Miami Ohio Redhawks 2021 College Football Preview

Miami Ohio Redhawks 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 8, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 2-1

ATS – 2-1

The Redhawks didn’t get a real shot to defend their 2019 MAC CHAMPIONSHIP in light of the shortened plandemic schedule. They took down eventual conference champ Ball St in a wacky opener (W 38-31) but were blown to SMITHEREENS by Buffalo in their 2nd game (L 42-10). Let’s check in with this year’s squad and see if they have the MINERALS to make another strong push for the MAC title.


Miami Redhawks 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Redhawks didn’t exactly set the world on fire during their 2019 title run (24 PPG) but it’s worth noting that this offense will have most of those key components back in the mix. QB Brett Gabbert completed 66% of his passes in the three-game docket LY (0 INT) and backup AJ Mayer had his moments whilst being inconsistent (4-1 TD to INT). The RB room is loaded as their 1-2 punch from a few years ago is back in the fold.  Jaylor Bester and Tyre Shelton combined for over 1,300Y and 16 TD in 2019. #1 WR Jack Sorenson is back to annoy MAC defenses and note that he bagged 18 receptions and 4 TDs LY after leading the team in yards, receptions, and TD grabs in 2019. Almost everyone is back this year at WR and they should be one of the premier units in the conference. Three starters are back on the OL BUT one has to be concerned about the yuuuge losses at LT (NFL) and C (to Okla St). They booked a mere 127 and 131 YPG on the ground the past two years and allowed 31 sacks in 2019.

DEFENSE

T’was a limited sample size to be sure, but the Redhawks allowed fewer than 30 PPG and 400 YPG for the 5th straight year, whilst at the same time, led the MAC in sacks per game (13 in 3G). They were decent vs the run (held mighty Buffalo to 205 yards on 43 carries) but had a hard time defending the pass despite the dangerous rush up front. This year’s stop unit boasts a BEVY of returning starters (10) and they look pretty strong at DL. They are deep at DE and Cameron Butler bagged 2.5 sacks LY in 3G (5.5 in 2019). Leading tackler Ryan McWood (34, sack, INT) is back at LB and they just need to improve on the back-end. Last year they allowed 60.5% completions and an UNSEEMLY 9.3 YPA.

SPECIAL TEAMS

They return both kicking specialists in PK Henry Beckett (3-4 FG, 11-11 XP) and P Dom Dzioban (team #5 FBS net punting).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There’s an extremely wicked non-conference road slate to navigate (Cincinnati, Minnesota, Army) but at least they miss Toledo and Western Michigan from the MAC West. The regular season finale at Kent St LOOMS LARGE.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Army (September 25th)

The Black Knights are TOUGHER THAN A NIGHT IN JAIL and note that #MACtion is on deck.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 8

Over 4.5 -155

Under 4.5 +135

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

There’s almost certainly going to be a SEPTEMBER BLOODBATH but this is still one of the best teams in the MAC East.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

HC Chuck Martin has a 32-46 SU record in Oxford but the Redhawks are 16-13 L3Y and have won nine straight games at home after losing to Western Michigan in 2018 (L 40-39).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Redhawks should be more than BATTLE TESTED whenst they enter MACtion ACTion. There’s no reason to think they can’t be 4-0 or 3-1 in conference play when they battle the Bobcats on the road in early November. Definite division contender and they may FLY slightly under-the-radar. Pun intended.


Want more Miami Ohio football ?

WEBSITE

https://miamiredhawks.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://test.miamihawktalk.com/talk/discussions

NEWS

https://www.daytondailynews.com/sports/miami-university-redhawks/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/193/miami-(oh)-redhawks

TWITTER

Hashtag – #RiseUpRedHawks

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/MiamiOHFootball

Western Michigan Broncos 2021 College Football Preview

Western Michigan Broncos 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 11, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 4-2

ATS – 3-3

“Here we go again. Again.” <Tugg Speedman; Scorcher VI – Global Meltdown>

The Broncos continued to be SNAKE BITTEN during the Tim Lester era and failed to make the MAC Championship Game for the 4th consecutive season. This time it was due to a final game collapse vs Ball St (L 30-27). There’s been a lot of talent on recent squads but they can’t seem to get over the hump. 4-2 wasn’t a disaster but fans are expecting a bit more. Let’s see what’s in store for the Broncos in 2021.


