Nevada Wolfpack 2021 College Football Preview

Nevada Wolfpack 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 17, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 7-2

ATS – 6-3

The PACK had a really good season in 2020 and came THIS close to getting to play for a Mountain West Championship. They rocked out of the gate winning five straight including wins (close shaves) over Wyoming and San Diego St and headed into the regular season finale with a WIN AND IN scenario vs San Jose St. They blew a double digit lead in that one but rebounded nicely in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl to take down a scrappy Tulane squad (W 38-27).


Nevada Wolfpack 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

QB Carson Strong emerged as a legit star LY and posted a remarkable stat line (70%, 8.1, 27-4 TD to INT). The Pack were #12 in the FBS in passing offense (#12 efficiency) and will be potent once again given the serious talent they have at WR and TE. Romeo Doubs is one of the best WRs in college football and comes into this season off a yuuuge campaign (1002, 17.3, 9 TD) and Cole Turner is an elite pass catching TE (49-605, 12.4, 9 TD). WR Tory Horton averaged 16.8 YPC (5 TD) AND THE HITS KEEP COMING. WR Elijah Cooks missed almost all of last season and recall his wonderful 2019 season (76-926, 12.2, 8 TD). Nevada only picked up 122 YPG on the ground LY but RB Toa Taua is a load. Both he and #2 RB Devonte Lee averaged over 5 YPC in 2020. The front line looks solid with four returning starters and they did a good job LY. This just might be the best offense in the Mountain West.

DEFENSE

The Wolfpack played good defense LY, particularly vs the run were they allowed just 138 YPG. They allowed a very respectable 23.3 PPG which ranked them #5 in the MW. Things look promising heading into 2021 as they return 10 starters and 17 of their top 18 tacklers. The DL features a pair of 2nd Team MW honorees in DE Sam Hammond and DT Dominic Peterson who combined for 8.5 sacks LY. LB Lawson Hall led the team in tackles LY and registered 8.5 TFL. Nevada finished a solid #37 in the FBS in pass efficiency D LY and return an experienced group whilst adding Wake Forest transfer CB Isaiah Essissima. The stop unit has a chance to be really good if they can find a way to get a bit more pressure on the QB (23 sk LY, #7 sacks per game MW).

SPECIAL TEAMS

The Pack finished #27 in the FBS in the Phil Steele special teams rankings LY and have all the key contributors returning for battle. PK Brandon Talton is one of the best in the MW (15/18 FG LY, 3-4 40+) and they finished #9 (!) in the FBS in net punting thanks to the work of P Julian Diaz. They have experienced and talented PR and KR.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have a pair of layups in non-conference play but also have two challenging road dates (at California, at Kansas St). They open Mountain West play at Boise St (!) and also have to play San Diego St and Fresno St ON THE HIGHWAY.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Kansas St (September 18th)

That’s a tough road game and the epic showdown with Boise St is up next.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 17

Over 7.5 -110

Under 7.5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

This is one of the best teams in the conference and we think they’ll find a way to book 8 or more wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Nevada football program was founded as the SAGEBRUSHERS in 1896. Amaze your TRIPLE-MASKED PAL with that trivia nugget.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Riddle me this. Were the Pack UNDERRATED in 2020 (7-2, 13 points away from undefeated) or OVERRATED (didn’t beat a team with a winning record) ? Regardless of the answer, it’s clear that HC Jay Norvell has things moving in the right direction as they’ve got a WL record of 22-13 since 2018. This team is balanced and a legit threat to win ALL THE MOUNTAIN WEST MARBLES if they can successfully navigate a tough road schedule.


Want more Nevada football ?

WEBSITE

https://nevadawolfpack.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/nevada/Board/The-Sports-Forum-102569/

NEWS

http://www.rgj.com/sports/wolf-pack/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2440/nevada-wolf-pack

TWITTER

Hashtag – #BattleBorn

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/NevadaFootball

San Diego St Aztecs 2021 College Football Preview

San Diego St Aztecs 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 4-4

ATS – 5-3

The Aztecs got off to a quick 2-0 start with a pair of wins over TOMATO CANS (UNLV, Utah St) but were taken down in game three by the emerging JUGGERNAUT San Jose St Spartans. They only managed to win two more games the rest of the way and finished up with a disappointing mark of 4-4. To be fair, it was a strange season. Let’s see how things are shaping up in 2021.


