Washington Huskies 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Washington Huskies 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 10-4

ATS – 5-9

The Huskies booked another fine season under the watch of HC Chris Petersen as they won ten games and a PAC-12 Championship. That makes three consecutive double-digit win seasons and their second conference crown in the past four years. Their four defeats were by a combined 15 points and that included a Rose Bowl loss to powerful Ohio St.

It’s a sign of a top-notch program when there was disappointment over missing the college football playoff. Let’s see what’s in store for Washington this season.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #3

PAC 12 – #4


Washington Huskies 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

It’s never good when you lose the school’s all-time leader in passing yards who was a four-year starter. Jake Browning was not flashy but we loved his leadership and ability to lead his team to WINS. Like any good program, the Huskies have a good plan for the upcoming season as Georgia transfer Jacob Eason comes in to run the show. Eason attended nearby Lake Stevens High School and has a LASER ROCKET ARM. It remains to be seen what kind of impact he can have in year one with the Huskies but there is definitely reason for excitement. If nothing else, Eason should enable the offense to do a better job of stretching the field vertically.

It seems crazy, but the Huskies also lose their all-time leading rusher in Myles Gaskin (1,268, 12 TD LY). Salvod Ahmed seems ready to step into the role of #1 RB as he rushed for 608 yards a season ago whilst averaging 5.8 (!) yards a pop. They also have some intriguing options on the depth chart behind Ahmed. Eason will be pleased to know that they return their top-3 WRs as well as TE Hunter Bryant who averaged over 20 yards per reception on 11 catches a season ago. The offensive line is in great shape as they return a ton of experience (4/5 starters) and a star at LT (Trey Adams).

The Huskies averaged just 26.4 PPG last season but we expect them to exceed the 30 PPG plateau in 2019.

DEFENSE

You must have known it couldn’t be a complete bed of roses.

The defense has some major retooling to do as they bring back just a pair of returning starters and only one of the top seven tacklers return for duty. Washington had the #1 ranked defense in the conference last season (306 YPG) but will need some new faces to step up in order to stay close to that ranking. The DL returns just one starter and loses a pair of key contributors from a season ago. The LB corps will miss their incredible tackling machine Ben Burr-Kirven who led the FBS in tackles last year with an amazing 176 (!). They also lose almost every important piece from their secondary including a significant amount of NFL talent.

It’s hard for anyone to predict how the new pieces will come together this season. They have a lot of highly-regarded recruits on hand but is it really reasonable to expect everything to come together right away? We think this defense will rank in the top-third of most PAC-12 statistical categories but down a slight notch this year.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Hmm. Feels like a below-average group on paper based on who is returning to the mix. The return units performed poorly last year as did P Joel Whitford (34.1 yard net). PK Peyton Henry was just 7-12 on FG attempts of 30+ yards. Our PAC-12 INSIDERS advised us to keep an eye on freshman PK Tim Horn out of Hawaii.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s definitely favorable. They start out with three winnable home games and get Oregon and Washington St at home. Their out-of-conference slate is manageable with the only non-layup being a road test at BYU on September 21.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Arizona (October 12)

This contest takes place after back-to-back games vs USC and Stanford. Oh, and the key match-up with Oregon is on deck. The road team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series. Not saying, just saying.

Season Win Total

Over 9.5 -120

Over 9.5 +100

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean to the under. It’ll be tough to bag ten wins with a new QB and nine new starters on D, whilst competing in an improved PAC-12.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Washington played college football from 1889 to 1915 as an independent. In 1916, Washington became one of the four charter members of the Pacific Coast Conference (PCC), which is now known as the PAC-12.

The Huskies boast a fine 24-5 record vs PAC-12 teams over the last three seasons.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral

This season should be really interesting. Can the Huskies keep the train rolling with such significant turnover? They have lost a lot of talent on defense, not to mention the school’s all-time leaders in passing and rushing yards. Washington is still the team to beat in the PAC-12 North BUT there will be at least a couple of teams hot on their heels.

When it comes to beating the Vegas number, the Huskies are a .500 ATS squad (34-34) under the tutelage of HC Chris Petersen. We recommend picking your spots carefully. The POWER MOVE may be to look to the ‘over’ from a totals perspective given their losses on D and the returning firepower (and new strong-armed QB) on offense. 


Want more Washington Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.gohuskies.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

http://hardcorehusky.com/discussions

https://247sports.com/college/washington/Board/Husky-Football-105876/

https://washington.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-12th-man.8/

NEWS

http://www.uwdawgpound.com/

http://bleacherreport.com/washington-huskies-football

http://www.seattletimes.com/sports/uw-husky-football/

http://www.thenewstribune.com/sports/college/pac-12/university-of-washington/

https://thehuskyhaul.com/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #PurpleReign

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/UW_Football

https://twitter.com/A_Jude 

https://twitter.com/mikevorel

Washington St Cougars 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Washington St Cougars 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 11-2

ATS – 9-4

The Washington St Cougars are one of the more underappreciated teams around. They just bagged 11 wins for the first time in school history and have tallied 37 victories over the past four campaigns. Of course, there is still some disappointment in the air as the Cougars lost in the Apple Cup (again), and that makes nine defeats at the hands of the Washington Huskies in the last 10 years. Argh.

It’s hard to believe that Mike Leach is entering his eighth season in Pullman. Time flies. Is this the year the Cougars finally get over the hump and win the PAC-12 North?


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #2

PAC 12 – #3


Washington St Cougars 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

“Here we go again. Again.” <Tugg Speedman> <Scorcher 6 – Global Meltdown>

The Cougars need to reload at QB yet AGAIN with the departure of excellent porn-stached QB Gardner Minshew who threw for 4,779 yards (!) (#2 FBS) and 38 TDs a season ago. Mike Leach just keeps finding productive signal callers that can jump right in and run the offense with ruthless efficiency. This year the role of NEW AMAZING QB goes to senior Gage Gubrud who transferred over from Eastern Washington where he was phenomenal (almost 10,000 passing yards in just 29 starts). Gubrud will be throwing to one of the best WR groups in the conference and the top-three in receptions all return for battle.

