPG, #1 Big 12) and they did it with a DEEP group of RBs and a very mobile QB in Max Duggan who led the team in rushing (526, 10 TD). FOUR players booked 200+ rushing yards at RB and three of those men are back in 2021. Zach Evans has the most upside of the group as he is a highly-recruited specimen that averaged 7.7 YPC LY. Duggan will need to do more in the THROW GAME (61%, 10-4 TD to INT) and he has an experienced group of targets including WR Quentin Johnson who averaged a whopping 22 YPC whilst leading the Horned Frogs in receiving yards. The front line features over 70 career starts and boasts an excellent center in Steve Avila. We project the Horned Frogs to post their best PPG mark since 2017 (33.6).

DEFENSE

The Horned Frogs were solid vs the run once again (#3 Big 12, 128 YPG) but were just mid-pack in the conference in pass efficiency D despite allowing just 54% completions (18-8 TD to INT). They booked 27 sacks which placed them 4th in the Big 12 in sacks/game. There are a pair of yuuuge losses in the secondary as they lose their elite safety tandem that included Jim Thorpe Award winner (!) Trevon Moehrig. Thankfully, they are still solid on the back-end with 2nd Team AA CB Tre’vius Hodges-Tomlinson and the addition of veteran safety TJ Carter from Memphis. The DL should be one of the best in the Big 12 with the return of four starters including Ochaun Mathis (9 sacks LY). LB Dee Winters was #2 on the team in tackles LY and came up with 9.5 TFL. This stop unit looks improved and really good.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The unit returns intact including their DEADLY PR Derius Davis who had a PAIR of TDs LY. PK Griffin Kell 12-17 hit FGA LY (2-6 40+). P Jordy Sandy had a decent year in 2020.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference slate is manageable and includes games vs California and SMU. They start the season with four consecutive home games spanning five calendar weeks. They must face Oklahoma and Iowa St ON THE HIGHWAY, so that’s not ideal.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – SMU (September 25th)

The Mustangs can SCORE THE FOOTBALL and this game takes place just before Big 12 play begins (Texas).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 20

Over 7.5 -105

Under 7.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

This is a really good-looking team on both sides of the football. Eight or more wins feels likely as we approach press time.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

TCU has won 11+ games in a season on TEN occasions under the watch of Gary Patterson.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Horned Frogs have been mediocre over the past three seasons posting a combined record of 18-17. This looks like their best squad in a number of years and they’re definitely a potential SURPRISE PACKAGE in the Big 12. They’ll need to pull a road upset or two to get into the Big 12 Championship Game but it’s not unthinkable.


Want more TCU football ?

WEBSITE

https://gofrogs.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://www.thefroghorn.com/index.php?/forum/3-frog-horn-sports/

http://tcu.247sports.com/Board/TCU-Horned-Frogs-Message-Board-Forum-101445

NEWS

http://www.frogsowar.com/

https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/tcu-horned-frogs/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2628/tcu-horned-frogs

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoFrogs, #OneHuddle

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/TCUFootball

Baylor Bears 2021 College Football Preview

Baylor Bears 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 21, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 2-7

ATS – 3-6

The Bears struggled during the plandemic season and were only able to bag a pair of wins, both over teams from the GREAT STATE of Kansas. They finished up by losing their last couple of games to teams from the GREAT STATE of Oklahoma by a combined score of 69-17. It was an unusual year and it was Dave Aranda’s first season as HC, so it’s probably best to toss that season in the TRASH CAN OF HISTORY and move on to 2021.


Baylor Bears 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Bears had the 2nd worst offense in the Big 12 LY (Kansas) and managed a measly 90 YPG on the ground (#123 FBS). The Bears bring in OC Jeff Grimes who did good things at BYU (a little help from Zach Wilson) and has a lot of work to do. Starting QB Charlie Brewer is off to Utah and it’ll be up to one of last year’s backups (Gerry Bohanon, Jacob Zeno) to run with the starting gig. It’s unclear how much upside either of those young men have. The RBs underwhelmed LY, largely due to horrid OL play, and they return two of their top-three RBs in Trestan Ebner (299 rec Y) and Craig Williams (7.6, 2 TD). The weapons in the THROW GAME are solid and they return #1 WR RJ Sneed (39-497, 12.7, 3 TD) and the majority of the WR group. Don’t sleep on TE Ben Sims (11.7, 3 TD). The Bears OL struggled supporting the run and the Bears finished #9 in the Big 12 in sacks allowed per game. They bring back 90+ career starts and note that they picked up a PAIR of solid transfers in Grant Miller (Vanderbilt) and Jacob Gall (Buffalo). Both of those guys could start. The offense will improve this year and the ceiling will be determined by the QB play. Stay tuned, yo.