San Diego St Aztecs 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Aztecs were able to grind out some yards on ground LY (199 YPG, #3 MW) but couldn’t get any kind of a THROW GAME going to keep defenses honest. They’ve only managed to average 351,343 and 349 YPG over the past three years and things need to improve if they wanna get back to the top tier of the conference. The QB battle will likely go well into fall camp and the starting gig is up for grabs. The main contenders are a couple of doods from LY’s QB room (Lucas Johnson, Jordon Brookshire) as well as highly-touted Miss St transfer Jalen Mayden. The excellent RB group is back including #1 Greg Bell who’s one of the best in the Mountain West. He started out on SUPAH HOT FIRE booking four consecutive 100-yard games (111,157,109,160) before getting banged up. The depth behind him is MUCHO IMPRESSIVE. It’s hard to know what they have in terms of THROW GAME weapons given the mediocre QB play but everyone returns including #1 WR Jesse Matthews and TE Daniel Bellinger who snagged 20 receptions LY. Adding some SEC talent (Tyrell Chavers) may help. The Aztecs want to open things up and have a more efficient passing attack but COLOR US SKEPTICAL. Three starters return up front and they have decent size and over 60 career starts.

DEFENSE

The Aztecs have been ROCK SOLID on defense over the past two years and in 2020 they allowed a mere 284 YPG (#3 FBS) and just 98 YPG on the ground (#7). There might be a bit of trouble on the horizon as San Diego St must deal with yuuuuge losses in the secondary. Star CB Darren Hall is off to the NFL (Falcons) and #1 tackler safety Tariq Thompson also departs. They always seem to have talent back there but those are two tough guys to lose. #2 tackler LB/Aztec Dwayne Johnson will also need to be replaced. Thankfully, the starting DL returns intact including 1st Team MW honoree DE Cameron Thomas (4 sk, 14 QBH LY) and LB Caden McDonald is one of the best in the conference at his position (10 TFL, 10 QBH LY). This is still one of the best Ds in the Mountain West.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things appear to be in good shape with the return of PK Matt Araiza who hit 10/14 FG LY (2-5 40+) and KR Jordan Byrd was excellent LY (12-383, 31.9, TD). PR BJ Busbee also took one back to the HIZZY JIZZY. They need to find a new punter.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The schedule doesn’t look too bad BUT note that they’re playing their home games in Carson, CA (>100 miles away).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Hawaii (November 6th)

It’s never easy to play Hawaii on the road when they’re half-decent and this will be the Aztecs’ 3rd road game in four weeks.

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes July 15

Over 6.5 -105

Under 6.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

The defense and rushing attack should be good enough to get them to seven wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Per the fine folks at College Football News, The Aztecs are on a 30-0 (!) run when booking 4+ sacks.

MEGALOCKS Outlook:

You can say this about a lot of teams, but for San Diego St, it’s really true. They HAVE to get better play at the QB position. The defense, rushing attack, and special teams should be fine but they’ll some kind of a THROW GAME to put them over the top. Definite contender in the competitive Mountain West.


Want more Aztecs Football ?

WEBSITE

https://goaztecs.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://aztecmesa.proboards.com/board/2/aztec-sports-conference-discussions

http://aztecsfight.com/Forum-Aztec-Football

NEWS

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/aztecs/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/21/san-diego-state-aztecs

TWITTER

Hashtags – #Win22

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/AztecFB

San Jose St Spartans 2021 College Football Preview

San Jose St Spartans 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 17, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 7-1

ATS – 7-1

Yes, guy.

The Spartans SHOCKED THE WORLD and ripped through the Mountain West schedule in UNDEFEATED FASHION on the way to a conference championship. They did it in legitimate fashion by beating San Diego St (A), Hawaii (A), Nevada (N), and Boise St for all the marbles (N) (W 34-20). It was a Cinderella season that was one of the highlights of the 2020 college football season, despite the fact that they fell to Ball St in the Arizona Bowl.

What can they do for an encore?


San Jose St Spartans 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Spartans rode an effective THROW GAME to a MW title and they did it with an interesting QB combo that’s back in 2021. Nick Starkel completed 64% of his throws (17-7 TD to INT) whilst Nick Nash provided more of a rushing element to the position (204, 5.1, TD). There is a yuuuuge question mark at WR as they lose their excellent WR combo (Gaither, Walker) that combined for over 1,300Y and 8 TDs in the shortened casedemic season. They’ll rely on some youngsters to emerge at the position as well as their excellent TE Derrick Deese who’s freakishly talented (20-240, 12.0, 5 TD; 6’4 250). San Jose St did enough on the ground to give teams problems and they bring back their top-two at RB including Tyler Nevens who averaged 7.8 (!) YPC LY. The OL returns five starters including 1st Team MW LT Jack Snyder and note that they allowed just 8 (!) sacks LY.