The Cougars just run enough to keep things honest but lose last season’s leading rusher James Williams. The BIG news about that loss is that Williams bagged an amazing 83 (!) receptions a season ago which led all RBs and he was tied for 17th in the entire FBS. In fact, #2 on the RB receptions list only hauled in 53 passes. Who was ranked #2? Teammate RB Max Borghi who returns to the fold for the Cougars this year. Depth at RB is a question mark, however. The offensive line had a legendary season in terms of pass protection last year. They allowed a mere 13 sacks in close to 700 (!) pass attempts. Yes, there were a lot of short passes but that is still impressive. Four starters return to the OL unit but they lose star LT Andre Dillard (#1 NFL DC – Eagles).

Washington St will have a potent offense once again and we expect a similar level of production as the prior year (37.5 PPG).

DEFENSE

“Offense” is what people think of when they ponder the merits of Washington St football. That isn’t necessarily wrong BUT consider that the Cougars have had a really good defense for the past four seasons. They have decreased their PPG allowed in every campaign since the 2014 (!) season (38.6, 27.7, 26.4, 25.8, 23.3). They also led the PAC-12 in sacks last season (38) and not many people would have guessed that, yo.

Things look pretty good on this side of the ball once again with six returning starters and eight of their top-12 tacklers back in the fold. The bad news is that they lose their leader and tackling machine LB Peyton Pelluer. LB Jahad Woods is a fine player and the DL will be buoyed by the addition of NT Lamonte McDougle who transferred from West Virginia. The secondary loses their starting CB combo which is not a positive but they do boast one of the best safeties in the conference in senior Jalen Thompson who led the squad with 8 PBU a season ago.

The defense might be down a slight notch, but much like the Oregon defense, this stop unit looks good enough to support a charge at the division crown.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look really good as they bring back solid senior P Oscar Draguicevich as well as PK Blake Mazza who hit 10/15 FG attempts in 2018. Travell Harris is a dangerous KO return man.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There is good news and bad news. They should be able to get off to a 4-0 start with home dates vs New Mexico St, N Colorado, and UCLA. They take on the Houston Cougars at NRG Stadium in week 3. Bad news? They have three super-tough conference road tests (Utah, Oregon, Washington).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at California (November 9)

Washington St has scored a combined 22 (!) points in their last two battles with the Golden Bears. They got pasted in Berkeley back in 2017 by a score of 37-3.

Season Win Total

Over 8 -115

Under 8 -105

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean to the over at that number. The road docket is tough but there is no reason to think that a team this talented can’t get to 9 wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Cougars play home games on campus at Martin Stadium which opened in 1972. The site actually dates back to 1892 when it was called Soldier Field.

With a 28-26 win over #24 Iowa State in the Alamo Bowl, Washington State won 11 games for the first time in school history and finished the season 11-2.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Positive

The Cougars have a really balanced squad and a realistic shot of going into the Apple Cup with a shot to take down the PAC-12 North. Then again, the Washington Huskies appear to be their KRYPTONITE. And Oregon is also gonna have something to say about the proceedings.

We have slightly positive vibes about the ATS prospects for the Cougars. DEGENERATE NATION is on to these guys by now BUT they might still slide under the radar when play the tougher teams on their schedule. Keep in mind that Washington St is 56% vs Vegas during the seven-year Mike Leach reign and they are a very impressive 18-8 as road dogs over that time horizon. Go Cougs!


Want more Washington St Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.wsucougars.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/washington-state/Board/Football-Forum-103296/

https://washingtonstate.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-cougar-lair.8/

NEWS

http://www.cougcenter.com/

http://www.spokesman.com/cougs/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/265/washington-state-cougars

http://bleacherreport.com/washington-state-football

TWITTER

Hashtags – #GoCougs, #JoinTheHunt

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/WSUCougarFB

Oregon Ducks 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Oregon Ducks 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 9-4

ATS – 6-7

The Ducks returned to their winning ways last season after posting a combined record of 11-14 in the previous two campaigns. They played really well at home and their only loss in Eugene was a choke job vs Stanford. The only DUCK EGG laid during the campaign was a 44-15 beating at the hands of Arizona. They won four of their final five games including a SNOT BUBBLER vs Michigan St in the Redbox Bowl (won 7-6).

It was a decent effort from the Ducks during the first year under HC Mario Cristobal and now it’s time to see if they can make a serious run at a PAC-12 Championship.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #1

PAC 12 – #1


Oregon Ducks 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

Yes, guy.

Star QB Justin Herbert is back for one more season before taking his talents to the NFL. Herbert is coming off a good season (3,151, 29-8 TD to INT) and will lead an offense that looks mighty scary. The Ducks are loaded at RB and feature a 1-2 combo (CJ Verdell, Travis Dye) that combined for almost 1,800 yards and 14 TDs last year. The offensive line has to do a much better job in run blocking as the Ducks only averaged 4.4 YPC (5.2, 5.5, 5.9 previous three seasons). Thankfully all five starters return for duty and they have the most experience of any OL in the FBS. Oh, and they also have nice size. We have to believe the rushing attack will look more like what Oregon normally brings to the table. Herbert will have to find a new #1 option when he chooses to MATRICULATE down the field in the passing game as Dillion Mitchell (1,184, 15.8, 10 TD) is off to the NFL (Vikings). There is still talent on hand and the receiving corps will be buoyed by the addition of Penn St grad transfer Juwan Johnson who brings nice size (6-5 230) to the proceedings.

It seems almost certain that Oregon will exceeds last season’s PPG output and they might approach 40 PPG (34.8 LY).

DEFENSE

The Ducks return seven starters to a stop unit that was pretty good a season ago (#5 run D in PAC-12, #4 pass efficiency D). They will definitely miss the presence of their excellent DE Jalen Jelks who is off to the NFL (Cowboys) but they have experience on the line and add in highly-recruited specimen Kayvon Thibodeaux who has the ability to become a star right out of the gate. The LBs are in good shape with the return of 1st Team PAC-12 honoree Troy Dye who led the team in tackles a season ago. The secondary is chock-full of talent including junior CB Thomas Graham who had a remarkable 18 PBU (T3 FBS) to go along with 3 INT in 2018.