DEFENSE

Baylor was a bit soft vs the run LY (#82 FBS run D, #8 Big 12) and avg vs the pass (#5 Big 12 pass efficiency D, 12-12 TD to INT). Almost everyone that recorded a tackle is back this year and improvement should be expected. They have decent size up front and made a yuuuge (literally) addition in NT Apu Ika (LSU, 6-4, 350), but they’ll need to find a replacement for leading sack man DE William Bradley-King (T1, 3.5 sacks). The Bears return their excellent LB/S Jalen Pitre (#1 tackles, #1 TFL LY), LB Terrel Bernard (#1 tackles 2019, Inj LY), and a deep and experienced secondary. We expect a lot of improvement from this stop unit, and it could be really good if they can get a consistent pass rush (19 sacks LY, 46 in 2019).

SPECIAL TEAMS

There’s continuity in the kicking game but recall that PK John Mayers was just 3-8 from 40+ LY and P Issac Power had a 36.3 net. Trestan Ebner averaged 32 yards a pop in 2020 and took TWO back to the HIZZY JIZZY.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They’re a virtual 89 STAR VACCINE SIDE EFFECT LOCK OF THE YEAR to begin the campaign at 3-0 (Texas St, Texas Southern, Kansas) before things get real. BYU is a nasty non-conference draw.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 21

Over – 5.5 +100

Under – 5.5 -120

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

This looks like a much improved squad and we peg them for 6-7 wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Bears have one Heisman Trophy winner (QB Robert Griffin III, 2011) and one former player in the Pro Football Hall of Fame (LB Mike Singletary, 1998 induction).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The win-loss record was a bit UNSEEMLY last year but three of their seven losses were by a TD or less. They appear to be at least a year away from contending for the Big 12 Championship again but should be a tough out given the improvement we forecast on defense. 


Want more Baylor Bears football ?

WEBSITE

https://baylorbears.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://sicem365.com/forums/2

https://baylor.forums.rivals.com/forums/on-the-brazos.8/

NEWS

https://sicem365.com/baylor-football

https://www.wacotrib.com/sports/

https://www.ourdailybears.com/

http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/college-sports/baylor-bears

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/239/baylor-bears

TWITTER

Hashtag – #SicEm

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/BUFootball

https://twitter.com/JohnWernerTrib

Iowa St Cyclones 2021 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Iowa St Cyclones 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 20, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 9-3

ATS – 7-3-2

So close.

The Cyclones were upset by the scrappy RAGIN’ CAJUNS in the season opener but fought back nicely to make an appearance in the Big 12 Championship Game. It was a REVENGE match given that Iowa St had taken down the Sooners in the regular season, and Iowa St fell short in the big one (L 27-21). They recovered from that disappointment and took care of Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl (W 34-17) and have to be full of confidence heading into 2021.


Iowa St Cyclones 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Cyclones utilized a balanced attack LY to get things done (#38 rush, #37 pass eff) and have all the key components back this year. QB Brock Purdy does a fine job and has thrown for 62 TDs and rushed for 18 during his time at Iowa St. He had a pair of 3-INT games LY including one in the Big 12 Championship Game. The star of the show is RB Breece Hall who led the FBS in rushing (1,572) whilst booking an amazing 21 TDs on the ground. Hall also caught 23 passes for the 2nd straight season. WR Xavier Hutchinson is a legit #1 option (64-771, 12.1, 4 TD) and the Cyclones have the best TE combo in college football in Charlie Kolar (591, 13.4, 7 TD) and Chase Allen. The OL returns five starters and were outstanding LY (5.1 YPC, #1 Big 12 sk/game). This will be one of the best offenses in the Big 12.

DEFENSE

Iowa St was really good on defense once again LY (#21 FBS total D) and they were particularly stingy vs the run (103 YPG, #8 FBS). Nine starters return and they appear to be set at every level of the defense. The Cyclones will miss DE JaQuan Bailey up front (7 sk LY) and hope to find a complementary pass rusher to DE Will McDonald who booked 10.5 sacks in 2020. NG Eyioma Uwazurike is a force. The excellent LB group is led by Big 12 DPOY Mike Rose who put up an excellent stat line LY (#1 tackles, 10.5 TFL, 5!! INT). The secondary is deep in talent and are led by 1st Team Big 12 honoree Greg Elsworth, and note they added a sneaky-good transfer in FS Jaquan Amos from Villanova (3Y, 104T, 8 INT). Yup, this defense will be GOOD.