DEFENSE

San Jose St underwent an EPIC TRANSFORMATION on defense LY and allowed just 19.9 PPG and 346 YPG after allowing 31.9 and 444 respectively in 2019. They also led the conference in sacks with 26. Ten starters are back on this side of the ball including everyone up front. They have one of the best DE combos in the nation in Cade Hall (10 sacks, T3 FBS) and Viliami Fehoko (6 sk, 12.5 TFL) and good size at NT. The entire starting LB corps returns including #1 tackler Kyle Harmon and the Spartans should be really tough vs the run once again, whilst also putting enormous pressure on opposing QBs. They’ll look to improve a bit vs the pass as they picked off just three passes LY and allowed 62% completions. This will be a nasty defense once again.

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look pretty good with the return of PK Matthew Mercurio (7/9 FG LY) and the addition of P Will Hart from Michigan (!). San Jose St was #4 in the FBS in KR in 2020 and they returned a pair for TDs. The responsible parties are back.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – The road date at USC is tough and it won’t be a FREE SQUARE when they take on the Broncos in KALAMAZOO. Things get real in a hurry in MW action when they face Hawaii on the road on September 18th. They get three of their final four games at home.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Western Michigan (September 25th)

They play in Hawaii on September 18th and take on Western Michigan a week later approximately 860,000 miles away. The Broncos can SCORE THE FOOTBALL.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 17

Over 7.5 -125

Under 7.5 +105

Update August 22

Over 8 -125

Under 8 +105

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

The only game that appears to be “unwinnable” is the date with USC. This team doesn’t have a significant weaknesses.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

TREND GUY was overwhelmed with confusion when the Spartans upset Boise St to win the Mountain West Championship Game. San Jose St was previously 0-14 vs the Broncos.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

Brent Brennan has turned this program around in quick and impressive fashion. The Spartans were just 3-22 (!) in his first two seasons but turned themselves into CHAMPS by year four. They won’t sneak up on anyone this year but they still boast one of the best rosters in the conference and are more than capable of some SWEET REPEAT ACTION.


Want more San Jose St Football ?

WEBSITE

https://sjsuspartans.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/san-jose-state/Board/Football-102442/

NEWS

http://www.mercurynews.com/tag/san-jose-state-spartans/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/23/san-jose-state-spartans

TWITTER

Hashtag – #SpartanUp

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/SanJoseStateFB

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 2021 College Football Preview

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 17, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 5-4

ATS – 4-5

Hawaii had an up-and-down regular season winning as many games as they lost (4-4). They did manage to pull an upset over a really good Nevada team (W 24-21) and note that all four of their losses were understandable (Wyoming, SD St, Boise St, San Jose St). They finished up on a high note by taking down Houston in the New Mexico Bowl (5-4) and will look to continue that momentum going in 2021.


Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

Hawaii did just enough on offense (#5 MW rushing, #5 MW passing) and relied on QB Chevan Cordeiro to work his magic. Cordeiro had a decent year throwing the football (62%, 14-6 TD to INT) but averaged just 6.7 YPA (Hawaii #9 MW). #1 WR Jared Smart returns but he averaged just 8.9 YPC and their #2 and #3 WRs are both gone. It remains to be seen what kind of quality lurks in the WR and TE rooms. RB Calvin Turner was a dual-threat BEAST last year and proved to be a great fit for the offense. He was #3 on the team in rushing (345, 5.5, 4 TD) and led the team in receiving yards by a wide margin (33-546, 16.6!, 6 TD). Dae Dae Hunter provides good depth at RB and recall that QB Cordeiro led the team in rushing LY. We’d like to see them do a better job in pass protection as they allowed 28 sacks (#10 MW/game) despite having a mobile QB. There’s upside with this offense but they’ll need to find more explosiveness at WR in order to make defenses sweat.

DEFENSE

The Rainbow Warriors allowed fewer than 30 PPG (27.6) for the first time since 2014 and they were particularly effective vs the pass where they finished #14 (!) in the FBS in pass efficiency D. They allowed a mere 55% completions whilst leading the conference in INTs by a wide margin (12). They were rolled by opponents’ ground games to the tune of 212 YPG (#9 MW) and need to find a way to shore things up. The overwhelming majority of the defensive roster returns for duty and they add a couple of nice pieces on the DL including Utah transfer Pita Tonga (6’1 323). Their LB group is one of the best in the MW and they’re led by #1 tackler LB Darius Muasau who garnered 1st Team MW honors with a yuuuuge 2020 campaign (104T, 9.5 TFL, 7 QBH). There’s no reason to think that the secondary will not excel again particularly if they get more of a pass rush (18 sks, #10 per game MW), and note that they add some talented specimens to the group via the transfer portal.