There is a change in DC and we are happy to see the Ducks bag a nice replacement for the departed Jim Leavitt. Andy Avalos comes over from Boise St and the Broncos played good D under his watch. The Ducks will certainly finish in the top half of the PAC-12 defensive rankings and appear to be good enough to support a run for a conference title.

SPECIAL TEAMS

There is some uncertainty on hand as the Ducks need to reload the return units and need to get better production out of the punting and FG game. The unit was disappointing last year but it’s possible that the return teams shine with so many excellent athletes on the roster. And maybe freshman PK Camden Lewis turns out to be really good?

Schedule Analysis

Overall – Things get off to a really fun start as the Ducks battle with Auburn in Arlington on August 31. It’s not great to have to face Washington and Stanford on the road. Keep in mind that they only have four true road games and seven in Eugene where they are really tough.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing of note as we go to press.

Season Win Total

Over 8.5 -150

Under 8.5 +130

MEGALOCKS says:

Feels like a good bet to take a stab with the ‘over’. It’s hard to see this team losing four games and the upside is there for a big season.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Oregon did not worry about LOAD MANAGEMENT in the year 1910 when they played their starters the entire game and crushed the University of Puget Sound by a score of 115-0.

The Ducks have approximately 190,897 different uniform combinations.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Positive

QUACK ATTACK appears to be back. The team looks loaded with a great looking offense that includes a Heisman-caliber QB. The defense is sneaky good. They are probably going to have to knock off Washington on the road to win the division but that is certainly within the realm of possibility. Can HC Mario Cristobal guide a stacked team to glory in a Power 5 conference? <grabs popcorn> It gets HOT AND HEAVY week one with a game vs Auburn in Arlington.

The Ducks have had a rough go of it vs Vegas over the past three seasons compiling a record of 13-24-1 vs the number (27%) (!). REGRESSION TO THE MEAN GUY will remind all of us that it was DESTINY because the previous seven campaigns were amazing (61% ATS) (!). We think that Oregon will be a good play this season more often than not. Their offense will finally resemble the killing and crushing machine it used to be which will enable them to cover big numbers. The defense should be good enough to give them a great shot to win every road game. Even the tests at Washington and Stanford. Go Ducks!


Want more Oregon Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.goducks.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/oregon/Board/Oregon-Ducks-Message-Board-Forum-Blog-Football-Basketball–45/

http://ducksattack.com/forum/viewforum.php?f=5&sid=19916fddb750dd725da7cdd90d7b5a67

NEWS

http://www.addictedtoquack.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2483/oregon-ducks

http://bleacherreport.com/oregon-ducks-football

http://www.statesmanjournal.com/sports/ducks

http://www.oregonlive.com/ducks/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoDucks

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/oregonfootball

https://twitter.com/DuckFootball

California Golden Bears 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – California Golden Bears 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 7-6

ATS – 5-7-1

The Golden Bears bagged their 2nd winning season since 2011 when they finished up with a record of 7-6 in year three of the Justin Wilcox era. There were a couple of nice wins including an entertaining (we don’t mind intense low-scoring games!) 15-14 victory at USC and a 12-10 triumph over the Washington Huskies. The defense was outstanding, but it’s clear that they need to make some serious strides on offense in order to win a division crown.

Do they have what it takes to get to back-to-back bowl games for the first time since 2008-2009? Inquiring minds want to know.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #5

PAC 12 – #11


California Golden Bears 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

Cal had a REALLY tough time scoring points last season and finished DEAD LAST in the conference in total offense (344 YPG). The two mains culprits were the QB carousel that prohibited the Golden Bears from getting any consistency and the INSANE amount of turnovers (31 – worst in the FBS). It appears as though there will be a two-man battle for the starting QB gig between sophomore Chase Garbers (61%, 14-10 TD to INT LY) and UCLA transfer Devon Modster. It’s impossible to imagine more disappointing QB play than they displayed last season but we are not exactly supremely confident in the QB room.

The news doesn’t get much better at the skill positions. Cal must find a replacement for reliable RB Patrick Laird who led the team in rushing a year ago (961, 5 TD) whilst also leading the team in receptions (!!) with 51. Five of the top six players in both receiving yards and receptions have moved on. Yikes. The hope is that someone can emerge as a #1 RB (perhaps sophomore Christopher Brown) and that some of the young talent at WR and TE contributes immediately. The offensive line returns 3/5 starters and need to do some better work. Cal allowed 36 sacks last season (#11 PAC-12) and only averaged 4.20 YPC (#6 PAC-12)

The offense is almost certain to produce more points than they did last season (21.5 PPG) but we think that their PPG mark of 27.8 in 2017 is probably the best you can hope for in 2019.

DEFENSE

The Golden Bears return seven starters to a defense that was fantastic last year allowing just 20.4 PPG (#3 PAC-12). They were #1 in the conference in YPP (4.59) and tallied 31 sacks. The strength of the defense is a secondary that returns every starter to a unit that was dominant last season. They led the PAC-12 in pass efficiency defense and posted a remarkable 13-21 TD to INT ratio. The front seven should be fine and the LB corps returns MLB Evan Weaver who racked up a phenomenal 159 (!) tackles (#2 FBS), 9.5 TFL and a pair of INT a season ago. The LBs will be strengthened by the return of Cameron Goode and the addition of JUCO transfer Kuony Deng.

We expect the Cal defense to lead them to victory on more than one occasion and they clearly have one of the best defenses in the PAC-12.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look pretty good. P Steven Coutts does a nice job and PK Greg Thomas was 12/17 on FGs last year. Ashtyn Davis is one of the best KR in the PAC-12 and he is coming off a season in which he averaged 26.2 yards per return.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – Things get real in short order with a road game at Washington in week 2. They also face stern road tests at Ole Miss, Oregon, Utah, and Stanford.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – North Texas (September 14)

This game falls right after the big game with Washington noted above and before a road date with the Rebels of Ole Miss. North Texas can score on just about anyone and this might not be the spot you want to lay a big number with the Golden Bears.