Western Michigan Broncos 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Broncos performed well on offense LY and were balanced (#5 MAC rush, #3 pass) whilst scoring an impressive 41.7 PPG (#3 MAC). QB Kaleb Eleby boasted a phenomenal 18-2 TD to INT mark and completed 65% of his passes at an impossible clip of 11.2 yards/attempt. Eleby was #3 in the FBS in pass efficiency behind NFL-bound Mac Jones and Zach Wilson. He’s back this year but will be without #1 WR D’Wayne Eskridge who was one of the most dangerous players in the MAC. The #2 and #3 WRs Skyy Moore and Jaylen Hall both return and recall that Hall averaged a sweet 26.9 YPC whilst bagging 7 TD receptions LY. The top-3 RBs all return led by 2nd Team MAC honoree La’Darius Jefferson (624, 5.6, 5 TD). Four starters return up front including star OL Mike “Frank” Caliendo, and note that the Broncos allowed just 7 sacks LY (#2 MAC sacks allowed per game). This offense will be REALLY good despite bringing on a new OC.

DEFENSE

The Broncos struggled on D a season ago and allowed 34 PPG for the second time in three seasons. And they didn’t even have to face Kent St. They allowed over 500 yards to Toledo and Eastern Michigan (!). Ten starters return to the stop unit including everyone up front and NG Ralph Holley is one of the best DL in the conference (3 sacks, 9 TFL). DE Ali Fayad chipped in four sacks and the Broncos were #2 in the MAC in sacks/game LY. The LB group returns a good chunk of their two-deep but will be without tackling machine Treshaun Hayward who transferred to Arizona. The Broncos posted a mediocre 12-2 TD to INT mark LY but return everyone on the back end and have a good-looking pair of safeties. This should be one of the most improved defenses in the MAC.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Western Michigan has posted four (!) Top-50 finishes in the Phil Steele special teams rankings over the past six years (LY #32) but lose their dynamic KR D’Wayne Eskridge. They were #85 in net punting LY and just 5-9 on FG attempts.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference schedule is challenging. They take on Michigan and Pittsburgh ON THE HIGHWAY and face a scrappy San Jose St squad at home. They draw well from the MAC East and have a really good road conference draw in (Buffalo, Toledo (yikes), Eastern Michigan, Northern Illinois).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – November 9th (Akron)

This isn’t a spot we’ll be likely to lay a ton of points. Akron is still closer to PURE FILTH than competitive BUT this game pops up in a DIRECTIONAL MICHIGAN SANDWICH (Chips, Eagles).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes, July 11

Over 6 -110

Under 6 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

There’s nobody in the MAC that these guys can’t beat. If they can slither past San Jose St and go into conference play at 2-2 this ‘over’ should be a winner. If not, 6-2 is not out of the question.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

It wasn’t that long ago when Western Michigan ROWED THE BOAT all the way to the Cotton Bowl and gave Wisconsin all they could handle (L 24-16, 2017). The Broncos finished that year with a record of 13-1.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Broncos have posted a mark of 24-20 since the aforementioned SUPER SEASON of 2016. Six wins. Seven. Seven. Four in the shortened season. This year’s team doesn’t appear to have any major weakness and they’ll be very potent on offense. Central Michigan and Ball St may have something to say, but our best guess is that the MAC West will go to the winner of the  Broncos / Rockets clash in late October.


Want more Western Michigan football ?

WEBSITE

https://wmubroncos.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://csnbbs.com/forum-489.html

NEWS

https://www.mlive.com/broncos/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2711/western-michigan-broncos

TWITTER

Hashtag – #LetsRide

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/WMU_Football

Kent St Golden Flashes 2021 College Football Preview

Kent St Golden Flashes 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 9, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 3-1

ATS – 2-2

The Golden Flashes only managed to get in four games during the 2020 casedemic season but still provided fans with a lot of excitement. More on that below. They rolled a trio of TOMATO CANS to start the year (Eastern Michigan, Bowling Green, Akron) but proceeded to give up approximately 89,000 rushing yards to Buffalo in a 70-41 DEBACLE. That’s where the story ended. Let’s see how they look heading into the upcoming year.


Kent St Golden Flashes 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

#FlashFAST was in full effect last season as they led the FBS in total offense (607 YPG) whilst doing it with great balance (#3 FBS rushing, #2 FBS passing efficiency). Things should continue to be SPICY this year with the return of star QB Dustin Crum (73.5%, 12-2 TD to INT, 10.5 YPA, 240 rush, 4 TD) and a BEVY of weapons. The rushing attack was excellent LY (5.7 YPC) and they return the fine 1-2 RB combo of Marquez Cooper and Bryan Bradford. #1 WR I McKoy departs but the group is very deep and they do a great job of spreading the ball around. Adding WR Nykeim Johnson won’t hurt (Syracuse). Five starters are back up front and they allowed a mere five sacks in 4G LY in addition to doing a great job run blocking. The schedule was light but it’s worth noting that Kent St converted 56% of their 3rd down opportunities (#2 FBS). This will be a lethal offense and easily one of the best in the MAC.