SPECIAL TEAMS

PK Matthew Shipley was a virtual COIN TOSS in 2020 (8/14 FG) but P Adam Stack is solid. Calvin Turner (yes, that Calvin Turner) averaged 27.0 on a dozen KR and booked a TD.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – It never hurts to get New Mexico St TWICE in the same year and they also play something called Portland St in non-conference action. They also avoid Boise St.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 17

Over 6 -140

Under 6 +120

Update August 22

Over 6.5 -120

Under 6.5 +100

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

Seems like we wanna go ‘over’ a lot of MW win totals. We’ll obviously pick our spots and Hawaii looks like a solid bet to book at least seven wins out of their 13 (!) games.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

Hawaii is an impossibly-crappy 48-76-3 (38.7%) vs the spread L10Y.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This doesn’t look like a loaded roster BUT they have an underrated defense and are in year two of the Todd Graham experiment. Improvement is certainly possible and the schedule is favorable. They’ll have to pull an upset or two to win the division so we’ll call for seven wins and a bowl game. Go Hawaii!


Want more Hawaii Football ?

WEBSITE

https://hawaiiathletics.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://www.sportshawaii.com/sh/viewforum.php?f=3

https://247sports.com/college/hawaii/Board/WSN-Ohana-102452/

NEWS

http://hawaiiwarriorworld.com/category/football/

http://www.mwcconnection.com/hawaii-warriors-football

https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/sports/ncaa/hawaii/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/62/hawaii-rainbow-warriors

TWITTER

Hashtag – #HawaiiFB, #WinEveryDay

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/HawaiiFootball

New Mexico Lobos 2021 College Football Preview

New Mexico Lobos 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 2-5

ATS – 4-3

The Lobos got off to rough start and lost their first five games. They could’ve packed it in but kept fighting and won their final two contests of the year, and that included a win over a tough Wyoming team. It’s also important to note that they were pretty competitive in their losses to Hawaii and Nevada. Can they take keep the late season momentum rolling into 2021?


New Mexico Lobos 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

If nothing else, the Lobos were balanced LY averaging 196 YPG on the ground (#4 MW) and 198 YPG via the THROW GAME. They used 4 QBs (!) LY and hopefully things get solidified with the transfer of TOUCHDOWN TERRY WILSON from Kentucky. Wilson is not a very accomplished passer but he’s a REALLY dangerous runner that should be a good fit for the offense. #1 RB Bobby Cole is back for duty and note that he finished the 2020 season in fine fashion booking a pair of 100-yard games to end the year. The WR group isn’t stellar on paper but they return their top-two targets. Four of the starting big boys are back up front and we expect them to do a solid job run blocking. They allowed 16 sacks LY (#6 MW sacks allowed per game). They won’t go crazy, but we expect improved overall numbers in 2021.

DEFENSE

New Mexico has been pretty weak on defense over the past number of years and have finished in the bottom three in MW total defense in each of the last three campaigns. Nine starters return to the stop unit and it’ll be interesting to see what kind of progress (if any) they can make. The DL brings back leading sack man DE Joey Noble (4) and they’re an experienced group, albeit lacking a bit in size. The LB group is a mystery given the departure of leading tackler Brandon Shook and we worry about a pass D that allowed 283 YPG and 65% completions through the air LY. Safety Jerrick Reed is a good piece to build around. This looks like a defense that still needs a lot of work, but the good news is that DC Rocky Long has a long history of getting his stop units to exceed expectations.

Special Teams

The Lobos will have to find a replacement for their fine punter Tyson Dyer but they get back PK Jason Shelley (12/16 FG in 2019).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – HEART BE STILL. There are three winnable games in the first four and a few potential wins later on the docket. They get a tough road draw in conference play having to travel to San Diego St, Wyoming, Fresno St, and Boise St.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Boise St (November 20th)

Never easy to play on the blue turf and this will be their 3rd road game in four weeks. Almost surely won’t be on the dog in this spot.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 15

Over 4.5 +110

Under 4.5 -130

Update August 22

Over 4.5 -145

Under 4.5 +125

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage. That looks about right. The roster isn’t very good but the schedule is favorable. We might be tempted to take a small taste of the ‘over’ if we can find a ‘4’. Doubt it at this point, tho.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Last year’s squad was the first team in FBS history to play a seven-game season all outside of its home state (Road games + Vegas as ‘home’).


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

We have faith that the Danny Gonzales / Rocky Long combo can bear fruit at some point, but it looks like the overall talent level still needs a significant upgrade before they can be considered a contender in the competitive Mountain division. They’ll be entertaining, but think they’ll fall short of a bowl game.


Want more New Mexico Football ?

WEBSITE

https://golobos.com/sports/football/

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/new-mexico/Board/The-Red-Menace-Zone-103704/

NEWS

https://www.mwcconnection.com/new-mexico-lobos-football

http://www.abqjournal.com/category/sports/unm-lobos

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/167/new-mexico-lobos

TWITTER

Hashtag – #GoLobos

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/UNMLoboFB

UNLV Rebels 2021 College Football Preview

UNLV Rebels 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 18, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 0-6

ATS – 1-5

We’re not sure what a BLOODBATH looks like but the 2020 scamdemic season was not kind to the Rebels. They didn’t win a game all year whilst being outscored to the tune of 228-104. We knew it would be a rebuilding “year” but it’s still hard to take many positives from last season’s DEBACLE. Let’s see what HC Marcus Arroyo can do in his first full season in Vegas.