Season Win Total

Over 5.5 -130

Under 5.5 +110

MEGALOCKS says:

Hmm. Tough call. The defense will be a brick wall but that schedule is nasty. And that offense. Yikes. Taking a pass for now and may revisit closer to when the season kicks off.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Memorial Stadium was built to honor Berkeley alumni, students, and other Californians who died in World War I and is modeled after the Colosseum in Rome.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Negative

The old adage that defense wins championships is often true, but exceptions often arise when a team is really poor on offense. They will be better than last season (how could they not be?) and won’t turn the ball over as often (how could they?) but it remains to be seen if they can hang with the good teams on their schedule. And there are a lot of them. Cal needs to find a way to get things done on the road (18-37 L10Y) and in PAC-12 play (30-60 L10Y).

When it comes to the point spread, we have a slightly negative view. 99% of the time we are fond of teams that play great defense but we need to see how the offense looks in the first month of the season before we back them at the windows. Cal is just 54-67-2 ATS over the past 10 seasons (46%) but HC Wilcox has been decent vs Vegas since he arrived in Berkeley two years ago and has posted a mark of 13-11-1 ATS. Use caution early.


Want more California Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.calbears.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://cal.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-bears-lair.8/

https://bearinsider.com/forums/1

NEWS

http://www.californiagoldenblogs.com/

http://www.mercurynews.com/cal-bears

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/25/california-golden-bears

http://bleacherreport.com/cal-bears-football

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoBears

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CalFootball

https://twitter.com/rob11hwang

Stanford Cardinal 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Stanford Cardinal 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 9-4

ATS – 8-5

The Cardinal rattled off nine wins but could not contend in the division thanks to a mid-season swoon in which they lost four of five games. They finished on a strong note winning their last four contests including a 14-13 win over Pittsburgh in the Sun Bowl. It should be noted that Stanford provided us with wonderful drama (and a 170,000 STAR PAC-12 MAX UNIT BOMB LOCK for our subscribers) when they pulled off a miracle road win over Oregon.

Stanford just wins games, baby. Do they have what it takes to get back to the PAC-12 Championship Game? Let’s find out.


2018 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #4

PAC 12 – #5


2019 Stanford Cardinal Outlook

OFFENSE

Stanford did well to win as many games as they did last season given the BIG TIME struggles they had running the football. Stanford only rushed for 108 YPG (#11 PAC-12) which is essentially half of what they routinely do over the course of a campaign. Star RB Bryce Love was not himself due to injury but the fact remains that they only averaged 3.7 YPC after posting totals over 5.0 during the previous three seasons. We still worry about the ground attack as the offensive line only returns a pair of starters and it’s unclear if they have a true #1 RB on the depth chart.

The good news for Stanford is the return of their fine junior QB KJ Costello who put the offense on his back last season (3,540, 65%, 29-11 TD to INT). Costello is one of most underrated QBs in college football but will have to figure out a way to MATRICULATE the ball down the field without his three leading targets from last season. Those three men (Arcega-Whiteside, Irwin, Smith) combined for 170 catches, 18 TDs, and over 2,300 yards a season ago. Their excellent TE Colby Parkinson returns for duty but the WR corps is unproven, albeit very talented.

We expect a similar level of offensive output as last season when they averaged 28.4 PPG.

DEFENSE

The Cardinal D has started to show some cracks recently. They have allowed over 400 YPG in back-to-back campaigns whilst allowing over 20 PPG every year dating back to 2015. The run defense? That makes four straight years allowing 140+ YPG. How do things look going forward?

It’s not great to only return four starters and two of your top-six tacklers. The good news is that the DL looks very promising and Stanford always finds a way to get to the QB (36,32,37,34,46 sacks L5Y). The LB group has a lot of highly-regarded recruits on the depth chart and you know they are smart and will be well coached. AA CB Paulson Adebo leads a secondary that should be just fine.

It’s hard to project this being a lights-out stop unit but they should perform at a level we have seen over the past few seasons (20-23 PPG).

SPECIAL TEAMS

Stanford will be glad to see MR AUTOMATIC back at PK. Jet Toner nailed 14/15 FG attempts last season. The bad news is that they lose their excellent P Jake Bailey who is off to the NFL (Patriots) as well as their PR Trenton Irwin. The Cardinal have a good history when it comes to special teams performance so we will give them the benefit of the doubt and call the group “above average”.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – Five of the first six games are nasty. They have back-to-back roadies with USC and UCF (!) and home dates with Northwestern, Oregon, and Washington. They finish up with a home clash with the Irish.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at UCF (September 14)

This contest pops up between PAC-12 tilts with USC and Oregon. Yup, a classic SANDWICH GAME. You also know that UCF will come out with their hair on fire and be supremely motivated to SHOCK THE WORLD. And maybe even claim another national title, win or lose? Just kidding. Not really.

Season Win Total

Over 6.5 -140

Under 6.5 +120

MEGALOCKS says:

There are a lot of new faces on the roster and a nasty schedule to contend with BUT this is Stanford. David Shaw has never won fewer than 8 games. Lean to the ‘under’ but would want to play a ‘7’. Shop around.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The nickname for Stanford is the “Cardinal”, in reference to one of the school colors. They were known as the Indians from 1930-1972. A student vote in 1975 to change the nickname to “Robber Barons” was not approved. Amaze your ANNOYING CUBICLE BUDDY with that trivia nugget.

Stanford played in the first-ever Rose Bowl back in 1902. Sadly, they took it on the chin as Michigan beat them by a score of 49-0.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral

“Hey, let’s bet against Stanford!”

HAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA. <FALLS OFF CHAIR> HAAAAAAAAAAAA <LOSES CONSCIOUSNESS DUE TO LAUGHTER>

Every year we sing the praises of HC David Shaw. Think about this. Shaw has an overall record of 82-26 (.759) and an incredible 59% mark ATS over the course of his eight seasons at Stanford. They haven’t won fewer than eight games in a season and have not had a losing mark vs Vegas in any of Shaw’s years steering the ship.