SPECIAL TEAMS

This is a potential area of concern. P Corey Dunn hasn’t had a full season of work since 2018 (40.2 net) and PK Conner Assalley (13-19 FG LY) will battle transfer Andrew Mevis for the starting gig. They need to replace their talented KR Kene Nwangwu (28.9 LY).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have a pair of layups in non-conference action and have their annual rivalry game with Iowa in week two. They ease into Big 12 action with games against Baylor (A) and Kansas (H). They get Texas, TCU, and Oklahoma St at home.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 20

Over 9.5 +105

Under 9.5 -125

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. We have them pegged at nine or ten wins. Things will look good if they get past the Hawkeyes.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Iowa St has never won an outright conference title. The Clyde Williams-led 1911 and 1912 teams managed to share the Missouri Valley (MVIAA) championship.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

It’s not a stretch to believe this is the best Iowa St team (on paper) in school history. They have to deal with the Sooners but should be favored in every other Big 12 contest. They’re the most likely team other than Oklahoma to get to the Big 12 Championship Game have a legit shot to bag their first ever Big 12 title. Let’s go!


Want more Iowa St football ?

WEBSITE

https://cyclones.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://cyclonefanatic.com/forum/forums/football.9/

https://iowastate.forums.rivals.com/forums/isu-confidential-2-0.8/

http://iowastate.247sports.com/Board/Iowa-State-Cyclones-Message-Board-Forum-101486

NEWS

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/sports/cyclone-insider

http://www.widerightnattylite.com/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/66/iowa-state-cyclones

TWITTER

Hashtag – #cyclONEnation

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CycloneFB

https://twitter.com/RandyPete

Texas Tech Red Raiders 2021 College Football Preview

Texas Tech Red Raiders 2021 College Football Preview

Created, July 21 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 4-6

ATS – 4-6

The Red Raiders weren’t as competitive as hoped LY and booked their 5th consecutive losing season. Their CONQUESTS weren’t earth-shattering (Houston Baptist, West Virginia, Baylor, Kansas) but they did have competitive outings vs Texas and Oklahoma St (lost by combined 13 points). Let’s check in with the program and see how things look heading into 2021.


Texas Tech Red Raiders 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Red Raiders were decent enough on offense LY (#6 Big 12 rushing, #4 passing) but they were inconsistent and led the Big 12 in turnovers (19). Starting QB Alex Bowman is gone BUT they added a yuuuge transfer in former Oregon Duck Tyler Shough who led the Oregon Ducks to a PAC 12 Championship LY (13 TD passes, 271 rush). Last season’s backup Henry Colombi (8-4 TD to INT LY) will battle for the starting gig. The RB group is LOADED with the return of all the significant contributors including SaRodorick Thompson who led the team in rushing LY (610, 5.6, 8 TD) whilst catching 21 passes in his spare time. #2 RB Xavier White averaged 7.0 YPC. They’ll need to find some new pieces at WR but #1 Erik Ezukanma is one of the best wideouts in the Big 12 (46-748, 16.3, 6 TD LY). Former Troy WR Kaylon Geiger is a nice addition. Four starters return up front including strong projected starters at C and LT. This offense has the potential to be pretty good. <grabs popcorn>

DEFENSE

Texas Tech had one of the weakest defenses in the Big 12 (again) and finished LY #9 in the conference in run defense and #8 in pass efficiency D (17-5 TD to INT). They only managed to book 17 sacks LY (T8 Big 12 sacks/game). Eight starters and the majority of their top-12 tacklers are back for duty and the LB group looks particularly strong. The combo of Krishon Merriweather and Colin Schooler were the team’s top-two tacklers LY (11.5 TFL combined) and Rico Jeffers chipped in 8.5 TFL and 7 QBH. They lose DL Eli Howard up front (NFL – Ravens) and it’s unclear if they have legit Big 12 talent on the DL. The secondary was in need of a TALENT INFUSION and they got just that with a small handful of P5 transfers including a talented veteran from Duke, Marquis Waters. This appears to be a much-improved defense on paper.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The lone bright spot last year was P Austin McNamara (46.3/38.4) and he’s back in 2021. The Red Raiders need better production from someone at PK (9-16 FG, two doods LY) and the PR/KR production was pathetic in 2020.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have an interesting opener with Houston and a couple of layups before Big 12 play hits. The Big 12 opener is a tough one as they must travel to face the Longhorns.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 21

Over 5 -110

Under 5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

They’re a 890 STAR GULAG LOCK to start 2-1 or 3-0. They have a decent shot to beat anyone on the Big 12 schedule other than Oklahoma and Iowa St.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Red Raiders football program began in 1925 when they were known as THE MATADORS. That nickname was chosen to reflect the influence of the Spanish Renaissance architecture on campus. The “Red Raiders” nickname was officially chosen in 1937. Trivia bombs, yo.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

There’s no reason to think that this can’t be the best season yet under HC Matt Wells. The offense looks solid and the defense will be improved. They almost certainly don’t have enough talent to SHOCK the WORLD and make the Big 12 Championship Game but we expect a bowl appearance and at least one decent-sized upset.