UNLV Rebels 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Rebels couldn’t get anything going LY and only scored 20+ points in two of their six games. The good news is that is wasn’t a complete LOST CAUSE as they got acceptable production on the ground (145 YPG, #6 MW), and #1 RB Charles Williams returns for what seems like his 9th year at UNLV. Don’t forget that Williams booked 1,257 (!) yards rushing in 2019 so he’s a fantastic piece to build around. The 789,000 dollar question is what can we expect at the QB position? This is a PUZZLER that has confused handicappers since the reign of the MING DYNASTY.  Neither Doug Brumfield or Justin Rogers have much experience so we’ll see what happens. Essentially anyone that caught a pass is back this year and they’ll feature WR Kyle Williams (35-426, 2 TD) in the THROW GAME. The OL is a major concern and we’re hoping they can do a better job of protecting the QB (29 sacks allowed, LAST MW/game). It’s hard to get too excited given the questions at QB and OL.

DEFENSE

HOLD MY BEER.

Last season’s offense was pathetic but the defense was worse. They allowed 38 PPG and an unseemly 255 YPG on the ground (#122 FBS). Opponents scored 34+ points in every game. The Rebels will hope that a move to a 3-4 alignment will play dividends in 2021 as the LB group looks pretty decent with the return of their top-two sack men Adam Plant (3.5, 7 TFL) and Jacoby Windmon (5, 6.5 TFL). They’ll need to improve up front but at least the have decent size and they add USC transfer Connor Murphy who should grab a starting gig. The secondary is experienced but they’ll need to force more turnovers (2 INT, 6G), and they would be greatly assisted by an improved pass rush (14 sacks, #9 MW sacks allowed per game).

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things don’t look special by any means, but they do have continuity in the kicking game with the return of PK Daniel Gutierrez (5/6 FG) and P Charlton Butt (37.0 net).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There are a small handful of winnable games and they miss Boise St. On the other hand, they play in a nasty division and get Arizona St (A), Iowa St (H), and UTSA (A) in non-conference play.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at UTSA (October 2nd)

This will be their 3rd road game in four weeks and it’s in the middle of a pair of Mountain West games.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 18

Over 1.5 +100

Under 1.5 -120

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

They’ll most likely have to win two of the three “winnable games” (E Washington, New Mexico, Utah St) or pull a major upset along the way. Not impossible.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The UNLV football program has a relatively short history having began in September of 1968. They joined a conference for the first time in 1982 (PCAA – Pacific Coast Athletic Association). The PCAA changed its name to the Big West in 1988.

MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This is clearly a program in the early stages of a rebuild and it’ll be interesting to see what HC Marcus Arroyo can do in his first full season. They have a legit star at RB and some interesting pieces scattered over the roster but they’ll struggle to win more than a game or two this year. In any event, GO REBELS!


Want more UNLV Football ?

WEBSITE

https://unlvrebels.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://unlv.forums.rivals.com/forums/rebel-football.10/

NEWS

http://lasvegassun.com/news/sports/unlv/football/

http://preview.reviewjournal.com/sports/unlv/unlv-football/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2439/unlv-rebels

TWITTER

Hashtag – #UNLVFB, #BEaREBEL

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/unlvfootball

Fresno St Bulldogs 2021 College Football Preview

Fresno St Bulldogs 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 3-3

ATS – 3-3

The Bulldogs got off to a fine 3-1 start beating a trio of tomato cans (Colorado St, UNLV, Utah St) but dropped their final two games to finish at the .500 mark. The season finale was disappointing as they were rolled by New Mexico (L 49-39). To be fair, the schedule wasn’t kind as they played their final four games away from home. Let’s check in with the Bulldogs and see what they have to work with in 2021.