Here’s the issue. The team has a lot of question marks. Can they get the running game going? What about losing all that production at WR and TE? Will stars emerge on defense? And that schedule. Yikes. Normally we would put some kind of “fade” stamp on this squad but there is no way we can do that given their track record over the past eight years.

We recommend picking your spots and keep a watchful eye early on. Maybe they can be a money-making JUGGERNAUT yet again?


Want more Stanford Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.gostanford.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

http://thecardboard.org/board/index.php?PHPSESSID=ar3qkpbdflvoca3hkv34jipro1&board=1.0

https://247sports.com/college/stanford/Board/Stanford-football-and-basketball-103013/

https://stanford.forums.rivals.com/forums/cardinal-football.12/

NEWS

http://www.ruleoftree.com/

http://www.stanforddaily.com/category/sports/football-sports/

http://bleacherreport.com/stanford-football

http://www.mercurynews.com/tag/stanford-cardinal/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoStanford

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/StanfordFball

https://twitter.com/tomgfitzgerald

Oregon St Beavers 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Oregon St Beavers 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 2-10

ATS – 4-8

The good news is that the Beavers doubled their win total. The bad news? They finished with a record of 2-10 and that makes it three times in the past four years that they have won two games or less. It looked like they might go the entire campaign without a win over an FBS foe but they managed to slip by the Buffaloes in OT.

We all know that a lot of work needed to be done. Last year solidified just HOW MUCH work that is going to entail. Jonathan Smith enters his second year in Corvallis and will work to have his team show improvement and maybe pull an upset or two. Let’s examine whether or not that is a realistic possibility.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

North Division – #6

PAC 12 – #12


Oregon St Beavers 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

Senior QB Jake Luton definitely has the physical tools (6-7 225) to be a good PAC-12 QB and he completed 62.5% of his passes last season with a decent 10-4 TD to INT ratio. It’s not a well known fact but the Beavers have one of the best 1-2 RB combs in the PAC-12 with exciting sophomore Jermar Jefferson (1,380, 12 TD LY) and Artavis Pierce (168 yards vs Ohio St). The WR group is promising as well with Isaiah Hodgins and Trevon Bradford back for duty. All they did was combine for 115 receptions, over 1,500 yards, and 11 TD catches a season ago. They only return a pair of starters on the offensive line but that includes the LT spot and they added a grad transfer C from Arizona. The Beavers have not scored more than 30 PPG since 2013 (34.8) and they should be able to make a sizeable increase from last year’s output of 26.1 PPG.

DEFENSE

HOT MESS.

We could leave things right there BUT feel that we owe you a bit more detail. The Beavers allowed 45.7 (!) PPG last season which ranked 2nd last in the FBS. They were only ahead of the Connecticut Huskies who fielded LITERALLY one of the worst defenses in the history of college football. So where do we go from here?

They return 9 starters and their top-nine tacklers from a season ago, and while there is a school of thought that says you don’t want players back from a rotten defense, we value experience quite a bit and don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect significant improvement. All bets are off if they can’t find a way to get more PENETRATION as they haven’t bagged 20 sacks since 2014. That seems impossible, yet it’s true. Another piece of good news aside from the experience is the addition of a small handful of JUCO and grad transfers which will add some much-needed depth. We expect the Beavers to improve their defensive PPG by at least a TD this season.

SPECIAL TEAMS

There is continuity across the board. The return units could use some additional spice and PK Jordan Choukair was just 4/10 from FG attempts of 40+ yards. P Daniel Rodriguez is one of the better punters in the conference.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s hard to find too many wins on their schedule even if you consider that they will be an improved team. If they can scrape out a win at Hawaii on September 7th then they should start the season out at 2-1. They get something called Cal Poly in week 3.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Washington St (November 23)

The Beavers have lost five straight to the Cougars and have their big game with Oregon on deck.

Season Win Total

Over 2.5 -140

Under 2.5 +120

MEGALOCKS says:

The Beavers look to be a much improved squad but it’s hard to see it showing up in their final win-loss record. Not going to participate in this market, but if we did, might take small taste of the ‘over’.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Civil War game with their in-state pals from Oregon is the 5th most continuously played rivalry game in the FBS as they have played every year since 1945. Oregon leads the series 65-47-10.

The Beavers have just one PAC-12 Championship to their credit. That came in 2000 when Dennis Erickson led Oregon St to a record of 11-1. It was culminated by an enjoyable 41-9 beating of Notre Dame.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral

We might be dating ourselves, but we still remember when Oregon St was a tough out and ESPECIALLY difficult to beat in Corvallis. This feels like year two of a big-time rebuilding project but our PAC-12 INSIDERS will be shocked if they don’t pull at least one upset along the way. The offense looks pretty good and the defense should be able to do enough to keep them in a small handful of games.

When it comes to beating the number, keep in mind that the Beavers are just 23-39 ATS (37.1%) over the past 10 years at home. They just might show enough improvement to be decent bets on the road when catching lots of points. Go Beavers!


Want more Oregon St Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.osubeavers.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

http://bennyshouse.freeforums.net/board/3/men-iron

https://oregonstate.forums.rivals.com/forums/beaver-central.8/

NEWS

http://www.oregonlive.com/beaversfootball/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/204/oregon-state-beavers

http://bleacherreport.com/oregon-state-football

http://www.buildingthedam.com/football

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoBeavs

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/BeaverFootball

Arizona St Sun Devils 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Arizona St Sun Devils 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 7-6

ATS – 7-6

Year one of the Herm Edwards era should be considered a success. Their final record was “only” 7-6 but they bagged wins over Michigan St, USC, and Utah. Not to mention a miracle comeback victory vs their hated rival that resides in Tucson. They fell to the JUGGERNAUT Fresno St Bulldogs in the Las Vegas Bowl but there is definitely reason to be optimistic about the future of the football program.