#WreckEm


Want more Texas Tech football ?

WEBSITE

https://texastech.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/texas-tech/Board/FOOTBALL-102951/

https://texastech.forums.rivals.com/forums/inside-the-double-t.20/

NEWS

http://redraiders.com/sports-red-raiders-football

https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/texas-tech-red-raiders/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2641/texas-tech-red-raiders

TWITTER

Hashtags – #WreckEm, #WeUsOur

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/TexasTechFB

https://twitter.com/AJ_DonWilliams

Texas Longhorns 2021 College Football Preview

Texas Longhorns 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 20, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 7-3

ATS – 5-5

The Longhorns had a disappointing Big 12 campaign and lost three games along the way. Those losses came by just 13 combined points but it was not what the program had hoped for in 2020. They finished the year in fine form by blowing out Colorado in the Alamo Bowl (W 55-23) in what turned out to be Tom Herman’s final game as HC.

Let’s see what new HC Steve Sarkisian has to work with in 2021.


Texas Longhorns 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

There was nothing wrong with the Longhorns offense LY as they rushed for 195 YPG (#2 Big 12) and finished 2nd in Big 12 passing offense behind the arm of QB Sam Ehlinger. They’ll have a new starting QB in 2021 and it’ll either be Casey Thompson who threw 4 TDs (!) in the Alamo Bowl vs Colorado, or highly-regarded freshman Hudson Card. This will be an interesting battle to follow. The RB unit looks REALLY good with the return of Bijan Robinson who put up eye-popping stats in just 5G (703, 8.2, 4 TD, 15 receptions) and they have solid depth in #2 RB Roschon Johnson and ROLL TIDE transfer Keilan Robinson. Three of the top-five WRs return for battle but it’s unclear if they have a true #1 option. The TE group looks promising. New OL coach Kyle Flood has four returning starters and a lot of raw talent on board.

DEFENSE

It’s been a number of years since the Longhorns put a solid D on the field (2017) and it’ll be interesting to see what new DC Pete Kwiatowski (Washington) can engineer this year. There are a few significant losses on this side of the football including LB and leading tackler Juwan Mitchell, as well as ace pass rusher Joseph Ossai (5 sk, 16 TFL LY; NFL). The LB group should be fine with the return of #2 tackler DeMarvion Overshown and the addition of Ben Davis from ROLL TIDE. They have lots of size and raw talent up front but it’s unclear if they will be able to replace the lost sack (and havoc) production of Ossai. The back end of the defense features one of the best CB duos in the Big 12 in Josh Thompson and D’Shawn Jamison.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Cameron Dicker was a bit inconsistent in the FG department LY (15/21, 5-9 40+) and he may have to handle the punting duties given last season’s ACL injury suffered by Ryan Bujcevski. KR D’Shawn Jamison had a phenomenal season returning kickoffs (33.2, TD).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The first two games aren’t layups (Louisiana, Arkansas) but they should take care of Rice. They play TCU, Iowa St, and Oklahoma (N) away from Austin.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Rice (September 18th)

The win won’t be in jeopardy (?) but Rice plays REALLY slow and this isn’t a spot we’ll likely be backing the favorite, particularly with Big 12 play up next.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 20

Over 7.5 -125

Under 7.5 +105

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

Assuming they start 3-0 they’d have to go 5-3 in Big 12 action to hit the ‘over’. There’s more upside than downside with this squad, so GUN TO THE HEAD, we’d sprinkle on them winning eight or more games.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Texas hasn’t won a Big 12 Championship since 2009. That team went 13-1 and lost in the BCS National Championship to ROLL TIDE (L 37-21).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This will be an interesting year in Austin. Tom Herman only managed one double-digit win campaign during his time with the Longhorns despite having a lot of talent and a really good QB. Can Sarkasian do better? If so, how long will it take? The Sooners and Cyclones look much better on paper but that doesn’t mean Texas can’t find a way to get into the title game. They’ll need to pull off an upset or two to get that done. Skeptical, but looking forward to seeing these guys take the field in 2021.


Want more Longhorns football ?

WEBSITE

http://texassports.com/?path=football

FORUM

http://www.hornsports.com/forums/forum/14-the-burnt-orange-board/

https://texas.forums.rivals.com/forums/longhorn-sports.24/

http://www.hornfans.com/forums/football/

http://insidetexas.com/forums/forums/it-members-only.2/

NEWS

http://www.burntorangenation.com/

http://www.hookem.com/bevo-beat/

https://sportsday.dallasnews.com/college-sports/texas-longhorns

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/251/texas-longhorns

TWITTER

Hashtags – #HookEm, #ThisIsTexas

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/TexasFootball

https://twitter.com/LonghornNetwork

Oklahoma St Cowboys 2021 College Football Preview

Oklahoma St Cowboys 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 21, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 8-3

ATS – 4-6-1

The Pokes came into the season with high hopes but failed to make the Big 12 Championship Game once again. Losing at home to Texas in OT was a killer and then they got steamrolled by Oklahoma a few weeks later (L 41-13). They booked a third loss later in the year at TCU. The season was capped off with a win over YOUR Miami Hurricanes in a very entertaining CHEEZ-IT BOWL (W 37-34).