Fresno St Bulldogs 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

Fresno St had one of the more impressive passing attacks in the FBS LY (#5 pass offense) as QB Jake Haener displayed some fine passing SKILLZZ (65%, 8.7, 14-5 TD to INT). He threw for 300+ in four of his five starts. It’s hard to believe he survived the season as he was sacked an impossible 24 times (Fresno #11 MW sacks allowed per game). Haener did a good job distributing the football and gets back every target that caught at least four passes in 2020. Jalen Cropper lead a deep group of WRs (37-520, 14.1, 5 TD) and note that Ronnie Rivers is one of the best catching RBs in college football (27-265, 9.8, 2 TD). Speaking of that seemingly 8th year senior, he also led the team in rushing with over 500Y and 7 TD in the shortened plandemic campaign. The OL should be better this year as they have adequate experience and decent size. The big boys are the key to Fresno having either a really good, or DEADLY offense. <grabs popcorn>

DEFENSE

The Bulldogs were able to achieve IMPRESSIVE PENETRATION last year as they finished the season ranked #3 in the FBS in sacks per game (25/6g) and in the top-15 in TFL/game. They just allowed too many of those PESKY yards (#9 MW total defense) and points (#8 MW scoring D) whilst having a tough time getting off the field (#118 FBS 3rd down D). We expect a better showing as 10 starters are back in the mix and that includes several talented players. The DL looks like something out of SACK LAKE CITY, UTAH as it features three men (Perales, Atkins, Jones) have combined for 14 sacks in 2020. They have good size in the interior and should be improved vs the run. The LB unit gets a premium LB transfer from FIU/Boise St (Tyson Maeva) and the all starters return on the back end. They allowed just 55.7% completions LY (#3 MW). The pass rush will be there but they need to be a lot better vs the run if they want to make serious noise in 2021.

SPECIAL TEAMS

This is an area of concern as they finished near the bottom of the Phil Steele special teams rankings LY (#126). They need to get a lot better across the board, but at least you can say that Cesar Silva made 5/5 FGA (none 40+).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – There are two LAYUPS (UConn, CAL POLY) and a pair of nasty ones (at Oregon, at UCLA) in non-conference play. They get a brutal MW road draw (Hawaii, San Diego St, San Jose St, Wyoming). There are only three games after Halloween.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing overly-spooky is noted.

Season Win Total

Per 5Dimes July 15

Over 6 -110

Under 6 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

No leanage.

That looks about right. They’re almost certainly going to be 2-2 heading into conference play and 67 of our 98 models believe that a .500 mark in MW play is the most likely outcome. More upside than downside with this squad tho. Just saying.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Fresno St-San Diego St rivalry is known as the “Battle for the Oil Can.” A 1930s oil can from Fresno found at a construction side in San Diego is the trophy. College football is awesome.

MEGALOCKS Outlook:

HC Kalen Deboer got his feet wet last year and it’ll be interesting to see how these guys look over the course of a full season. The offense should LIGHT IT UP and hopefully the defense can do enough to help the Bulldogs win their share of close games. Tough schedule, but a talented team. Let’s go!


Want more Fresno St Bulldogs Football ?

WEBSITE

https://gobulldogs.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://247sports.com/college/fresno-state/Board/Bark-Board-102987/

NEWS

http://www.fresnobee.com/sports/college/mountain-west/fresno-state/bulldogs-football/

http://www.mwcconnection.com/fresno-state-bulldogs-football

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/278/fresno-state-bulldogs

TWITTER

Hashtags – #GoDogs, #PrideOfTheValley

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/FresnoStateFB

Utah St Aggies 2021 College Football Preview

Utah St Aggies 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 1-5

ATS – 1-5

Now THAT was a hot mess.

The Aggies bumbled and stumbled their way to a mark of 1-5 and were outscored by a margin of 211-93. They were blown to bits in all five losses but did manage to show up vs New Mexico (W 41-27). Former HC Gary Anderson was let go during the season and it’ll be up to Blake Anderson ** to try and right the ship in Logan.

** per Communist “genetics” sites like 23andMe and AmIAnIdiotThatBelievesLockdownsWork.com, there is no relationship between the two Anderson doods


Utah St Aggies 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The offense was garbage LY and they only managed a measly 15.5 PPG (#124 FBS) and 276 YPG (#123). We expect better things this year and it all starts at QB where Blake Anderson brought in gunslinger Logan Bonner from Arkansas St. Bonner threw for over 3,000 yards with a fine 30-9 TD to INT mark in shared duty with the Red Wolves. The mobile Andrew Peasley sticks around to be the likely back-up. The WR group returns the top-six from LY and get a few interesting additions including Brandon Bowling (Ark St, 507, 7 TD LY). There’s not a ton of size in the group but they have plenty of speed and should be productive. It’s unclear if they have a true #1 RB on the roster but there are a few interesting options available. Four starters return up front and they add a few guys via the transfer portal. Look for significant improvement, but long stretches of inconsistency.

DEFENSE

Utah St was dead last in the conference LY in total D (485 YPG, yup, worse than UNLV) and they hope to make improvement on this side of the ball as well. They return a lot of experience (T9 tacklers, 10 starters) so it’s not impossible to think they’ll be quite a bit better. There are some decent pieces to build around including LB AJ Vongphachanh who led the team in tackles LY and transfer LB/DE Justin Rice who is a deadly HIRED GUN (7 sacks LY Ark St; 3 Fresno St; 200+ career tackles). DE Nick Heninger is a good pass rusher (3 sk, T1 LY) and they add a small handful of P5 transfers up front. The back end of the stop unit is a concern as they were roasted through the air LY (#11 MW pass eff D, 14-2 TD to INT, 68%). They’ll rely on guys from the transfer portal to drive improvement. Sound familiar?