What can they accomplish this season? Let’s dig in.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

South Division – #3

PAC 12 – #6


Arizona St Sun Devils 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Sun Devils move on without talented QB Manny Wilkins who had a fine senior season (3,025, 20-6 TD to INT, 8 rushing TDs) as well as star WR N’Keal Harry who was one of the most dominant WRs in college football a year ago (#1 DC Patriots). There is a lot of young talent in the QB room but the operative word is “young”. A few true freshmen are in the mix for the starting gig including highly-regarded recruit Jayden Daniels. Last season’s backup Dillon Sterling-Cole will also be competing for the job during fall camp. Whatever the outcome, it seems unrealistic to expect the kind of performance and leadership that Wilkins displayed last year.

The key to the offense is star RB Eno Benjamin who rushed for a school record 1,642 yards a year ago whilst collecting 16 (!) TDs. Benjamin was also a force out of the backfield (35 receptions, 2 TD) and it’s no surprise that he garnered AA honors for his efforts. The depth behind him is unproven and teams might be able to pay more attention to him given the youth at QB. Despite the loss of the aforementioned N’Keal Harry there is still a lot of experience and talent at WR. The best news just might be the offensive line that returns 4/5 starters and they did a wonderful job last season (184 YPG rushing, just 16 sacks allowed).

Arizona St put up 29.9 PPG last season and 31.8 PPG in 2017. We expect a similar level of output in 2019.

DEFENSE

The Sun Devils improved by over a TD per game last year allowing 25.5 PPG and there are seven starters back for duty. Despite this improvement they were still fairly average overall from a statistical standpoint (#10 PAC-12 run D, #9 pass efficiency D, T5 sacks). They have to do a much better job of stopping the run and, while we are skeptical about the talent on the DL, Arizona St DOES have a pair of great young LBs in Merlin Robertson (led team in tackles LY) and Darien Butler. The Sun Devils have shown improvement in their pass defense the last three seasons going from 64% completions allowed down to 60% in 2018. Three starters return to the secondary that boasts a few potential future stars including safety Aashari Crosswell who led the team in INT (4) and PBU (9) a season ago.

There is definite upside to the stop unit given the young talent on board and keep in mind that this is the 2nd year of the Danny Gonzales defense (3-3-5; came from San Diego St LY).

SPECIAL TEAMS

Arizona St boasts a solid PK in Brandon Ruiz (18/20 inside 50 yards LY) but need to break in a new P and find a replacement for the dangerous Harry on PR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It looks pretty favorable. They start with two layups before a road date with Michigan St and have five conference home games.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Michigan St (September 14)

If revenge is truly a dish BEST SERVED COLD then it stands to reason that the Sun Devils may have problems in this contest. Arizona St upset the Spartans in Tempe last season in the ultimate BODY CLOCK NIGHTMARE game for Michigan St. This will be the first real test for a new QB and Michigan St is often great at stopping the run.

Season Win Total

Over 6.5 -130

Under 6.5 +110

MEGALOCKS says:

We’ll side with the ‘over’. This has the look of a team that can win seven games or more.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The all-time school wins leader is Hall of Fame coach Frank Kush, for whom Frank Kush Field at Sun Devil Stadium is named. Kush had an excellent record of 176-54-1 (.764) from 1958 to 1979.

The Sun Devils have only won two of their past nine bowl games.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral

We like what Herm Edwards has going on in Tempe. Last year was a good stepping stone and there is plenty of young talent on the roster. Can they overcome a lack of experience at QB? Can the defense take a step forward? The Sun Devils have got to find a way to win on the road if they want to be considered threats in the PAC-12 South. They are an excellent 47-19 SU at home over the past 10 years but just 22-40 (!) at road and neutral sites. From a point spread perspective they haven’t had a bad year since they posted a 3-9-1 mark vs the number in 2011.

This feels like a team that may be a year away from doing great things. There should be a few good spots to back the Sun Devils during the upcoming season but we would focus on backing them in Tempe where they are 40-25-1 (61.5%) vs Vegas since 2009.

Let’s go FIGHTING HERMS!


Want more Arizona St Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.thesundevils.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/arizona-state/Board/Devils-Inferno-102980/

https://arizonastate.forums.rivals.com/forums/devils-huddle.22/

NEWS

http://www.houseofsparky.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/9/arizona-state-sun-devils

http://bleacherreport.com/arizona-state-football

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/asu-sun-devils/

TWITTER

Hashtags – #ForksUp, #SunDevilTough

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/ASUFootball

https://twitter.com/DevilsDigest

Arizona Wildcats 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Arizona Wildcats 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 5-7

ATS – 7-5

What could possibly go wrong?

The Wildcats looked to salvage a MEH season in the first year of the Kevin Sumlin regime in the season finale vs Arizona St. Up 40-21 in the 4th quarter. Win and you make a bowl game. OOPS. The Sun Devils pulled a rabbit out of the proverbial hat and won the game 41-40 as the Cats missed a potential game-winning FG to essentially end the festivities. We don’t recall having any SWEET ACTION on the game but make no mistake. That was the kind of game that takes two years off a gambler’s life.

Where do we go from here? They have a 15 returning starters and a legit QB. Will that be enough to contend in the competitive PAC-12 South?


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

South Division – #4

PAC 12 – #8


Arizona Wildcats 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

QB Khalil Tate transformed from a devastating rushing threat (1,411 rushing yards in 2017) (!) to a pocket passer last season (2,530, 26-8 TD to INT). Tate was clearly dealing with an ankle injury BUT you also have to wonder what impact the change in offensive system had on his ability to drive defenses crazy with his legendary running ability. It remains to be seen how much damage Tate will do with his legs this season but it’s clear that the Wildcats have one of the most dangerous QBs in the PAC-12.

There is good news and bad news when it comes to the supporting cast of offensive weapons. We regret to inform you that the Cats will be without their top-four in receiving yards from 2018 including their fine WR Shaun Poindexter (42-759, 11 TD LY). If the Cats plan on making Tate dice teams apart with his arm that might be a BOLD STRATEGY. The good news is that the RB group is led by star JJ Taylor who ran for over 1,400 yards last season. Arizona rushed for more than 200 YPG (again) in 2018 and should have a really good campaign on the ground with 4/5 men returning on the OL.