DEFENSE

The Golden Flashes struggled mightily on defense LY and allowed an UNSEEMLY 38 PPG whilst finishing #123 in the FBS in rush defense. They were effective vs the pass (51.6% completions) and had a good pass rush (11 sacks in 4G) but it’s worth remembering that their schedule was pretty light. Eight starters are back on this side of the football as are seven of their top-9 tacklers. They were steamrolled by Buffalo LY but didn’t fare too well if you forget about that HORROR SHOW (515 rush yards, 70 points). They have potential to be better up front with ends Zayin West and Jabbar Price back in the mix and a 330-pound man on the nose (CJ West). They’re experienced at LB and they add Juan Wallace to the group (Syracuse). The back end that was pretty good vs the pass LY brings back Dean Clark and Richie Carpenter (#1, #3 tackles respectively), as well as a potentially yuuuuge addition in S Antwaine Richardson (Maryland).

There’s potential for some decent upside on defense but note that the Golden Flashes have allowed an average of 35.5 PPG during Sean Lewis’ run as HC. The pass rush should be there.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Ouch. Star PK Matthew Trickett (47-57 career FG) is off to Minnesota and leaves a big hole. Kent St was #110 in PR and #111 in KR in 2020.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – YIKES. That’s one nasty non-conference slate. Road tilts with Texas A&M, Iowa, and Maryland are on tap before MACtion begins. They catch a break by missing Toledo and Ball St in crossover play.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Akron (November 20th)

This will be their 4th roadie in five games (six weeks) and they have a game with potentially yuuuge implications the following week (Miami Ohio).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 9

Over 5 -115

Under 5 -105

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

They’ll almost certainly going to need at least four wins in conference play to get to five wins. That seems extremely doable.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The 1972 Kent St squad booked the only MAC Championship in school history. They were coached by legendary coach Don James and boasted some familiar faces on the roster. All-time great NFL LB Jack Lambert (may or may have not actually EATEN an opposing player on the field, according to legend), former long-time Missouri coach Gary Pinkell, and some other dude you may have heard about. Nick Saban.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

BUCKLE UP, yo. This should be a really entertaining team. The offense will be able to SCORE THE FOOTBALL on anyone in the MAC and the defense should take a step forward. They get Ohio and Miami Ohio on their home field and that’s good news. SERIOUS player in the East and legit shot to take down the MAC.


Want more Kent St football ?

WEBSITE

https://kentstatesports.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://csnbbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=474

NEWS

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2309

TWITTER

Hashtag – #FlashFAST

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/KentStFootball

 

Buffalo Bulls 2021 College Football Preview

Buffalo Bulls 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 9, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 6-1

ATS – 5-2

ARGH.

The Bulls rolled through the shortened scamdemic regular season schedule and rattled off five straight wins whilst scoring 42+ on each occasion. The dream of a MAC title went down the toilet when they were upset by the feisty Ball St Cardinals (L 38-28) as double digit favorites. They beat a solid Marshall squad 17-10 in the Camellia Bowl to finish things up with a mark of 6-1. Former HC Lance Leipold is off to Kansas and the Bulls will look to keep the program near the top of the MAC pecking order in 2021.


Buffalo Bulls 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Bulls’ ground game was LETHAL a season ago, and at times, beyond comical. They finished #2 in the FBS in rushing offense (287 YPG) (!) and averaged an impossible 6.7 YPC (#1 FBS). One of the more memorable games of last year was the Bulls 70-41 steamrolling of Kent St in which they rushed for 515 yards (9.5). Jaret Patterson rolled for 409 yards and 8 TDs. He’s off to the NFL (Washington REDSKINS REDSKINS REDSKINS) but Kevin Marks has every shot to book a 1,000-yard season (741, 6.6, 7 TD LY). The offensive line was amazing LY supporting the ground attack whilst allowing just one (!) sack all year. They lose a pair of yuuuuge talents in C Mike Novitsky (Kansas) and G Jacob Gall (Baylor) so it remains to be seen how big of a drop they take in performance in 2021. QB Kyle Vantrease wasn’t asked to do too much LY (62%, 1326, 7-3) but note that he booked TWO 350+ yard games. The THROW GAME takes a big hit with the departure of their top-two receivers in Antonio Nunn and Trevor Wilson, as well as TE Zac Lefebvre (13-169, 13.0, TD). Overall, this looks like an average MAC offense on paper unless some surprises emerge.