SPECIAL TEAMS

Things look decent, yo. PK Connor Coles hit 3/3 FGA LY and P Stephen Kotsanlee had a fine 40.4 net. KR Savon Scarver is a an absolute WEAPON (6) (!) career TDs.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They should be able to pick up a couple of wins out-of-conference (New Mexico St, North Dakota) and they miss San Diego St from the West. They have a nasty three-game stretch early on (at Air Force, Boise St, BYU). Three of their final four games are ON THE HIGHWAY.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at New Mexico (November 26th)

Keep an eye on this spot if they’re gonna be HOME FOR THE HOLIDAYS. This game pops up after a MEAT GRINDER with Wyoming and not sure they’ll show up if they game turns out to be meaningless for them.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 15

Over 3.5 -110

Under 3.5 -110

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

There are four or five very winnable games and this squad is capable of pulling an upset along the way.

MEGAmazing Tidbit

Utah St boasts an impressive 42-16 home record over the past 10 years. That includes undefeated seasons in 2012, 2014, and 2018.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

The Aggies made a sharp hire at HC in Blake Anderson who had a good run at Arkansas St leading them to six bowl appearances in seven seasons at the helm. They’ll benefit from improved QB play and have added a lot of talent via the transfer portal on defense. This looks like a much improved team that is more than capable of SHOCKING the WORLD at least once in 2021.


Want more Utah St Aggies Football ?

WEBSITE

https://utahstateaggies.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://www.usufans.com/Forums/viewforum.php?f=4&sid=4f34df0019e6d10abc7f1dbb86a4b9ac

NEWS

http://www.usufans.com/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/328/utah-state-aggies

http://www.deseretnews.com/sports/usu

http://www.sltrib.com/sports/usu/

TWITTER

Hashtag – #AggiesAllTheWay

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/USUFootball

Colorado St Rams 2021 College Football Preview

Colorado St Rams 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 1-3

ATS – 1-3

It’s tough to know what to make of last year’s squad that finished 1-3. While it’s hard to get too excited about that record you need to keep in mind that they played a REALLY tough schedule (at Fresno St, Wyoming, at Boise St, at San Diego St). Then again, none of their losses were particularly close. YIKES. Our heads are spinning.

Let’s see what HC Steve Addazio has to work with in his first FULL season in Fort Collins.


Colorado St Rams 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

The Rams averaged a paltry 22.3 PPG LY (#10 MW) but played really good defenses in three of their four games. The big question mark heading into this season is what to expect at the QB position. Former Temple Owl Todd Centeio is the favorite for the starting gig as we approach press time but he’ll need to step up his game. Maybe some FRESH MEAT at QB will make an impact? The top-two THROW GAME targets are back and they are good ones. TE Trey McBride had 22 (!) catches in 4g and averaged 15 YPC (4 TD). WR Dante Wright also had a good stat line (20-315, 15.8). We just worry about the depth. The yuuuuge addition on offense is RB David Bailey who rushed for over 1,300Y and 14 TDs at Boston College over the past two years. Marcus McElroy provides proven depth (6 TD L2Y). Five starters return on the OL, they have good size, and we trust that Addazio will have this unit ready to roll.

DEFENSE

The Rams allowed a respectable 359 YPG LY (#5 MW) but allowed an UNSEEMLY 35.8 PPG thanks to a comedy of errors on special teams. The pass rush was DEVASTATING as they posted 16 of those BAD BOYS in just 4g. 10 starters are back on defense and they should mold into a fine unit. The DL looks nasty with all starters back in the mix including Scott Patchan formerly of YOUR Miami Hurricanes who booked 5.5 sacks in 4g LY (1st team MW). The LB group features the team’s top-two tacklers in Dequan Jackson and Cam’Ron Carter who also combined for 11 TFL. Hopefully the pass defense can tighten up a bit after allowing 250 passing YPG and 61% completions. Hopefully, Temple transfer Linwood Crump can make an impact.

SPECIAL TEAMS

The appears to be a problem area. Everyone of consequence is back BUT they were pretty brutal in 2020. They finished #123 in the Phil Steele special teams rankings, gave up approximately 18,000 blocked punts, and made just 4-7 FG attempts. The good news? P Ryan Stonehouse is really good when he has more than .000008 seconds to get rid of the ball.

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have a couple of tough non-conference road games (Toledo, Iowa) but get most of their tough conference games at home (San Jose St, Boise St, Air Force, Nevada). They miss San Diego St from the West.