DEFENSE

The Wildcats haven’t allowed fewer than 400 YPG since 2010. Amaze the obnoxious superiors at your next LAME WORK PARTY with that trivia nugget. There is some hope on the horizon as they return 8 starters to the stop unit and have some interesting pieces. Stud DT PJ Johnson is off to the NFL (Lions) but they have size on the interior of the line and our PAC-12 INSIDERS note that DE Jalen Harris could be in for a big year. Harris has put on some weight (muscle) and should have a big year in terms of harassing opposing QBs. The LB corps boasts the team’s top-two leading tacklers including Colin Schooler who achieved 2nd Team PAC-12 honors. The secondary returns three starters but it should be noted that the defense allowed a horrid 27-7 TD to INT ratio in 2018 whilst allowing 64% completions. Better things are ahead for the defense but it might be unreasonable to expect a notable improvement unless the Cats can find a way to tally more than 23 sacks (10th PAC-12).

SPECIAL TEAMS

P Dylan Klumph and PK Josh Pollack did a good job last season but both players have moved on. JJ Taylor bagged a KO return TD in 2018. It’s hard to forecast more than average performance from this group.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The Cats need to get things done in the first five games as there are a LOT of winnable games in there (at Hawaii, N Arizona, Texas Tech, UCLA, at Colorado). The back-end of the docket includes road clashes with USC, Stanford, and Oregon.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Stanford (October 26)

Season Win Total

Over 6.5 +100

Under 6.5 -120

MEGALOCKS says:

Arizona should be able to start 4-1 or better (?) but the back-end of the schedule is a bit nasty. We probably won’t get involved in this market.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Where did the motto “Bear Down” come from, yo? Legend has it that in 1926, quarterback John “Button” Salmon died from injuries sustained in a car accident. According to people on the scene, his final words spoken to coach “Pop” McKale were “Tell them…..tell the team to Bear Down.” The student body proceeded to adopt “Bear Down” as the school’s athletic motto.

People with nicknames like “Button” and “Pop” just make stories more interesting, don’t they?


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Neutral

Stop us if you have heard this before. “Arizona is gonna SHOCK THE WORLD!” Cool story. The Cats have only bagged 22 wins over the past four seasons and have a horrid 42.4% mark vs the point spread over the past 10 years. We are definitely intrigued by the potential of this team but a lot of things need to go right in order for them to contend for the division title. Color us skeptical BUT with a dash of optimism.

BEAR DOWN, baby!


Want more Arizona Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.arizonawildcats.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/arizona/Board/Wildcat-Football-102970/

http://beardownwildcats.com/viewforum.php?f=9&sid=3c4d41d18a44e8bc07098e58bb11360a

NEWS

http://tucson.com/sports/arizonawildcats/

http://www.wildcat.arizona.edu/section/sports

http://www.azdesertswarm.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/12/arizona-wildcats

http://www.azcentral.com/sports/ua-wildcats/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #BearDown

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/ArizonaFBall

https://twitter.com/MichaelJLev

https://twitter.com/AGWildcatReport

UCLA Bruins 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – UCLA Bruins 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 3-9

ATS – 5-7

Year one of the Chip Kelly era got off to a slow start as the Bruins were upset in their season opener vs Cincinnati en route to an 0-5 start. They played some better football down the stretch as evidenced in their last three games. They lost by three at Arizona St, beat the Trojans 34-27, and lost by seven to Stanford. They were a young team starting at ground zero.

How much improvement can we expect in 2019? Let’s take a look.


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

South Division – #5

PAC 12 – #9


UCLA Bruins 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

Sophomore Dorian Thompson-Robinson got his feet wet as a true freshman and is the leader in the clubhouse when talking about the starting QB spot. DTR should be ready to take a step forward in Chip Kelly’s offense but it will be interesting to see if one of the other QBs on the roster makes a push during fall camp. Last season’s leading receiver TE Caleb Wilson ended up being the last player taken in the NFL draft (MR IRRELEVANT) but the Bruins return almost everyone else in the WR and TE groups. They are plenty of fine recruits on board and we would not be surprised if a star emerged during the season. Joshua Kelley is a legit #1 option at RB (1,243, 12 TD rushing LY) but there is unproven talent behind him on the depth chart.

UCLA finished last campaign tied for 8th in the conference in total offense (#8 rushing, #9 passing) and if they plan on making a bowl game this season they will need to get a better performance out of the offensive line. The Bruins allowed 32 sacks (#9 PAC-12 sacks per game) and averaged just 4.12 yards per carry (#7 PAC-12). The good news? Not only should UCLA automatically improve in the 2nd year of the offense but the line returns 4/5 starters. We anticipate a significant increase in PPG (24.6 LY).

DEFENSE

UCLA brings back 10 (!) starters to a defense that needs to be a whole lot better in 2019. The Bruins were 2nd last in the PAC-12 in total defense (445 YPG) whilst allowing an unseemly 34.1 PPG. They also failed miserably in the PENETRATION department tallying just 15 (!) sacks which placed them in a tie for #119 in the FBS. There is some reason for optimism. In addition to a lot of returning experience they have some real size on the DL including 360 pound NG Atonio Mafi. The LB corps returns all four starters including three seniors. The secondary should be improved with 3/4 starters returning including their fine CB Darnay Holmes who led the team with 11 PBU in 2018. We don’t expect miracles but DO expect a much better statistical showing from the Bruins’ defense.

SPECIAL TEAMS

PK JJ Molson did a decent job last season (13/15 on FG inside 50 yards) but they must break in a new punter. The aforementioned Darnay Holmes is more than capable of taking a kickoff to the house.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s difficult, yo. The out-of-conference slate is gonna be a challenge as they start off with a game at Cincinnati followed by home dates with the Aztecs and Sooners. They make road visits to Stanford, Utah, and USC.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Utah (November 16)

The Bruins have lost three straight games to the Utes including the last two in blowout fashion (48-17, 41-10). The Utah DL is a nightmare and UCLA has their big game with USC on deck.

Season Win Total

Over 6 -105

Under 6 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean to the ‘over’. Despite the tough schedule noted above we anticipate a much better win-loss record and a bowl appearance.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Bruins have an impressive all-time record of 583-384-31 (.603) but have found it tough sledding in bowl games (16-19-1).