DEFENSE

The Bulls were #2 in the conference in scoring D LY (21.9) and #1 in total defense (360 YPG) whilst leading the MAC in sacks (20; #5 sacks per game). They lose a lot of talent on the DL including NFL-bound DE Malcolm Koonce (5 sacks LY, led team) as well as MLB Tyree Thompson (#3 tackles), and a pair of starters in the secondary including S Tyrone Hill (#5 tackles, 6 PBU). The good news is that their best defensive player LB James Patterson returns for duty (#1 tackler) and they add a spicy transfer at DT in Josh Rogers (Texas AM) who will likely appreciate the drop in class. The Bulls were #6 in the conference in run D and #3 in pass efficiency D a season ago. We expect similar rankings this year with maybe a bit more risk to the downside given the new coaching staff.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Bulls have struggled on special teams for a lonnnng time (#108, #129, #125 L3Y per Phil Steele mag) and there’s not much reason for optimism this year. Note that FGK Alex McNulty made just 1-4 FG attempts LY. Yup, that happened. At least KR Ron Cook showed some potential (25.2, 9 KR).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference slate isn’t too bad. Things get REAL in a hurry in MACtion play as their first three games are tough ones (Broncos, Kent St, Ohio). They alternate home and road games all year. Amaze your VACCINE-HESITANT CUBICLE BUDDY with that scheduling trivia gem.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Old Dominion (Sept 25th)

The Monarchs will be PURE FILTH this year but it’s possible the Bulls get caught sleepwalking a bit as they have conference play on deck. We won’t be too keen to lay road chalk in this spot.

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes, July 9

Over 8 +105

Under 8 -125

Note – August 10 per 5Dimes

Over 8 +110

Under 8 -130

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Under.

The MAC East is pretty weak (Akron, Bowling Green….take a bow) but they have some challenging conference road tilts (Kent St, Miami Ohio, Ball St). Nebraska and Coastal Carolina are likely losses.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Bulls only conference championship came back in 2008 under the tutelage of former CORN legend Turner Gill. They took down Ball St in the MAC Championship Game (W 42-24) that year. The Cardinals turned the tables on Buffalo in 2020.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

New HC Maurice Linguist has some big shoes to fill as Lance Leipold did a wonderful job building this program. The coaching staff got off to a late start and that has us a bit worried, not to mention the key departures on both sides of the football. There’s still talent on the roster but we prefer other teams on top of the ticket in terms of winning the MAC East.


Want more Buffalo Bulls football ?

WEBSITE

http://ubbulls.com/sports/fball/index

FORUM

http://ubfan.com/bb/index.php?/forum/6-buffalo-bulls-football/

NEWS

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2084/buffalo-bulls

http://www.ubbullrun.com/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #UBhornsUP

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/UBFootball

Ohio Bobcats 2021 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Ohio Bobcats 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 6, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 2-1

ATS – 1-2

It’s hard to make much out of the TRUNCATED plandemic season as the Bobcats booked a pair of wins over TURDS (Akron, Bowling Green) and lost a close one to Central Michigan. What we DO know is that the Bobcats continued their MAC title drought (1968).


Ohio Bobcats 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Bobcats have been SPICY on offense the past four seasons averaging 34+ PPG on each occasion. They’ve rushed for 200+ yards every year since 2017 and should have one of the best rushing attacks in the MAC. De’Montre Tuggle racked up 403 yards and 6 TDs LY (ya, two of those games were vs TOMATO CANS) and recall that he had over 600Y and 11 TDs in 2019. The offensive line returns four starters, and whilst they lose C Brett Kitrell, they add Va Tech transfer TJ Jackson who’s listed at an impossible 6’7 377. We like the QB situation as they have a good 1-2 combo in Kurtis Rourke (8.8/attempt, 0 INT LY) and the mobile Armani Rogers. #1 WR Isiah Cox averaged 20 YPC LY and he caught 39 balls in 2019. TE Ryan Luehrman had a pair of receiving TDs in 3G LY. We aren’t sure about the overall depth and explosiveness in the THROW GAME.

DEFENSE

It’s a bit of a mixed bag looking ahead to 2021. Their run D has gotten worse in each of the last three seasons (110 YPG to 194 LY; 3.5 to 4.8 YPC) and they lose #2 tackler LB Jared Dorsa and their fine DE Austin Conrad. The good news? They return eight starters on this side of the football and bring back almost the entire two-deep at LB and on the DL. Safety Jamison Collier led the team in tackles LY and there is some good size at DT. They need to get more out of the pass rush as they only bagged 4 sacks in 3G LY (24 in 2019, 25 in 2018). This appears to be a good, but not great defense on paper.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Bobcats will miss STC Brain Hayes who is off to the Sun Belt (App St) and will need to get better results from PK Tristian Vandenberg (2-6 FG LY). Note that they had TWO KR TDs LY, one each from Julian Ross and De’Montre Tuggle. Both men are back in 2021.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference docket has a pair of nasty road games (Cajuns, Northwestern) but they miss Ball St and Western Michigan from the MAC West. Two of their “road” games are vs Akron and Bowling Green and note that they get Kent St and Miami Ohio in Athens.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Eastern Michigan (Nov 9)

Ohio is always good for a random stinker and this contest pops-up after the season-defining three game stretch vs East opponents (Buffalo, Kent St, Miami Ohio).