Oklahoma St Cowboys 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Cowboys weren’t as potent as hoped LY (#45 FBS rush, #53 pass) as they struggled with inconsistency and injuries at the QB position. Spencer Sanders had an up-and-down season when healthy and note that his career TD to INT ratio is 30-19. That’s gotta get a lot better. Shane Illingworth was decent in backup duty and is also back in 2021. Two of the top-three RBs return (Jackson, Brown) and they combined for over 1,000Y and 6 TD in a support role to the departed Chuba Hubbard. They also get a nice addition in RB Jaylen Warren from Utah St who booked over 800Y and 8 TDs on the ground in two years at Utah St. The WR group takes a MASSIVE hit with the departure of the lethal tandem of Tylan Wallace and Dillon Stoner (#1, #2) who combined for almost 1,500Y and 10 TD LY. The OL has to be better after allowing 26 sacks (#8 Big 12 sk/g) and leading the way for just 4.1 net yards per carry (5.3 in 2019). Guard Josh Sills is a fine piece to build around and they add an excellent center in Danny Godlevske from Miami Ohio. The offense looks pretty good on paper and you know they’ll always find a way to get great production at WR.

DEFENSE

Oklahoma St’s calling card on defense was their EXCELLENCE on 3rd downs as they allowed a measly 26.5% success rate (#1 FBS). They were mid-pack in Big 12 total defense (379 YPG) but tallied 33 sacks (#2 Big 12 sacks per game). Eight starters and 11/12 top tacklers are back this year and they look solid across the board. It all starts up front with a solid pair of rushing DEs in Trace Ford and Tyler Lacy (combined 8.5 sacks LY) that work well with the size inside. LB Malcolm  Rodriguez is one of the best at his position in the Big 12 (#1 tackles, 3 sk, 7 TFL, 5 QBH), and they have a really good pair of safeties in Tre Sterling and Kolby Harvell-Peel. This still looks like a solid D but it’s impossible to expect the same kind of success that they had on 3rd down LY.

SPECIAL TEAMS

PK Alex Hale hit 13/14 FGA LY before he was injured. He’s due to be back according to news at press time and they need him. P Tom Hutton returns as do their primary KRs.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have a tough road match-up with Boise St before Big 12 action kicks in. They start out relatively slow in conference play with home games against Kansas St and Baylor. Back-to-back road games against Texas and Iowa St are nasty.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Texas Tech (November 20th)

This is a tough sandwich spot between home dates with TCU and Oklahoma.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 21

Over 7.5 -105

Under 7.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

Tough call but it’s not unthinkable they hit the bye week at 5-0. They get their two toughest November games at home.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Mike Gundy ATS MACHINE rolls along. He’s an impressive 72-52-4 (58%) vs the number L10Y, and that’s despite the Cowboys having a disappointing ATS record in 2020 (4-6-1).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

It seems like EVERY year is THE year for Oklahoma St. After three consecutive 10-win seasons from 2015-2017 they’ve hit a relative DRY PATCH over the past three years (23-14, 7,8,8 wins). This looks like another really good, but not great, Cowboys team. We’ll cheer for these guys to get into the Big 12 Championship Game but it appears they’re a longshot to get that done.


Want more Oklahoma St football ?

WEBSITE

https://okstate.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/oklahoma-state/Board/Cowboy-Corner-103592/

https://www.orangepower.com/forum/osu-sports-forum.4/

https://oklahomastate.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-corral.28/

NEWS

http://www.pistolsfiringblog.com/category/football/

https://www.cowboysrideforfree.com/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/197/oklahoma-state-cowboys

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoPokes, #LetsRide

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CowboyFB

Oklahoma Sooners 2021 College Football Preview

Oklahoma Sooners 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 20, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 9-2

ATS – 8-3

All looked lost early in the year when the Sooners SPIT THE BIT and lost in back-to-back weeks vs Kansas St (!) and Iowa St, but they defeated Texas the following week in a dramatic 4-OT classic, and rattled off another seven wins in a row to finish with a respectable record of 9-2. Those victories included the Big 12 Championship Game (Iowa St, W 27-21) and a SPANKING of the shorthanded Florida Gators (W 55-20).