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Positive

There is a lot of young talent on this squad and it seems reasonable to expect significant improvement. The schedule is a quasi-killer BUT we think the Bruins have what it takes to exceed market expectations more often than not this year. REGRESSION TO THE MEAN GUY will note the UCLA has not had a winning season ATS since 2013 (!) when under the tutelage of your pal Jim Mora. They are a mind-numbing 23-39-1 (37%) vs Vegas over the past five seasons. Keep these guys in mind when building your weekly wagering cards.


Want more UCLA Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.uclabruins.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/ucla/Board/BRO-Football-Forum-103039/

http://www.bruinzone.com/fb/index1.shtml

http://bruingold.com/forums/index.php?az=show_topics&forum=108

https://ucla.forums.rivals.com/forums/bruin-tracks.6/

NEWS

http://www.latimes.com/sports/ucla/

http://www.dailynews.com/ucla-sports

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/26/ucla-bruins

http://bleacherreport.com/ucla-football

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoBruins

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/UCLAFootball

https://twitter.com/thucnhi21

Colorado Buffaloes 2019 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Colorado Buffaloes 2019 College Football Preview

2018 Recap

Record – 5-7

ATS – 5-6-1

“WE’RE GOING STREAKING !”  <Frank “The Tank” Ricard>  <Old School>

What could possibly go wrong? Colorado started out on SUPAH HOT FIRE winning their first five games. Cool. Then they lost the next 7 (!) contests in a row. THAT my friends, is how coaches get fired. Speaking of which, Mel Tucker is the new head man for the Buffs after being the DC at Georgia the past three seasons. We like the hire, but can he get Colorado back on the winning track in 2019?


2019 MEGALOCKS Opening Power Rating

South Division – #6

PAC 12 – #10


Colorado Buffaloes 2019 Outlook

OFFENSE

If it all starts at the quarterback position then the Buffs are in good shape. Senior QB Steven Montez did some nice work last season throwing for over 2,800 yards with a 19-9 TD to INT ratio. Montez will be happy to know that one of the most exciting players in the PAC-12 is back for duty. Laviska Shenault missed a few games but still caught 86 passes for over 1,000 yards and six scores whilst rushing for another five TDs on the ground. The #2 and #3 WRs also return and KD Nixon and Tony Brown combined to catch 84 balls in 2018. The addition of TE Jalen Harris from Auburn can’t hurt.

Leading rusher Travon McMillian is gone and nobody on the roster had more than 200 yards on the ground during the previous campaign. The Buffaloes ranked #9 in the PAC-12 in rushing and we worry about their ability to mount a balanced attack. Keep an eye on freshman Jaren Mangham in fall camp as he may be a SURPRISE PACKAGE. The Buffs allowed an unimpressive 104 (!) TFL which was the worst in the conference last year and also yielded 34 sacks. Three starters return to an offensive line that needs to get a lot better if Colorado wants to make a run for a bowl game.

DEFENSE

New HC Mel Tucker did a fine job with the Bulldogs’ defense in Athens but has a tough task ahead of him in Boulder. The Buffaloes return just 4 starters to a stop unit that allowed 27.3 PPG in 2018. The overall depth is a question mark but there are some nice pieces on board. Leading tackler MLB Nate Landman returns as does their fine DL Mustafa Johnson who led the team in sacks (7.5) and TFL (15.5). Overall, the Buffs had acceptable numbers in most defensive categories last year (#52 FBS in total defense, #44 run D, # 64 pass efficiency D, #40 3rd down D, 29 sacks) but lacked a true identity. It will be interesting to see if Colorado is able to take a step forward in year one of the Tucker regime.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Colorado should be in decent shape as there is continuity across the board.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The conference docket is very tough (draw all the top teams from the PAC-12 North) but they do have an opportunity to get off to a good start. Their out-of-conference slate is manageable with games vs Colorado St, Nebraska and Air Force. The first conference tilt is a road trip to Arizona St followed by a home game with Arizona (after a bye). They probably need to win three (maybe four?) of their first five games to have a shot at bowl eligibility.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – September 14th (Air Force)

The Buffs are coming off games vs rival Colorado St and OLD-TIME rival Nebraska. Conference play is on deck AND the Falcons are a tough team to play on any occasion.

Season Win Total

Over 4 -120

Under 4 +100

MEGALOCKS says:

That’s a REALLY low number but it’s hard to know what to expect in year one with a new head coach. Not interested in taking a stand either way.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Colorado won its first national title in 1990 when they split the honor with Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets claimed the United Press International Coaches Poll whilst the Buffaloes won the Associated Press and Football Writers Association of America polls. The MEGALOCKS POSSE was on hand at the ORANGE BOWL when Colorado capped their season with a 10-9 win over Notre Dame. When Notre Dame loses, everyone goes home happy. Just kidding. Not really.


MEGALOCKS ATS Outlook: Negative

It’s never easy to get things rolling in the first year under a new HC. Colorado’s bowl hopes  will almost certainly be determined as they navigate the early season docket. In our estimation, the Buffs need to bag a small handful of wins early on if they want to achieve a winning record. Check out the first five games, yo. The Rams will give it 100%, Nebraska is going to be REALLY tough, Air Force could rush for 400 yards, and the Sun Devils and Wildcats will be tough outs. THEN the schedule gets tough.

The betting market will take all of this to account but it’s hard to imagine Colorado having a winning record ATS. We recommend waiting to see how the first month of the season goes and then reassess.


Want more Colorado Football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.cubuffs.com/index.aspx?path=football

FORUM

http://www.allbuffs.com/forums/colorado-football-message-board.3/

http://chat.colorado.sportswar.com/message_board/netbuffsfootball/

NEWS

http://www.buffzone.com/football-cubuffs

http://bleacherreport.com/colorado-buffaloes-football

http://www.ralphiereport.com/

http://www.denverpost.com/sports/college/

TWITTER

Hashtags – #GoBuffs

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CUBuffsFootball

https://twitter.com/BrianHowell33