Season Win Total

(per 5Dimes, July 6)

Over 6.5 -125

Under 6.5 +105

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

The East is pretty weak and they have a decent draw from the West. They’re more than capable of SHOCKING THE WORLD week one vs Syracuse.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Per the amazing PHIL STEELE mag, the Bobcats haven’t lost a MAC game by more than a TD since 2015.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This team doesn’t look like a killer BUT they don’t appear to have a significant weakness. A fun game to play with friends and family is “Predict the week that Ohio chokes away the MAC”, but they definitely look good enough to get to the MAC Championship Game and give Bobcats fans that elusive title. <grabs popcorn>


Want more Ohio football ?

WEBSITE

http://www.ohiobobcats.com/sports/fball/index

FORUM

http://www.bobcatattack.com/messageboard/forum.asp?PID=6

NEWS

https://www.athensmessenger.com/sports/ohiouniversity/

https://www.bobcatattack.com/football/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/195/ohio-bobcats

TWITTER

Hashtag – #OUohyeah

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/OhioFootball

Toledo Rockets 2021 College Football Preview

College Football Predictions – Toledo Rockets 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 11, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 4-2

ATS – 3-3

The Rockets were a total of six points away from a 6-0 record as they dropped a pair of close ones to Western Michigan and Ball St. The loss to the Broncos was particularly painful as they held a 10-point lead with two minutes left. Then, it was time for the MACtion GREMLINS to take over and cause all hell to break loose. On to 2021, yo!


Toledo Rockets 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

Toledo had a devastating THROW GAME LY and averaged a spicy 326 YPG (#1 MAC, #9 FBS). QB Eli Peters is gone and it’s up to Carter Bradley to keep things rolling (62%, 9-5 TD to INT LY). Bradley has just 105 career pass attempts but he looked good LY and note he lit up Northern Illinois for 432 yards. The WR unit is very deep and they return their top-six pass catchers. #1 WR Isaiah Winstead had 429Y in 6G and WR Bryce Mitchell averaged 23.5 YPC. Adding Georgia (!) transfer WR Matt Landers can’t hurt (25G with Bulldogs). RB Bryant Koback has a great shot at booking a 1,000-yard campaign and they have a pair of highly regarded youngsters in Lamy Constant and Trenton Adkins. Star C Bryce Harris is back to lead a talented and experienced offensive line. One bone to pick will be the fact that Toledo allowed the most TFL/game in the MAC LY.

DEFENSE

Toledo played good defense during the TRUNCATED plandemic season and only allowed one team to score more than 30 points (Western Michigan). They were rock solid vs the run (#2 MAC, #25 FBS) and #4 in pass efficiency D. Almost the entire (!) defense is back for duty and there’s no reason to think that this won’t be another serious MAC stop unit. The DL features a pair of all-MAC selections in DE Jamal Hines (6.5 career sacks, 22 TFL) and Desjuan Johnson who led the Rockets with 8 TFL LY. It won’t hurt to add Penn St (!) transfer DL Judge Culpepper to the festivities. The back seven should be really good and it features LB Dyontae Johnson (#1 tackles, 4.5 TFL) and a good-looking group of safeties. The Rockets were DEVASTATING defending 3rd downs a season ago (27.4%, #3 FBS) and only need to ramp up the pass rush a bit (12 sacks LY) to have a special year. This appears to be the best defense in the MAC on paper.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Toledo had one of the worst special teams units in the MAC and need to improve. They were #115 in net punting LY but note that P Bailey Flint was much better in 2019 (Toledo #55 FBS net punting). Their return units were abysmal a season ago (#103 PR, #123 KR). Both PKs return for battle (combined 7-10 FG LY).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference slate looks REALLY good other than the trip to Notre Dame. Then again, they just might be good enough to put a scare into a reloading Irish squad. They get a great draw out of the East (Akron AND Bowling Green) but have to face two of the three other MAC West big boys on the road (Ball St, Central Michigan).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Colorado St (September 18th)

This game comes after the trip to South Bend and before a yuuuuge road game at Ball St. Bit of a spooky spot to back the Rockets vs the spread.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 11

Over 8.5 +110

Under 8.5 -130

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over

Six MAC wins should make them hit the ‘over’. We believe this is the most talented team in the conference.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Toledo hasn’t had a losing season since finishing below .500 from 2006-2009.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Rockets look poised for a serious run for the MAC Championship. They’ll be able to SCORE THE FOOTBALL and have the best defense in the conference. The kicking game might be a bit sketchy, but you can’t have everything. They take on Ball St, Central Michigan, and Western Michigan before October 23rd, so GET YOUR GAME FACES ON, Rockets fans! Our pick to click in the MAC.


Want more Toledo football ?

WEBSITE

https://utrockets.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://csnbbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=479

NEWS

https://www.hustlebelt.com/toledo-rockets

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2649/toledo-rockets

TWITTER

Hashtags – #LiftOff

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/ToledoFB

Ball St Cardinals 2021 College Football Preview

Ball St Cardinals 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 11, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 7-1

ATS – 5-3

Yes, guy.