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – at Iowa (September 25th)

This could be a lay down and die spot given it’s their 2nd straight non-conference road game and Mountain West play is up next after a bye (San Jose St).

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 15

Over 4.5 -120

Under 4.5 +100

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

The schedule is a bit on the evil side but we think they can cobble together 5+ wins.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The best ALL-TIME name for a DC is CHUCK HEATER. That’s a FACT CHECK TRUE. <drops mic>


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

This is one of the more interesting teams in the GROUP OF FIVE. We didn’t get a chance to see what they were made of last year and they have an underrated roster heading into 2021. They’ll need to get good QB play but the front seven on defense is solid and they’ll wear out a lot of opponents with the rushing attack. Hmm. Looks like a Mountain West SURPRISE PACKAGE.


Want more Colorado St Football ?

WEBSITE

https://csurams.com/sports/football

FORUM

http://chat.coloradostate.sportswar.com/message_board/ramnationathletics/

https://coloradostate.forums.rivals.com/forums/the-fort.8/

NEWS

http://www.coloradoan.com/sports/csu-football/

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/schedule/_/id/36/

TWITTER

Hashtags – #RamClash

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/CSUFootball

https://twitter.com/KellyLyell

Air Force Falcons 2021 College Football Preview

Air Force Falcons 2021 College Football Preview

Created July 15, 2021

2020 Recap

Record – 3-3

ATS – 3-3

The Falcons had to face the plandemic season with an EXTREMELY young roster but still fared pretty well. They beat the TOMATO CANS that they should have (Utah St, Navy, New Mexico) and lost to a THREESOME of solid squads (San Jose St, Boise St, Army). The Army game was particularly tough to swallow as they allowed a late 4th down and goal TD.


Air Force Falcons 2021 Outlook

OFFENSE

Air Force still managed to rush for over 300 YPG and lead the nation despite working with a depleted roster. QB Haaziq Daniels played really well LY and completed 55.6% his passes whilst finishing as the #2 rusher. #1 RB Brad Roberts is back and the Falcons never have trouble cobbling together a decent group of guys to GIT ER DONE on the ground. TE Kyle Patterson is a good option in the THROW GAME and note that he led the team in receptions LY (12) whilst averaging an impressive 17.1 YPC (2 TD). There’s a YUUUUGE reload on the offensive line as they need to replace all five starters including a pair of stars.

DEFENSE

The Falcons have been phenomenal on D the last two seasons and they finished up LY allowing a measly 15.0 PPG  (#3 FBS) and 303 YPG (#6 FBS). They did it whilst only managing to book 7 sacks in 6g. Mind you, two of those games were vs Army and Navy. A lot of key contributors from the L2Y return for duty and they’ll be tough to score on once again. DL Jordan Jackson had 3.5 sacks in 2019 and LB Demonte Meeks is one of the best at his position in the MW and he was responsible for 98 tackles (#1) and four sacks (#2) in 2019 (DNP LY). CB Milton Bugg led the team with 3 INT in 2019 and DNP LY.

SPECIAL TEAMS

They could definitely use more consistency from TSR at PK (5-9 FG LY). P Charles Bein got a cup of coffee LY (2 punts).

Schedule Analysis

Overall – They have an interesting opener vs Louisiana (H). Note the four-game MEAT GRINDER when they face Wyoming (H), Boise St (A), San Diego St (H), and Army (H).

Potential ATS Trouble Spot – Nothing heinous noted.

Season Win Total

per 5Dimes July 15

Over 6.5 -115

Under 6.5 -115

MEGALOCKS says:

Lean: Over.

It’s a tough call, but would have to lean ‘over’ any number lower than 7. They should be able to cobble together at least three wins in September.

MEGAmazing Tidbits

The Falcons are 270-179-2 (.601) since 1984. Solid program, yo.


MEGALOCKS Outlook:

You know the Falcons are gonna give 110% every week but it’s gonna be a tall order to get past Boise St, not to mention burgeoning JUGGERNAUT Wyoming, in the Mountain Division. They have a great shot to beat Army and Navy, but don’t think significant Mountain West spoils are in the cards. In any event, #LetsFly !!


Want more Air Force Football ?

WEBSITE

https://goairforcefalcons.com/sports/football

FORUM

https://academywars.com/awforums/viewforum.php?f=8

NEWS

https://gazette.com/sports/air-force-sports/

http://ricksfalconreview.blogspot.ca/

http://www.denverpost.com/sports/college/air-force-falcons/

https://www.espn.com/college-football/team/_/id/2005/air-force-falcons

TWITTER

Hashtag – #LetsFly

Accounts to follow

https://twitter.com/AF_Falcons

https://twitter.com/BrentBriggeman