Oklahoma Sooners 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

Oklahoma didn’t run the ball as effectively as usual (180 YPG, #5 Big 12) but they were very efficient in the THROW GAME behind QB Spencer Rattler (#10 FBS pass efficiency). Rattler made a few too many mistakes early on but had a great 15-2 TD to INT mark in his final seven games. The top three rushers are gone but they add Eric Gray from Tennessee (1300+, 8 TD in 2Y) and note that Kennedy Brooks rushed for over 1,000 yards in 2019. The 1-2 WR combo of Marvin Mims (16.5, 9 TD) and Theo Wease returns as does their excellent receiving TE Austin Stogner who put up a fine stat line LY (26-422,16.2, 3 TD). Keep an eye on highly-regarded freshman Mario Williams at WR. They return three starters up front but lose a pair of really good ones including AA center Creed Humphrey who’s off to the NFL. Looks like these guys are in fine shape for their 7th straight year averaging 40+ PPG.

DEFENSE

DC Alex Grinch has done a great job with this stop unit. Last season Oklahoma finished #9 in the FBS in run defense, #9 in pass efficiency D, and #1 in the Big 12 in sacks/game. Eight starters and their top-eight (!) tacklers return for battle in 2021. This year’s D is CHOCK-FULL of talent and includes a pair of players nominated for the Chuck Bednarik Award (best DEF player). LB Nik Bonitto booked 8 sacks and 10 QBH LY and DE Isaiah Thomas led the team with 8.5 sacks (13 TFL). #1 tackler David Ugwoegbu is a good one and a talented secondary adds a potential starter from Tennessee (Key Lawrence). This has the makings of another really good defense.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Sooners have continuity in the kicking game and PK Gabe Brkic hit 20/26 FGA LY after going an impossible 17/17 in 2019. They’ll need to find a new primary KR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The schedule is very manageable and they should STEAMROLL into conference play with a mark of 3-0. They don’t have back-to-back true road games but finish with a pair of contests that will decide their Big 12 fate (Iowa St, at Oklahoma St).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Baylor (November 13th)

Could be a lookahead spot as the pair of aforementioned yuuuuge games are on deck. Not sure we’ll wanna lay a ton of points.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 20

Over 11 -110

Under 11 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. Hard to bet “yes” for an undefeated regular season. Looks like the perfect number.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Per the excellent College Football News website, Lincoln Riley has never lost a game at Oklahoma when they win the turnover battle.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This team is absolutely loaded and are led by a Heisman-caliber QB in Spencer Rattler. There’s no reason to think they won’t have another top-notch Big 12 defense. We’ll call for ANOTHER Big 12 title and think they’re an excellent bet to win ALL THE MARBLES.

#BoomerSooner !


Want more Oklahoma football ?

WEBSITE

https://soonersports.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/oklahoma/Board/FootballRecruiting-103683/

http://www.soonertimesbb.com/forums/view_forum.php?id=2

http://www.soonerfans.com/forum/index.php?forums/sooner-football.2/

https://oklahoma.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-crimson-corner.12/

NEWS

http://www.crimsonandcreammachine.com/

http://sportsday.dallasnews.com/college-sports/oklahoma-sooners

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/201/oklahoma-sooners

TWITTER

Hashtags – #BoomerSooner, #OUDNA

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/OU_Football

https://twitter.com/BerryTramel

West Virginia Mountaineers 2021 College Football Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 21, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 6-4

ATS – 5-5

The Mountaineers started out in fine form winning three of their first four games and then alternated losses and wins the rest of the way to finish with a mark of 6-4. They didn’t exactly take down a MURDERERS ROW of Big 12 opponents but WINS are WINS, and note they took care of a nasty Army team in the Liberty Bowl (W 24-21).


West Virginia Mountaineers 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Mountaineers made good strides on offense going from 322 YPG to 413 YPG (#6 total offense Big 12) but still have to improve in order to become a legit Big 12 CONTENDAAA. QB Jarret Doege has the mobility of a GLACIER but had a decent statistical campaign LY (64%, 14-4 TD to INT). Almost everyone is back at WR and they’re a young group with some upside. WR Winston Wright led the team in receptions (47) and receiving yards (553) by a good margin in 2020. The offense is built around their excellent RB Leddie Brown who booked a 1,000-yard season on the ground whilst grabbing 31 passes for another 202 yards. They have untested depth at RB after the transfer of #2 RB Alec Sinkfield. The OL was pretty average LY (#8 Big 12 YPC, #4 sk/game) and lose a pair of starters. Guard Doug Nester was a good pickup from the Hokies. This looks like a good but not great offense on paper and they’ll need a WR or two to bust out if they wanna make significant progress.