The Ball St Cardinals were MAC CHAMPS and it took a lot of CLOSE SHAVES in order to GIT ER DONE. They lost the opener to Miami Ohio (L 38-31) but didn’t lose again all year, and that included SHOCKING THE WORLD in the title game when they defeated the mighty Buffalo Bulls (W 38-28), as well as in the Arizona Bowl when they smoked a really good San Jose St squad (W 34-13).

Do they have the MINERALS to win this bad boy again? Let’s dig in.


Ball St Cardinals 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Cardinals have averaged 34.3 and 34.8 PPG the past 2Y and bring back their fine QB Drew Plitt to lead the attack once again (65.6%, 17-6 TD to INT, 8.6). Plitt has gotten better every year and there’s no reason to think that he won’t have a yuuuge year in 2021. Hopefully, he can stay healthy as there is no experienced depth behind him. The WR group is one of the best in the MAC with the return of the 1-2 combo of Justin Hall and Yo’Heinz Tyler who combined for over 1,200 yards and 12 TDs in 2020. Adding Cincinnati transfer WR Jayshon Jackson helps the cause. They’d like to get a bit more out of the ground game (#7 MAC rush, 3.9 YPC) but will move forward without #1 RB Caleb Huntley who missed a good chunk of 2020 and STILL rushed for 437Y and 6 TD (146 YPG). They’ll likely go with a committee approach at RB but note that they have some interesting youngsters that could emerge. Five starters return up front and they have experience and good size. Ideally, they’ll do a better job in pass protection as they allowed 28 sacks LY (#11 MAC sacks allowed per game).

DEFENSE

The Cardinals finished #4 in the conference in rush defense LY, #5 in pass efficiency D, and led the MAC in INTs (10). Last year was the first time they’d allowed fewer than 30 PPG since 2014. Voila, MAC title. This year they return 16 of their top 17 tacklers and should prove to be one of the strongest stop units in the conference. They have decent size up front but could use a little more SPICE in terms of rushing the passer. Ball St is LOADED at LB and feature the team’s top-two tacklers from a season ago (Brandon Martin, Jaylin Thomas) as well as the team leader in sacks in Anthony Ekpe (5). As noted earlier, they picked off 10 passes LY to lead the MAC but hopefully they’ll get a bit more pressure on the QB in order to be as opportunistic in 2021. They booked 17 sacks in 2020 which ranked them #6 in the conference in sacks/game.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look ok. They return P Nathan Snyder and KR Justin Hall. PK Jacob Lewis will likely take over the full time FG duties (2/3 FG LY).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The non-conference slate is a bit nasty as they have to face Penn St (A), Wyoming (A) and Army (H). Their MAC road docket is very favorable as the only tough game (on paper) is the October date with Western Michigan.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Wyoming (September 18th)

It’s never easy to take on the Pokes at that high altitude and the Cards have a yuuuge game with Toledo on deck.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 11

Over 7.5 -115

Under 7.5 -105

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

It’s a tough call at this number. They play in a tough division and the non-conference schedule doesn’t do them any favors.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Ball St won their FIRST bowl game in school history last year when they POLEAXED San Jose St in the Arizona Bowl.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Ball St is another legit contender in a deeeeep MAC West. They’re talented on both sides of the football but note that they’ve only booked one winning season since 2013. That was last year. They bounced back like CHAMPIONS last season after losing their opener and get full marks for that achievement. This year? They probably need to take down Toledo on September 25th if they want to win the division.


Want more Ball St football ?

WEBSITE

https://ballstatesports.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://overthepylon.boards.net/board/2/bsu-football

NEWS

http://www.ballstatedaily.com/section/sports

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2050/ball-state-cardinals

TWITTER

Hashtag – #WeFly, #ChirpChirp

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/BallStateFB

Northern Illinois Huskies 2021 College Football Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 11, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 0-6

ATS – 2-4

It’s been a while since we’ve seen something this disgusting from the Huskies, but it had to happen sometime. They finished the season with ZIP in the win column, but it’s worth nothing that they didn’t get to play Akron or Bowling Green in conference play. There were a few promising moments as they only lost to Ball St and Western Michigan by a combined 9 points, but it certainly wasn’t easy to be a Northern Illinois fan in 2020.

Let’s see if there’s hope on the horizon.


Northern Illinois Huskies 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Huskies ranked #8 in the MAC in total offense, #10 in scoring offense, and converted a meager 28.57% of their 3rd down opportunities (#10 MAC, #120 FBS). Last season’s starter Ross Bowers had a decent season at QB but moves on, and now it appears it’ll be up to Michigan St transfer Rocky Lombardi to pick up where Bowers left off (NIU 241 YPG passing, #6 MAC). Lombardi was inconsistent with the Spartans LY (53.5%, 8-9 TD to INT) but should appreciate the drop in class to the MAC. The top-two WRs are back in the mix including 1st Team MAC selection Tyrice Ritchie who snagged 53 receptions and booked 4 TDs in just 6g. They’ve gotta find a way to get the ground game going and note that the Huskies have posted a decline in rushing yards per game in four consecutive seasons. The RB group looks to be in good shape with the return of their top-three leading rushers including Harrison Waylee who put up strong numbers in the shortened campaign (456, 4.3, TD). We expect improvement from an experienced and good-sized OL.

DEFENSE

Northern Illinois allowed 30+ points in all 6g LY and 40+ on four occasions. They ended up #7 in the MAC in run D and #10 in pass efficiency whilst posting a mediocre 11 sacks (#8 MAC per game). The defense was extremely young LY and they’ll almost certainly benefit from the LIVE BULLETS. Nine of their top 10 tacklers return but they’ll be without excellent LB Kyle Pugh who’s posted 186 tackles during his tenure with the Huskies. We expect some youngsters in the front seven to emerge into legit MAC starters and their secondary is in good shape with the return of S Devin Lafayette and CB Jordan Gandy who led the team in tackles LY whilst breaking up a team-leading 7 passes.

SPECIAL TEAMS

All the key components return including K John Richardson (7-9 FG LY) and P Matt Ference (39.4 net).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It feels like a virtual LOCK they’ll start the season 0-3 (at Georgia Tech, Wyoming, at Michigan) but they miss Ohio and Miami Ohio from the East.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 11

Over 3.5 -145

Under 3.5 +125

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. That looks about right. We think they’ll be an improved team on the field but it might not show up in the win column. 3-4 wins is a reasonable expectation.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

The Huskies had an amazing five-year stretch from 2010 to 2014 in which they AVERAGED more than 11 wins per season.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Huskies weren’t as bad as the 0-6 record indicated last season and they were a very young bunch. We expect a small handful of wins this year but think they’re at least a year away from contending with the BIG BOYS of the MAC West. Their November foes should be on UPSET ALERT as these guys are capable of ruining someone’s season.


Want more Northern Illinois football ?

WEBSITE

https://niuhuskies.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://csnbbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=468

NEWS

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2459/northern-illinois-huskies

TWITTER

Hashtags – #TheHardWay

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/NIU_Football

Eastern Michigan Eagles 2021 College Football Preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 11, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 2-4

ATS – 4-2

The Eagles dropped a couple of close ones to start the season losing to Kent St and Ball St (both on the road) by a combined 11 points. They actually started 0-4 before SHOCKING THE WORLD and taking down Western Michigan as double digit underdogs (W 53-42). They finished the year with a win over Northern Illinois and head into 2021 riding a two-game winning streak. Let’s go!


Eastern Michigan Eagles 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Eagles improved their scoring output (33.2 PPG) for the third consecutive season and averaged 277 YPG through the air (#4 MAC). They tallied 500+ yards of total offense vs Ball St (!) and Western Michigan. QB Preston Hutchinson is one of the more underrated players in the MAC and posted solid numbers LY (64%, 12-6 TD to INT, 8.4; 8 rushing TD). Hutch has his top-two WRs back for duty in Hassan Beydoun and Tanner Knue who combined for over 900Y and 4 TD a season ago, and TE Thomas Odukoya snagged a pair of TD passes. They’ve got to get more out of a ground game that hasn’t averaged 4+ YPC since 2016 and RB Darius Boone (5.8 YPC LY) definitely has the upside to provide some punch. Recall that Boone missed a good chunk of the 2020 season due to injury. Five starters are back on the offensive line and they have decent size. The Eagles were #10 in the MAC in sacks/allowed per game in 2020. We expect another productive campaign and it’s worth noting that they have depth across the spectrum of skill positions.

DEFENSE

Eastern Michigan was a HORROR SHOW on this side of the ball LY and allowed 492 YPG (LAST in the MAC) and an UNSEEMLY 239 YPG on the ground whilst booking a mere 9 sacks in 6G. They played a nasty set of MAC offenses but improvement must be made if they plan on getting into the top half of a nasty division. 11 (!) starters are back as well as the top-11 tacklers from LY. There are a few decent pieces to work with up front as DE Turan Rush bagged 4.5 sacks LY and NT WOO Scott is a 330-pound space-eater. LB Terry Myrick is one of the best at his position in the MAC (#1 tackles, 5.5 TFL) and LB/S Alvinoski LaFleur can MAKE PLAYS. The pass defense could still be an issue and recall that they allowed 67% completions LY and only picked off 3 passes. The transfer of Rutgers CB Jarrett Paul should help.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The kicking game is in excellent shape with the return of PK Chad Ryland (11-13 FG LY) and punter Jake Julien (42.5 net; #7 net punting FBS).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s probably BLOODBATH CITY when they face Wisconsin in Madison but the other three non-conference tilts are winnable. Their season will be decided in November when they take on Toledo, WM, and CM.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 11

Over 6.5 -105

Under 6.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: under.