DEFENSE

The Mountaineers were MIGHTY STINGY on defense LY allowing a measly 291 YPG (#4 FBS) and they were good vs the run (#28 FBS) and the pass (#1 FBS passing YPG, #24 pass eff D). Eight starters are back on D but they lose #1 tackler LB Tony Fields (NFL) and LB/S Tykee Smith who transferred to Georgia. They’ll also miss Darius Stills up front. That’s a lot of production to replace. The good news is that Dante Stills is back up front (10.5 TFL LY, #1), LB Josh Chandler-Semedo is a solid LB (#3 tackles) and the talented secondary features one of the best safety tandems in the Big 12. This still looks like a top notch Big 12 defense but we’d like to see them achieve more PENETRATION (#8 Big 12 TFL LY, #6 sk/game).

SPECIAL TEAMS

There will be a battle for the FG kicker gig as the Mountaineers were 11-18 on FGA LY. Things were fairly MEH at P and in the return game in 2020. It’s hard to project much improvement.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There are a couple of tricky non-conference games to deal with (at Maryland, Virginia Tech) and they face the powerful Sooners on the road to open Big 12 action. The conference docket is front-end loaded and their last three games are a bit lighter (at Kansas St, Texas Tech, at Kansas).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at TCU (October 23rd)

They’ll have a bye week to get ready but this will be their 3rd road game in four Big 12 contests. TCU looks nasty on paper.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 21

Over 6.5 -110

Under 6.5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Under.

They’re gonna play in a lot of close games and 89 of our 101 sets of power ratings think it’ll be tough to bag seven or more wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

HC Neal Brown has a 4-0 career record in bowl games and a 24-10 mark at home.

The West Virginia football program played its first game on November 28, 1891 when they lost to something called Washington & Jefferson by a score of 72-0. The game was played on a converted cow pasture. Only masked and vaccinated fans were allowed entry**.

** needs fact check


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Mountaineers are one of several teams inhabiting the COMPETITIVE MIDSECTION of the Big 12. The offense will need to take a big step forward while the defense has to overcome the loss of some key talent. Feels like a .500 record or so and a bowl appearance to us.


Want more West Virginia football ?

WEBSITE

https://wvusports.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/west-virginia/Board/Football-103745/

https://westvirginia.forums.rivals.com/forums/game-day-discussion.22/

https://247sports.com/college/west-virginia/Board/West-Virginia-Mountaineers-Message-Board-Forum-Blog-58/

NEWS

http://www.wvgazettemail.com/Sports/WVU

http://www.wvillustrated.com/wvu-football

http://www.smokingmusket.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/277/west-virginia-mountaineers

http://wvmetronews.com/wvu-sports/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #HailWV

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/WVUfootball

Kansas St Wildcats 2021 College Football Preview

Kansas St Wildcats 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 20, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 4-6

ATS – 6-4

Get on that ROLLER COASTER, buh buh.

The Wildcats were upset at home by Arkansas St in an entertaining week one affair (L 35-31) and then proceeded to rattle four consecutive wins in Big 12 action. That included a yuuuuge upset in Norman when they took down the mighty Sooners (W 38-35). Things then took a turn to TURD TOWN as they lost their final five games, three of those in blowout fashion.


Kansas St Wildcats 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Cats sputtered on offense LY (#7 rushing Big 12, #9 passing) and averaged fewer than 400 YPG for the 6th consecutive season. QB Skylar Thompson got off to a good start and led the upset over Oklahoma but was injured (OFY) in week three. He’s back for what seems like his 12th season ** and should have a fine season. The good news is that backup QB Will Howard got lots of work LY. Kansas St boasts one of the most exciting players in the Big 12 in RB Deuce Vaughn who led the team in rushing (642, 5.2, 7 TD) and receiving yards (434, 17.4, 2 TD) in 2020. He’s a nightmare for opposing defensive coordinators. The WR group needs to be more consistent but Malik Knowles has a lot of upside. Note the sneaky addition of TE Daniel Imatorbhebhe from Illinois. The OL is experienced and has decent size and are led by an excellent center in Noah Johnson. If they get a full season out of Thompson they could push towards the 30 PPG mark.

** fact check false

DEFENSE

The stop unit was a major disappointment in 2020 as the Cats ended up #7 in the Big 12 in run defense and #9 in pass efficiency D. They allowed 30+ on six occasions and yielded a 69 BURGER vs Texas in the season finale. They only return six starters on this side of the football and have some work to do. They lose a pair of starters up front including their fine pass rusher Wyatt Hubert (8.5 sacks LY, 20 career) as well as DT Drew Wiley, so they’ll have to find a replacement(s) for that PENETRATION. They also need to find a new group of starters at LB. The good news is that the secondary is poised to improve given that almost everyone is back (experience=better next yr?) and that includes their #1 tackler S Jahron McPherson. We still wonder how well this defense will stack up during Big 12 play.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Cats have a great weapon returning punts in Phillip Brooks (2 TD) and P Ty Zentner had a decent 2020 campaign (40.8, 39.2 net).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There are two dangerous non-conference games to deal with (Stanford, Nevada) and things get HOT AND HEAVY early in Big 12 play when they face Oklahoma St, Oklahoma, and Iowa St in successive weeks.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 20

Over 5.5 -130

Under 5.5 +110

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

That’s a tough number. Six wins feels like the upper limit but these guys are well coached and we like their QB quite a bit.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Kansas hosted Nebraska on October 28, 1939 which was the 2nd televised college football game EVER. Amaze your QUINTUPLE-MASKED MULTI-GENDERED NEIGHBOR with that trivia nugget.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The offense promises to be better this season but we still worry about that defense. Also note that the MIDSECTION of the Big 12 is very competitive and it’ll be tough to navigate conference play with more than four wins. Our best guess is that they find a way to cobble together six wins and make a bowl appearance.


Want more Kansas St football ?

WEBSITE

https://www.kstatesports.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://goemaw.com/forum/index.php?board=3.0

https://kansasstate.forums.rivals.com/

NEWS

http://www.bringonthecats.com/

http://themercury.com/k_state_sports/football/

http://www.kansascity.com/sports/college/big-12/kansas-state/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2306/kansas-state-wildcats

TWITTER

Hashtag – #KStateFB

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/KStateFB

https://twitter.com/KellisRobinett

Kansas Jayhawks 2021 College Football Preview

Kansas Jayhawks 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 21, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 0-9

ATS – 2-7

It doesn’t get much worse than that, buh buh.

Kansas dropped all nine games and were outscored by a combined total of 376-119. They were pretty much massacred in every game but did give the Red Raiders a scare in the season finale (L 16-13). Kansas made a great HC hire by scooping Buffalo’s Lance Leipold who turned a bad Bulls program into a REALLY good one. Let’s see what he has to work with in 2021.


Kansas Jayhawks 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Jayhawks averaged just 16 PPG LY (#123 FBS) and were equally poor on the ground (#116) and through the air (#112). The QB battle during fall camp should be very interesting as their top-two QBs return from LY (Jalon Daniels, Miles Kendrick) and they get a fine addition in Jason Bean from North Texas who could make a strong push for the starting gig. HC Lance Leipold loves a good ground game and he gets back the top-two RBs in Velton Gardner and Daniel Hishaw. WR Kwamie Lassiter looks like a legit #1 option after leading the team in receptions and receiving yards by a large margin (43-458, 10.7, 2 TD) but the depth at the position appears to be lacking. From the IMPOSSIBLE FILE: Kansas allowed at least four sacks in every game LY. There’s a lot of work to do up front. We expect a bit of improvement but doubt they’ll manage to average 20 PPG.

DEFENSE

The stench coming from your TV sets on Saturday afternoons LY was more than likely due to the Kansas defense. They allowed 46 PPG and gave up 55,52,62 and 59 (!) in consecutive weeks. Eight starters return on this side of the ball and they have to find a way to plug all the holes in the dam, as well as generate some kind of pass rush (9 sacks in 9G LY). The good news is that there are some decent pieces to build around. DE/LB Kyron Johnson is probably the best defensive player on the team and he put up a fine stat line LY (#3 tackler, 3 sk, 4.5 TFL), Gavin Potter does good work at LB, and they have a nice safety combo in Kenny Logan (#1 tackles LY) and Ricky Thomas (#2 tackles). This is still the worst D in the conference but expect them to show mild improvement.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The punting and PR units were mediocre LY but KR Kenny Logan booked a TD and Jacob Borcila hit 6/9 FGA.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s tough to find more than one win in here and note that they face a three-road-game-in- four stretch twice.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Oklahoma St (October 30th)

The Cowboys have no shame when it comes to piling up the points at home and note that Kansas has their biggest game of the year on deck (Kansas St).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 21

Over 1.5 +175

Under 1.5 -210

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. Would consider taking the ‘under’ if we could find a price closer to -140.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Per the amazing Phil Steele magazine, Kansas has lost 54 straight true Big 12 road games. Yup, that’s a FACT CHECK TRUE.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Jayhawks have booked 12 straight losing seasons and Lance Leipold got off to a late start in the spring. We’re optimistic about their chances to claw towards respectability over the next few years but 2021 is shaping up to be a struggle.


Want more Kansas football ?

WEBSITE

https://kuathletics.com/sports/football/

FORUM

http://boards.kusports.com/ubbthreads.php?ubb=postlist&Board=1&page=1

https://247sports.com/college/kansas/Board/Gridiron-Talk-103723/

https://kansas.forums.rivals.com/forums/memorial-stadium-slant-suite.22/

NEWS

http://www2.kusports.com/news/football/

https://www.rockchalktalk.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2305/kansas-jayhawks

TWITTER

Hashtags – #RockChalk, #KUfball

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/KU_Football