They have a really good shot of heading into MAC play with a 3-1 record but the West is pretty nasty and the Eagles have a habit of losing close games. Doubt we’ll participate in this market as there’s definitely upside with this squad.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Eastern Michigan led the FBS in red zone scoring LY and SCORED THE FOOTBALL on all 28 of their 28 opportunities. **

** Fact check true


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This has the potential to be a fun season for Eastern Michigan fans. The defense needs to take a step forward but they’re solid at QB and in the kicking game. The November schedule is nasty but they should be in the mix at that point. They’re probably not good enough to win the MAC West but they’re definitely capable of SHOCKING THE WORLD once or twice and making a bowl game. Go Eagles! KAW KAW. 


Want more Eastern Michigan football ?

WEBSITE

https://emueagles.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://csnbbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=478

NEWS

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2199/eastern-michigan-eagles

Twitter     

Hashtags – #ETOUGH

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/EMUFB

Central Michigan Chippewas 2021 College Football Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 10, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 3-3

ATS – 4-2

The defending MAC West champs got off to a 2-0 start with wins over Ohio and Northern Illinois but dropped three of their final four games to finish with a mark of 3-3. Two of those three losses came vs good competition (Broncos, Cardinals), and all things considered, it wasn’t a bad season given the overall environment in 2020.


Central Michigan 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

FIRE UP CHIPS have had a fine ground game over the past two seasons (218, 181 YPG) and there’s no reason to think anything will be different this year with the return of their excellent 1-2 RB combo of Lew Nichols and Kobe Lewis who combined for close to 1,000 yards and 10 TDs in the TRUNCATED plandemic campaign. All five starters are back on the OL that paved the way for 5.0 YPC (#4 MAC) and allowed 14 sacks in 6G (#7 MAC sacks allowed per game). Starting QB Daniel Richardson returns (64%, 4-2 TD to INT, 7.7) but backup Ty Brock is gone. Washington (!) transfer Jacob Sirmon will compete for the starting gig during fall camp. The WR group looks like one of the best in the MAC with the return of almost everyone including ALL-MEGALOCKS team member Kalil Pimpleton (26-277, 2 TD; time as wildcat QB) and Dallas Dixon (20.2 YPC LY). This should be one of the best offenses in the MAC despite working with a new OC.

DEFENSE

Central Michigan has allowed 27+ PPG every year since 2015 and will need to step up their game a notch if they want to challenge in a tough MAC West. Nine starters are back to a stop unit that allowed 400+ YPG for the first time since 2013 LY and we expect improvement. They were #3 in the MAC in sacks per game and return star DE Troy Hairston who booked 5.5 sacks and 12 TFL in a shortened season. 2nd leading tackler and 1st Team MAC honoree Troy Brown is back at LB as is leading tackler LB George Douglas. FIRE UP CHIPS allowed a MAC-worst 297 YPG through the air LY but were acceptable in terms of pass efficiency D (58%, 15-8 TD to INT, 9.4). Every starter returns on the back-end including their excellent safety Willie Reid. This looks like an above-average unit on paper and definitely has some upside.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Yes, guy.

Things are in good shape with the return of PK Marshall Meeder (8-8 FG LY), 1st Team MAC punter Luke Elzinga, and PR/WR/QB Kalil Pimpleton.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It’s pretty nasty. They face LSU and Missouri on the road, but at least their other two non-MAC tilts should be wins (Robert Morris, FIU). The schedule-makers DID THEM DRY by making them face Ohio, Miami Ohio and Kent St. The November 17th game at Ball St LOOMS LARGE.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – September 25th (at Florida International)

The Panthers don’t look to be anything special but this game pops up after a MEAT GRINDER (at LSU) and before conference play begins (at Miami Ohio).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 10

Over 6.5 +115

Under 6.5 -135

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

The schedule doesn’t do them any favors but this squad looks loaded and they’ll very likely just need to go 5-3 in MACtion to get to seven wins. Plus money is nice.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Central Michigan has lost five consecutive bowl games (3-9 all time).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Jim McElwain has turned this ship around pretty quickly and has these guys loaded to contend for MAC Championship every year. Also note that COACH JIM has an impressive 14-6 record vs the Vegas number in Mount Pleasant. If they can split the early road games with the Bobcats and Redhawks, and then take care of Toledo at home the following week, IT’S ON LIKE DONKEY KONG.


Want more Central Michigan football ?

WEBSITE

https://cmuchippewas.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/central-michigan/Board/KellyShorts-Stadium-104028/

NEWS

https://www.themorningsun.com/sports/college-sports/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2117/central-michigan-chippewas

TWITTER

Hashtag – #FireUpChips

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CMU_Football